| Users Online Now: 2,189 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 1,067,706 | |
| Pageviews Today: 1,781,998 | Threads Today: 719 | Posts Today: 12,840 |
| 05:31 PM | ||
| Users Online Now: 2,189 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 1,067,706 | |
| Pageviews Today: 1,781,998 | Threads Today: 719 | Posts Today: 12,840 |
| 05:31 PM | ||
UPDATE: We Broke the Trend! Deaths from COVID19 no longer doubling every 6 Days. Happy Easter! | |
Lady Jayne Smith
Forum Administrator  04/04/2020 06:37 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812  Chile04/04/2020 06:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hi all, view from across the pond. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78730225 The figure for recoveries is bizarre. 12 Days now and no increase. Using our published figures we're seeing a 10% death rate and 0.5% recovery rate. Obviously many still in hospital and increasing with new cases daily. Commencing 18th March 2020 Wed 18/3 Confirmed 1960 Dead 71 Recovered 65 Thu 19/3 Confirmed 2644 Dead 104 Recovered 65 +684/33/0 Fri 20/3 Confirmed 3269 Dead 144 Recovered 65 +625/40/0 Sat 21/3 Confirmed 4015 Dead 178 Recovered 79 +746/34/14 Sun 22/3 Confirmed 5018 Dead 233 Recovered 93 +1003/55/14 Mon 23/3 Confirmed 5748 Dead 281 Recovered 135 +730/48/42 Tue 24/3 Confirmed 6727 Dead 333 Recovered 135 +979/52/0 Wed 25/3 Confirmed 8077 Dead 422 Recovered 135 +1350/89/0 Thu 26/3 Confirmed 9529 Dead 465 Recovered 135 +1452/43/0 Fri 27/3 Confirmed 11,813 Dead 578 Recovered 135 +2284/113/0 Sat 28/3 Confirmed 14,751 Dead 769 Recovered 135 +2938/191/0 Sun 29/3 Confirmed 17,089 Dead 1,019 Recovered 135 +2338/250/0 Mon 30/3 Confirmed 19,522 Dead 1228 Recovered 135 +2433/209/0 Tue 31/3 Confirmed 22,141 Dead 1,408 Recovered 135 +2,619/180/0 Wed 01/4 Confirmed 29,474 Dead 2,352 Recovered 135 +7,333/944/0 Thu 02/4 Confirmed 33,718 Dead 2,921 Recovered 135 +4,244/569/0 Fri 03/4 Confirmed 38,168 Dead 3,605 Recovered 135 +4,450/684/0 Sat 04/4 Confirmed 41,903 Dead 4,313 Recovered 135 +3,735/708/0 this is OP. posting from switzerland (not the other side of the pond), where we have one of the highest number of case /mill population in the world. please post the source you're using. i've been using this one: [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] and for the UK specifically: [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Hi there, posted a few times earlier in the thread with a different AC i.d. Yeah, I remember you're from the States but over 'here' in Europe, I was referring to 'over here' as your working with the US stats. I think you're using the appropriate benchmark (deaths) and although sad it's interesting to watch the numbers telling a story. Imagine the data available at the end of all this (subject of course to the usual unknowns) I'm using this site as source, I haven't compared site to site to see how their info compares. thanks for the clarification. i've been using the stats from world meter from the beginning when i started plotting this on a spread sheet, so i just stuck with the same. i think, most of the stats are the same, +/- a small number. thanks for the post and stay safe The one closest is the John Hopkins corona map, but the Worldometers is the most comprehensive site so far. Hopkins does a lot of analysis but is trying to put a positive vibe that is annoying. It should just stick to reporting the data without an agenda. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 78730225  United Kingdom04/04/2020 06:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "thanks for the clarification. i've been using the stats from world meter from the beginning when i started plotting this on a spread sheet, so i just stuck with the same. i think, most of the stats are the same, +/- a small number. thanks for the post and stay safe" You don't get rid of me that easily LOL Just comparing your maths to the UK For the same period of time that the (world) has seen an increase of Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Ours is looking like Date / Total Dead 09. March 4 (our first cases appeared about 6th March) 17. March 71 23. March 281 29. March 1,019 4. April 4,313 So we should have seen 4/8/16/32/64 If the maths now settled into place, using todays 4,313 we would see about 16,000 dead by 10th April (ish) If it's significantly higher for us?? WTF moment then. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 78730225 United Kingdom04/04/2020 07:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "thanks for the clarification. i've been using the stats from world meter from the beginning when i started plotting this on a spread sheet, so i just stuck with the same. i think, most of the stats are the same, +/- a small number. thanks for the post and stay safe" Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78730225 You don't get rid of me that easily LOL Just comparing your maths to the UK For the same period of time that the (world) has seen an increase of Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Ours is looking like Date / Total Dead 09. March 4 (our first cases appeared about 6th March) 17. March 71 23. March 281 29. March 1,019 4. April 4,313 So we should have seen 4/8/16/32/64 If the maths now settled into place, using todays 4,313 we would see about 16,000 dead by 10th April (ish) If it's significantly higher for us?? WTF moment then. Sorry should be 8,000 by 10th April duh |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/04/2020 07:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "thanks for the clarification. i've been using the stats from world meter from the beginning when i started plotting this on a spread sheet, so i just stuck with the same. i think, most of the stats are the same, +/- a small number. thanks for the post and stay safe" Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78730225 You don't get rid of me that easily LOL Just comparing your maths to the UK For the same period of time that the (world) has seen an increase of Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Ours is looking like Date / Total Dead 09. March 4 (our first cases appeared about 6th March) 17. March 71 23. March 281 29. March 1,019 4. April 4,313 So we should have seen 4/8/16/32/64 If the maths now settled into place, using todays 4,313 we would see about 16,000 dead by 10th April (ish) If it's significantly higher for us?? WTF moment then. Doh! The OP is refering to the world total cases! Every country has different rates. