DEATHS DOUBLING EVERY WEEK! Exponential Growth! | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77891231 United States 03/23/2020 11:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78676694 United States 03/23/2020 11:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] |
Jungleboogie
User ID: 76648271 Canada 03/23/2020 11:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | if we keep doubling every 6 days... Quoting: JJ Johns let's say every week, at this rate. 16,000+ - currently 32,000 - next week 64,000 - in 2 weeks 128,000- in 3 weeks 256,000 - in one month 500,000 in 5 weeks 1 million in 6 weeks 2 million in 7 weeks... It will more than double every 6 days. The vast majority of deaths are still from Italy and China. Look at Italy's death rate from patient zero to today. The west is all basically within a week of each other from their own patient zero in their individual countries. Death rate is going on a rocket ride. Embrace the cognitive dissonance. |
Digital mix guy
User ID: 78668696 United States 03/24/2020 12:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 65775813 United States 03/24/2020 12:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OP. According to your fear mongering 'exponential growth' model, the 8 Billion people (the whole Earth) will be dead in 20 weeks. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76772883 I think it's time to rethink your models, calm the F down, and stop fear mongering. Precisely. In Canada, we have a total of 2,088 active cases, and just 23 deaths. That works out to a mortality rate of just 1.1%, less than annual seasonal flu. Even in Italy, the death rate is 0.0938%, or just under 1%. Taken as a percentage of total population, Canada’s death rate is just .0000006126%, almost infinitesimally small. Hardly a case of ‘deaths doubling every week’. The concern with coronavirus isn't the number of deaths, it’s the rate of infections (which is exponential, by the way) and their potential to overwhelm even the best-equipped health care systems, and cause people who are not infected to die of other causes for want of treatment because all the resources are being redirected to treating coronavirus cases. This is the worst math and understanding I’ve seen. I don’t even know where to start. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 70484128 United States 03/24/2020 12:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | if we keep doubling every 6 days... Quoting: JJ Johns let's say every week, at this rate. 16,000+ - currently 32,000 - next week 64,000 - in 2 weeks 128,000- in 3 weeks 256,000 - in one month 500,000 in 5 weeks 1 million in 6 weeks 2 million in 7 weeks... Huh. I wonder how many of these include the homeless and such? |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 01:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | if we keep doubling every 6 days... Quoting: JJ Johns let's say every week, at this rate. 16,000+ - currently 32,000 - next week 64,000 - in 2 weeks 128,000- in 3 weeks 256,000 - in one month 500,000 in 5 weeks 1 million in 6 weeks 2 million in 7 weeks... 3/18/20: COVID-19 deaths worldwide: 8,657 by 8:00 EST 3/23/20: COVID-19 deaths worldwide: 16,497 by 8:00 EST So the deaths are actually doubling EVERY FIVE DAYS! GUESS how many global and US cases by this Friday, 3/27/20?? Thread: Forecasting coronavirus spread: GUESS how many cases by next Friday............ i started the thread when the deaths had hit 16,000, which was 6 days from approx. 8,000 to 16,000, and then rounded up to 7 day to make it easier to show here by week. so yes, it is actually accelerating. it took 8 days from 4,000 to 8,000... sure, i can guess on your thread... . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 01:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 01:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This will level off very soon. You can’t assume it will continue to double when people are recovering. Your math leads to everyone on earth dead in a few months. The fact is that the vast majority of people who get this recover. Stop spreading fear. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77732153 i simply followed the numbers. and, as i've stated many times on many of my threads and posts, it is also contingent on slowing this down by isolation. to counter your argument, and something you don't understand is that there aren't enough ICU beds and ventilators and your hospitals may soon be overrun like they are now in italy. Last Edited by Jay3 on 03/24/2020 01:49 AM . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 01:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | italy just reported with another 743 deaths today... shit is about to go sideways :( pray & stay inside. it's just starting to hit the states, and trump, for some reason is saying the shut downs won't last long. i hope he doesn't end them too soon. stay safe Last Edited by Jay3 on 03/24/2020 01:12 PM . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Gorgol
User ID: 78275908 Netherlands 03/24/2020 04:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yesterday USA had doubled its deathcout = 100% increase Today you have about 100 new deaths = 20% increase Can you spot the trend Or can you not By the numbers, you know? Last Edited by Gorgol on 03/24/2020 04:08 PM Gorgol -No Jab, No Jitter |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 04:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yesterday USA had doubled its deathcout = 100% increase Quoting: Gorgol Today you have about 100 new deaths = 20% increase Can you spot the trend Or can you not Mr. would-be by the numbers my numbers were always based on the total mortality per day. and today, not over yet, has still increased over yesterday. so far today 2,064 and, the increase over the last few days: 21.Mrz 1638 22.Mrz 1634 23.Mrz 1873 23.Mrz 1975 so, there's that. anything else you care to add? . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 04:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | all right here if you want to check : [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Gorgol
