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Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"

 
MostHolyFace

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02/16/2020 09:12 AM

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Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Well the cats out of the bag as such.

No denying it now!


"The novel corona virus(2019nCoV)is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020.Initially, the basic reproductive number, R0,was estimated to be 2.2 to 2.7. Here we provide an estimate of this quantity. We collected extensive individual case reports and estimated key epidemiology parameters,including the incubation period.Integrating these estimates and hig hresolution real time human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that the number of infected individuals during early epidemic double every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6. We further show that quarantine and contact tracing of symptomatic individuals alone may not be effective and early, strong control measures are needed to stop transmission of the virus"


They are saying what is being done in China is needed to control this.

We Know though that it is Totalitarianism, and no governmnet in the West Can, due to revolution loosing power, and financial collapse and Panic, they can only just try and manage "Normalcy" for a s long as possible and be Re-Active not very Pro-active.

Straight from the horses mouth:

[link to arxiv.org (secure)]

Nothing More to say realy. See who where involved in this below:+

YOUR and my world will change in ways you can only read about in history books, within the next 36 months.

That is for those of us that survive.

GodBless.

+ [link to arxiv.org (secure)]
"Theoretical Biology and Biophysics, Theoretical Division,Los Alamos National Laboratory,NM87544,USA.

CNLS Center for Nonlinear Studies, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Information Sciences Group, Computer,
Computational and Statistical Sciences Division,Los Alamos National Laboratory,Los Alamos,New Mexico.

Earth Systems Observations Group Earth and Environmental Sciences Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory.


EDIT also some new modelling from multidisciplnary experts and universities throughout the world, here has ideas of the true figures not the hidden ones so at 300,000 up to 4 million cases within 7 to 14 days of this Thread in China!
HERE: [link to www.statnews.com (secure)]

Last Edited by MostHolyFace on 02/17/2020 12:52 AM
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:20 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Well the cats out of the bag as such.

No denying it now!


"The novel corona virus(2019nCoV)is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020.Initially,the basic reproductive number,R0,wasestimated to be 2.2 to 2.7.Here we provide an estimate of this quantity.We collected extensive individual casereports and estimated key epidemiology parameters,including the incubation period.Integrating these estimates and highresolution realtime human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that the number of infected individuals during early epidemic double every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6.We further show that quarantine and contact tracing of symptomatic individuals alone may not be effective and early,strong control measures are needed to stop transmission of the virus"


They are saying what is being done in China is needed to control this.

We Know though that it is horriffic, and no governmnet in theWest Can due to revolution and the immediate collapse of the "Markets" etc that would ensue.

Straight from the horses mouth:

[link to arxiv.org (secure)]

Nothing More to say realy.

YOUR and my world will change in ways you can only read about in history books, within the next 36 months.

That is for those of us that survive.

GodBless.
 Quoting: MostHolyFace


seems like every scientific paper is being buried and down voted like never before
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:24 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

YOU NEED THIS
Light Bulb
M

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02/16/2020 09:24 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
“...our results suggest that active and strong population;wide social distancing efforts, such as closing down transportation system, schools, discouraging travel, etc., might be needed to reduce the overall contacts to contain the spread of the virus.”

bump


Last Edited by Light Bulb on 02/16/2020 09:43 AM
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:25 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Dude you scare me.. but thanks for the heads up.. Pfff 10 years on GLP and now that it's time to take the tomato plants inside.

Well let's just say this is not how i imagined it.

Stay strong brothers and sisters.

And pray for a miracle or a GLP effect maybe ?
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:25 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
cattheend
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02/16/2020 09:26 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Riddles solved, see page 1 and 2 here:
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
So you should know:
All "coronavirus news" are nothing but psy-ops, using the global neo-Gestapo, this time dressed all in white, to prepare the human cattle for what's coming next:
not only global (as previously mentioned) but also simultaneous [MAN_ _ _ _ _ _] "[_ _ _ _ _ NATION]".
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:26 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
would nuking china work
MostHolyFace  (OP)

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02/16/2020 09:27 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Quote:
"
seems like every scientific paper is being buried and down voted like never before
"

Indeed we are seeing a Propoganda and Expectation and Information management throughout the world By all governments, unlike ever before.

