Forecasting coronavirus spread: GUESS how many cases by next Friday............ | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 73895319 United States 03/25/2020 10:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/26/2020 09:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sure looks like it's accelerating......faster and faster. USA at 68K cases; Italy at 74K cases. Will USA take place #2 for most cases in the world? This week or next week? [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Who still can't see the exponential growth??? |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/26/2020 09:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 3/11/20: 118,000 worldwide, 700 USA 3/18/20: 207,000 worldwide, 7,000 USA 3/20/20: 275,000 worldwide, 20,000 USA 3/26/20: 531,000 worldwide, 85,000 USA ^ as of9:45pm EST [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Can YOU look at the data and form an educated GUESS as to the total numbers we will see on Friday? 3/27/20: ............??????????????????? My guess: 700,000 worldwide, 70,000 USA. Looks like I guessed too low....... GUESS: ________worldwide, _________USA........ Whoever's closest without going over wins. Contest ends 3/27/20 at 10:00am EST. Late-evening update: Sure looks like it's accelerating......faster and faster. USA at 68K cases; Italy at 74K cases. Will USA take place #2 for most cases in the world? This week or next week? [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/26/2020 10:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/27/2020 12:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/27/2020 12:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 3/11/20: 118,000 worldwide, 700 USA Quoting: BronYx 77069256 3/18/20: 207,000 worldwide, 7,000 USA 3/20/20: 275,000 worldwide, 20,000 USA [link to coronavirus.jhu.edu (secure)] 3/27/20: ............??????????????????? My guess: 500,000 worldwide, 50,000 USA Friday March 27th Worldwide: 489,232 USA: 57,223 Congratulations. Your guess was the closes to the actual number without going over the actual number. My USA guess of 70,000 was closer to the actual number, but my worldwide guess was too high. |
JJ Johns
J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/27/2020 02:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | so, i was following the numbers closely. between yesterday and today, the total number of rate of deaths was cut by about 2,000. strange. my prediction for 28,000+ (28-30,000) was looking spot on until the numbers changed this morning. i can understand adjusting the numbers from the day or two before, but not over many days. it's just strange. . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 7932826 United States 03/27/2020 02:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | something strange happened. i was plotting the daily mortality numbers since the end of january. a few days ago, someone mentioned i should put my prediction here, and i did, for total dead by the end of today. Quoting: JJ Johns so, i was following the numbers closely. between yesterday and today, the total number of rate of deaths was cut by about 2,000. strange. my prediction for 28,000+ (28-30,000) was looking spot on until the numbers changed this morning. i can understand adjusting the numbers from the day or two before, but not over many days. it's just strange. Quick look maybe another site might still have the higher number. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/27/2020 05:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | something strange happened. i was plotting the daily mortality numbers since the end of january. a few days ago, someone mentioned i should put my prediction here, and i did, for total dead by the end of today. Quoting: JJ Johns so, i was following the numbers closely. between yesterday and today, the total number of rate of deaths was cut by about 2,000. strange. my prediction for 28,000+ (28-30,000) was looking spot on until the numbers changed this morning. i can understand adjusting the numbers from the day or two before, but not over many days. it's just strange. That is VERY strange......... |
Semper fi User ID: 78213816 United States 03/27/2020 05:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Ravens 3
User ID: 78697888 United States 03/28/2020 01:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 3/11/20: 118,000 worldwide, 700 USA Quoting: BronYx 77069256 3/18/20: 207,000 worldwide, 7,000 USA 3/20/20: 275,000 worldwide, 20,000 USA [link to coronavirus.jhu.edu (secure)] 3/27/20: ............??????????????????? My guess: 500,000 worldwide, 50,000 USA Friday March 27th Worldwide: 489,232 USA: 57,223 Congratulations. Your guess was the closes to the actual number without going over the actual number. My USA guess of 70,000 was closer to the actual number, but my worldwide guess was too high. Thanks but damn...this thing is growing FAST! xXx |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78014269 United States 03/28/2020 01:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 77069256 United States 03/30/2020 11:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 3/11/20: 118,000 worldwide, 700 USA Quoting: BronYx 77069256 3/18/20: 207,000 worldwide, 7,000 USA 3/20/20: 275,000 worldwide, 20,000 USA [link to coronavirus.jhu.edu (secure)] 3/27/20: ............??????????????????? My guess: 500,000 worldwide, 50,000 USA Friday March 27th Worldwide: 489,232 USA: 57,223 Congratulations. Your guess was the closes to the actual number without going over the actual number. My USA guess of 70,000 was closer to the actual number, but my worldwide guess was too high. Thanks but damn...this thing is growing FAST! Yes but hopefully it slows down after April 15......... |