User ID: 78275908 Netherlands 03/24/2020 04:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yesterday USA had doubled its deathcout = 100% increase Quoting: Gorgol Today you have about 100 new deaths = 20% increase Can you spot the trend Or can you not Mr. would-be by the numbers my numbers were always based on the total mortality per day. and today, not over yet, has still increased over yesterday. so far today 2,064 and, the increase over the last few days: 21.Mrz 1638 22.Mrz 1634 23.Mrz 1873 23.Mrz 1975 so, there's that. anything else you care to add? Yea, you must be stupid thinking seeing trends in cumulatives Gorgol -No Jab, No Jitter |
Gorgol
User ID: 78275908 Netherlands 03/24/2020 04:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 04:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Gorgol
User ID: 78275908 Netherlands 03/24/2020 04:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 04:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yesterday USA had doubled its deathcout = 100% increase Quoting: Gorgol Today you have about 100 new deaths = 20% increase Can you spot the trend Or can you not Mr. would-be by the numbers my numbers were always based on the total mortality per day. and today, not over yet, has still increased over yesterday. so far today 2,064 and, the increase over the last few days: 21.Mrz 1638 22.Mrz 1634 23.Mrz 1873 23.Mrz 1975 so, there's that. anything else you care to add? Yea, you must be stupid thinking seeing trends in cumulatives luckily, i don't give a shit about what random nobodies on the interwebs, like you, think of me or my abilities. your insults make me chuckle. thanks for that! . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 68091992 United States 03/24/2020 04:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That website has the numbers EXCLUDING China available. Doubling every few days is linear. This is a natural virus so it acts exponentially which is nonlinear. Look at the difference it starts close to the same, but exponential blows ups. Linear: 1*2=2 2*2=4 3*2=6 4*2=8 5*2=10 6*2=12 7*2=14 8*2=16 9*2=18 10*2=20 20*2=40 30*2=60 40*2=80 50*2=100 100*2=200 Exponential: 1^2=1 2^2=4 3^2=9 4^2=16 5^2=25 6^2=36 7^2=49 8^2=64 9^2=81 10^2=100 20^2=400 30^2=900 40^2=1600 50^2=2500 100^2=100000 |
Gorgol
User ID: 78275908 Netherlands 03/24/2020 04:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yesterday USA had doubled its deathcout = 100% increase Quoting: Gorgol Today you have about 100 new deaths = 20% increase Can you spot the trend Or can you not Mr. would-be by the numbers my numbers were always based on the total mortality per day. and today, not over yet, has still increased over yesterday. so far today 2,064 and, the increase over the last few days: 21.Mrz 1638 22.Mrz 1634 23.Mrz 1873 23.Mrz 1975 so, there's that. anything else you care to add? Yea, you must be stupid thinking seeing trends in cumulatives luckily, i don't give a shit about what random nobodies on the interwebs, like you, think of me or my abilities. your insults make me chuckle. thanks for that! Glad it doesn't hurt Gorgol -No Jab, No Jitter |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78651417 United Kingdom 03/24/2020 06:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Lol and Trump said the virus is nothing to worry about. |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 08:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 24.Mar...2296....18810 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Lol and Trump said the virus is nothing to worry about. stats go until 12 GMT and today, not yet over, is already 2,296 [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Last Edited by Jay3 on 03/24/2020 08:26 PM . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
JADR+
User ID: 78323737 Australia 03/24/2020 08:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 24.Mar...2296....18810 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Lol and Trump said the virus is nothing to worry about. stats go until 12 GMT and today, not yet over, is already 2,296 [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] In less than two weeks it will reach 10,000 a day I'm a J & proud zio. OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)] FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions JADR+ |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/24/2020 08:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 24.Mar...2296....18810 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Lol and Trump said the virus is nothing to worry about. stats go until 12 GMT and today, not yet over, is already 2,296 [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] In less than two weeks it will reach 10,000 a day sadly, i agree. . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
wisconsin
User ID: 78259322 United States 03/25/2020 03:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Our most up-to-date data and annotations [link to covidtracking.com (secure)] Last synced with our spreadsheet: 3/25 15:04 ET Positive 60,443 Negative 325,282 Pos + Neg 385,725 Pending Hospitalized 5,625 Death 826 Total 400,474 US Totals . Our family celebrates The Lord's Feasts: [link to www.grafted-promise.net] Fools and the dead don't change their minds. Fools won't and the dead can't. When you tear out a man's tongue, you are not proving him a liar. You are only telling the world that you fear what he might say. Quoting: CountryWise Amos 5:13 - Therefore at such a time the prudent person keeps silent, for it is an evil time. |