On all alternative media as well much is being manipulated by paid posters etc.

There is much mixing of things with truth, to make the waters muddied.

One thing I know I think that "Los Alamos" has a very good grasp at Maths and Mathematical modelling, with the best Software and Csupercomputers to run this probably in the entire world.

Their Number crunching will be closer to the truth than anything else out there.

Get it wrong you know and Nuclear Bombs go off by accident etc. There Maths Is 100% spot on.

This is an RO with the current info and data that can be trusted to be the closest to reality that is currently avaialable.

GodBless.

Last Edited by MostHolyFace on 02/16/2020 09:28 AM
Tangy

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02/16/2020 09:30 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
bump
Zoinkaeon

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02/16/2020 09:33 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
death2
Ash Nazg Durbatulûk, Ash Nazg Gimbatul, Ash Nazg Thrakatulûk, Agh Burzum-ishi Krimpatul
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:34 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
I work at LANL,the most brilliant minds on the planet.If WHO or CDC were playing them in Jeopardy,I would take LANL every time.
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:35 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
And just like when Boeing planes were falling out of the sky and every other country on earth had banned them, Trump cares more about the GDP than protecting your family.
MostHolyFace  (OP)

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02/16/2020 09:35 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
yup

life is going to change forever because of this

and not in a good way I'm afraid
 Quoting: ^TrInItY^


Absolutely, about a week ago I was at a gathering as such. I had a thought if one in 10 people die from this, over the next 3 - 5 Years in one way or another, Who will be gone?

Chatter, socialising, drinking, First World Priviledge, total denial, no one talking about it.

I recently sent a scientist friend some hard data on this.

They said I made it sound like Doom. I only sent them facts and figures.

People are going to be shocked I think, there is much denial, its a human trait, especially in the West we all expect the govrenmnet to fix it, to Phone 911 or 999.

The Pride of Humans, We Can Fix this, we are masters of the world, "Scientists" can find a solution, Nature either Twisted by scientists to be a weapon, or just naturally as in the past is about to give us a very big Slap and wake up call, and give humanity, societies, politics a Spanking.

GodBless
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:36 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:39 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
"The number of infected individuals doubles every 2.5 days".
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:40 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
too late got containment now with that RO
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:41 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


I believe the report to be very well done, yes.
Now, just what is the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and where is the link that proves it comes from their lab, the study, I mean. Thanks.
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:42 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Riddles solved, see page 1 and 2 here:
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
So you should know:
All "coronavirus news" are nothing but psy-ops, using the global neo-Gestapo, this time dressed all in white, to prepare the human cattle for what's coming next:
not only global (as previously mentioned) but also simultaneous [MAN_ _ _ _ _ _] "[_ _ _ _ _ NATION]".
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78475042


Please now the nutshell version ? without the nuts part please.
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:43 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


Too late allready one who died in Paris .. Half of that westerdam passanger manifest is allready walking around everywhere.. too late i say!
Busterhymen

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02/16/2020 09:44 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
would nuking china work
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76324297


Maybe 6 weeks ago, a little late now.
FCK the WEF! Keep your hands off my country!
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:45 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
“...our results suggest that active and strong population;wide social distancing efforts, such as closing down transportation system, schools, discouraging travel, etc., might be needed to reduce the overall contacts to contain the spread of the virus.”

bump
 Quoting: Light Bulb


+1

I am trying to discern the publication date. Does anyone know?

A domestic study by a respected institution gives govt strong legs to justify action.

Heretofore, I have been restraining myself from prep finalization...mostly alt health stuff like iodine, hydrogen peroxide, bleach, supplements, etc.

After reading this, It starts today.
Malu nli

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02/16/2020 09:46 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
would nuking china work
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76324297


That is probably our only hope. Still not convinced that this is any more than the common flu for whites, but we shall see
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:46 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


A month ago may have even been too late.

