Forecasting coronavirus spread: GUESS how many cases by next Friday............

I'm guessing potato...let me know if I win.

I predict none.

53,444 cases, 612 deaths USA

Last Edited by The Sasquatch on 03/21/2020 01:35 AM

Sounds legit.

PS: whoever gets closest without going over wins a potato from the commenter above.

[link to coronavirus.jhu.edu (secure)]

It doubles about every 5 days I think. It would be conservative to say it doubled every 7 days, 1 week. But easier to wrap your brain around.

3/11/20: 118,000 worldwide, 700 USA
3/18/20: 207,000 worldwide, 7,000 USA
3/20/20: 275,000 worldwide, 20,000 USA
3/27/20: 414,000 worldwide, 40,000 USA
4/3/20: 828,000 worldwide, 80,000 USA
etc

Problem in the US is we are not seeing viral spread in the numbers but rather our increasing ability to test. I’m afraid the total case numbers are at least 10x higher, and the mortality rate consequently at least 10x lower than the current estimate.

We won’t know the real number of infected until testing is readily available.

Last Edited by Alabaster Braintrust on 03/21/2020 01:44 AM

Which may be why they are still not making more testing readily available.

Corona Virus is spreading a LOT faster than any virus in history.

Almost like It was MADE for that reason........

I would like to upgrade my GUESS:

3/20/20: 600,000 worldwide, 60,000 USA

DERP: I mean:

I would like to upgrade my GUESS:

3/27/20: 700,000 worldwide, 70,000 USA

All your case are belong to us

Can you restate that in intelligible English, please?

March 27 there’ll be like a milliOn

A very old meme.
[link to upload.wikimedia.org (secure)]

Friday March 27th

Worldwide: 489,232

USA: 57,223

Come back in a week we'll see......

This is a bioweapon released on humanity-

[link to nationalpost.com (secure)]

Owned by globalist Soros-

[link to www.sec.gov (secure)]

Need to treat with para-immunity.

Liposomal Vitamin C(22 mg per pound per day), Vitamin D3(10,000 IU a day), Chaga Mushroom(1 Gram per day)

This is not medical advice.

Thank you. Any Guess on numbers for next Friday?
Why does Russia have so few cases?

2M world-wide, 100,000 US w/ 15,000 dead

Seems high. We're at 300,000 worldwide, 25,000 USA as of the time I write this. Gonna have to explode in the next few days to go 2,000,000 worldwide, 100,000 USA within 6 days. We shall soon see.

the number will be equal to the amount of government employees and their immediately family members!

This quarantine

Is gonna last longer than anyone ever thought

They prob don’t. They’re right next to China.

300 cases in country of 144 million Russians........
[link to coronavirus.jhu.edu (secure)]

Anyone remember the "Deagel Report"???

Here's some people talking about it a couple years ago:

QUESTION: I recently stumbled upon this article about a forecast/list of predicted population development until 2025: Deagel, a real intelligence organization for the U.S. government, predicts massive global depopulation (50-80%) by 2025

ANSWER: 2025? That's less than 8 years from now. Barring something like nuclear war, a major pandemic, or an asteroid impact, what could cause a significant population decrease in so short a time? Aliens abducting lots of people, maybe? – jamesqf Aug 24 '17 at 18:04

That didn't age well.............

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

3-24-20 usa 48,000
3-27-20 usa 96,000

3/22/20: 335,000 worldwide, 33,000 USA
[link to coronavirus.jhu.edu (secure)]

If social distancing succeeds in slowing the exponential growth rat, perhaps 3/27/20 will be lower than we expected. We'll soon see.