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REPORT COPYRIGHT VIOLATION IN REPLY
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Message Subject
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Why hasn't the UK been locked down yet?
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Poster Handle
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The Laughing Cavalier |
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Post Content
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Look at the maths.
Say the UK population is 66,000,000
Current confirmed cases in UK today stand at 5,748
Not all these cases need treatment, most are told to self isolate and recover.
5,748 people is 0.01% of our population, if only 1% (i.e. 574 people) of that number require ICU beds and specialist care (usually for a minimum of 12 days) then that's a lot of extra ICU (remember accidents and illness is still occurring as well)
So to extrapolate, if the number of infected were to increase to say 1% of our population (at the same time, this is the important part, coping with the numbers) the figures become more than critical.
If 1% of population infected = 660,000
If only 1% of that number required critical care the beds required would be 6600
The system wouldn't cope, this is why they NEED to level the curve in the spike.
There is also a disparity in where the ICU beds are located throughout the country.
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78659621 We can also say that accidents and illnesses will reduce greatly due to people been now stuck in their basement and bedrooms due to self-isolation and social-distancing. Further, the road traffic is almost non-existent so there won't be many accidents coming from roads either. The numbers we are dealing with do not warrant the draconian measures been taken. Far more people die from flu each year and we do not grind the country to a halt. Something doesn't smell right here and those people who still have free-thinking capabilities can see that. And no amount of insults and aggression can change that. 
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