I think this thing probably got out (worldwide) around Christmas/New year during holiday travel peak.
Busterhymen

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02/16/2020 09:47 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
"YOUR and my world will change in ways you can only read about in history books, within the next 36 months."
36 months? You're pretty optimistic. I would put it more like 36 weeks!
FCK the WEF! Keep your hands off my country!
MostHolyFace  (OP)

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02/16/2020 09:48 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


I believe the report to be very well done, yes.
Now, just what is the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and where is the link that proves it comes from their lab, the study, I mean. Thanks.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78341162


Los Alamos is where the Physics and Maths for the First and current breed of Nuclear Weapons for the United States is done. It is the pre eminent Government Lab in the World with Supercomuters and Mathematical Brains that are a Wet dream of every other country on earth.

The Source is beyond any and I mean ANY reproach.

This is the Best Mathematical Modelling (since the nuclear test ban treaty most of the Worlds Nuclear Devolopment of new Bombs, etc is done by modelling and not in reality by these guys for the USA) you will find in the world.

The Figures quoted will be the closest to reality of anything else out there.

The Lab does things that are so top secret even those who have top secret clearance wouldnt know.

This is Not a "Conspiracy Theory"

This is scientific fact with the data available.

GodBless
GSB/LTD

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02/16/2020 09:49 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
And just like when Boeing planes were falling out of the sky and every other country on earth had banned them, Trump cares more about the GDP than protecting your family.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74432031


That's a pretty bold statement considering you do NOT know what he is doing behind the scenes and off-camera.

Assumptions have killed people before and it'll do the same thing again for the foolish who rely upon them.
Tangy

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02/16/2020 09:49 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


I believe the report to be very well done, yes.
Now, just what is the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and where is the link that proves it comes from their lab, the study, I mean. Thanks.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78341162


[link to arxiv.org (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:51 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
ROR 4.7-6.6?
Is this real?
If so that's very bad news.
Not survivable for a large percent of population.
Need to cut off all air travel to/from China.
Like today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


I believe the report to be very well done, yes.
Now, just what is the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and where is the link that proves it comes from their lab, the study, I mean. Thanks.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78341162


Los Alamos is where the Physics and Maths for the First and current breed of Nuclear Weapons for the United States is done. It is the pre eminent Government Lab in the World with Supercomuters and Mathematical Brains that are a Wet dream of every other country on earth.

The Source is beyond any and I mean ANY reproach.

This is the Best Mathematical Modelling (since the nuclear test ban treaty most of the Worlds Nuclear Devolopment of new Bombs, etc is done by modelling and not in reality by these guys for the USA) you will find in the world.

The Figures quoted will be the closest to reality of anything else out there.

The Lab does things that are so top secret even those who have top secret clearance wouldnt know.

This is Not a "Conspiracy Theory"

This is scientific fact with the data available.

GodBless
 Quoting: MostHolyFace


Thanks very much - now I scared, why is this not going ballistic main news?
Anonymous Coward
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02/16/2020 09:51 AM
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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
Bull fucking shit.
It's a standard flu no different to other crown virii.

Note how no one is supporting the lie of the CCP that pneumonia is all but GUARANTEED when contracting the virus which they've exploited to lock down a fractured nation that is suffering economically and a city that had protested for 8 months straight - two critical issues never before encountered by the CCP regime.
MostHolyFace  (OP)

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02/16/2020 09:52 AM

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Re: Los Alamos National Laboratory"The Novel Coronavirus is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated"
"YOUR and my world will change in ways you can only read about in history books, within the next 36 months."
36 months? You're pretty optimistic. I would put it more like 36 weeks!
 Quoting: Busterhymen


I worry more about the 3rd wave like other Pandemics, because then the resources of a country to help those who are sick, and the social structure and supply chains, and family help etc has broken down a lot more.

I am also very concerned about what may happen internationally and politically with Nation States making moves that could cause very serious Wars, as the World Order is changed due to countries being weakened and self introverted etc, focus being elsewehere.

That is why the time frame of about 3 years I am concerned about the knock on effects that could lead to world war.

GodBless.





GLP