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REPORT COPYRIGHT VIOLATION IN REPLY
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Message Subject
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BREAKING: CDC estimates 29 million illnesses, 280,000 hospitalizations and 16,000 deaths!
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Poster Handle
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Revbo™ |
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Post Content
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That's the sort of numbers we can expect Covid-19 to eventually have, as they have warned us it will become like the seasonal flus, getting into everywhere every year.
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78489110 CoViD-19, allegedly, has a death rate of 2%, although it's most likely a lot higher than that, but let's just use that number. From the numbers in the OP, they anticipate a flu death rate of .00055. CoViD's, by comparison, is .02. That makes CoViD about 40 times more deadly. If CoVid becomes endemic, as you mention and as we have seen very credibly predicted, and only spreads as fast as the flu (and most estimates put its R0 considerably higher than flu), that would mean 580,000 people will die from it every year given an annual infection rate of 29 million. Those most likely lowball numbers would make it the third leading cause of death in the US, just below heart disease and a very close third to cancer. If you tweak the death rate a bit and set it at just 3%, it blows past both of them to become the leading cause of death. If the death rate is just 3%, that means you would stand roughly a 1 in 300 chance of dying from CoViD every year for the rest of your life and, unlike heart disease or cancer, there's not a thing you could do, short of not leaving the house, ever, to prevent it. Touching any random doorknob or elevator button or walking through the wrong crosswalk at the wrong time could kill you. If, as a lot of us suspect, the death rate is closer to 10%, your odds went to 1 in a 100 of dying from this. Every year. Forever. And that's assuming it is only as infectious as influenza. If it's twice as infectious as flu and has a 10% death rate, your odds just went to 1 in 50.
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