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| page8844 User ID: 72511948  United States04/04/2020 07:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Infections keep doubling every week too. Just last week it was 500000 worldwide. Now it's 1 million. If we keep this rate, by early july half of the world population will be infected. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78738650 we'll need to start wondering how 3.5B people were tested. We will get there sooner than that, unless they magically come up with 1 billion new tests, right away. They are running out of time, real quick. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 78730225 United Kingdom04/04/2020 07:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "thanks for the clarification. i've been using the stats from world meter from the beginning when i started plotting this on a spread sheet, so i just stuck with the same. i think, most of the stats are the same, +/- a small number. thanks for the post and stay safe" Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78730225 You don't get rid of me that easily LOL Just comparing your maths to the UK For the same period of time that the (world) has seen an increase of Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Ours is looking like Date / Total Dead 09. March 4 (our first cases appeared about 6th March) 17. March 71 23. March 281 29. March 1,019 4. April 4,313 So we should have seen 4/8/16/32/64 If the maths now settled into place, using todays 4,313 we would see about 16,000 dead by 10th April (ish) If it's significantly higher for us?? WTF moment then. Doh! The OP is refering to the world total cases! Every country has different rates. Yes of course that's true. I'm simply pointing out how different the UK's figures are from the WW average. |
| Mr.Borg
User ID: 77738927  Brazil04/05/2020 05:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Infections keep doubling every week too. Just last week it was 500000 worldwide. Now it's 1 million. If we keep this rate, by early july half of the world population will be infected. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78738650 This number is only the tested ones. The actual number is much higher. I believe that many people are running away from the tests for fear of being forcibly hospitalized. that's why the OP is based on death. The death toll is also underestimated, as only the TESTED dead are counted. But obviously the real number is much higher, in all countries the funeral services are collapsing. No city is able to collect all the dead, including no one is counting the victims of other EVITABLE causes that are losing their lives due to lack of medical care. In my city, which is an irrelevant city, we already have a serious funerary problem to the point of burials being carried out in a hurry, without any ritual, without the presence of family members. And in the official numbers in my small town, we have only one death victim of COVID19, only ONE, and we are no longer managing to bury the dead? In my country, the federal government will fire any officer who "causes panic", the order is to lie and send people to work. We will have a military coup later this week. Horrible times, I never imagined that the end of the world would be this cruel way, people dying far from their relatives, buried without a last goodbye, without tributes, mothers, parents, brothers, children, how sad.  |
| rod777
User ID: 78179683 United States04/05/2020 06:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Riley Waters
User ID: 76809044 United States04/05/2020 06:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78743070  Switzerland04/05/2020 09:42 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Infections keep doubling every week too. Just last week it was 500000 worldwide. Now it's 1 million. If we keep this rate, by early july half of the world population will be infected. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78738650 This number is only the tested ones. The actual number is much higher. I believe that many people are running away from the tests for fear of being forcibly hospitalized. that's why the OP is based on death. The death toll is also underestimated, as only the TESTED dead are counted. But obviously the real number is much higher, in all countries the funeral services are collapsing. No city is able to collect all the dead, including no one is counting the victims of other EVITABLE causes that are losing their lives due to lack of medical care. In my city, which is an irrelevant city, we already have a serious funerary problem to the point of burials being carried out in a hurry, without any ritual, without the presence of family members. And in the official numbers in my small town, we have only one death victim of COVID19, only ONE, and we are no longer managing to bury the dead? In my country, the federal government will fire any officer who "causes panic", the order is to lie and send people to work. We will have a military coup later this week. Horrible times, I never imagined that the end of the world would be this cruel way, people dying far from their relatives, buried without a last goodbye, without tributes, mothers, parents, brothers, children, how sad. it is truly sad. are you in the states? or what country/state? . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/10/2020 11:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We'll hit the 64,000 deaths today, again doubling the amount of every 6 days! Quoting: JJ Johns Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Counter argument. It’s most probable that by the end of today the count will be over 100.000 but less than 105.000, so, we could say it slowed down a bit, but it will probably mean that it now is doubling every 10. Better? Of course, but in the long term I think is really not good news, just a dent in the capacity of this effinly efficient contagious virus capacity to spread. Last Edited by Red Hot Chilean Pepe on 04/10/2020 11:40 AM All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| Riley Waters
User ID: 76809044 United States04/10/2020 11:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/10/2020 11:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | they keep saying that today and tomorrow will be the end Quoting: Riley Waters of the ever climbing Exponential Curve. i don't think it's gonna end yet. Nature has a knack for Never behaving as modeled, some times not even close. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland04/10/2020 02:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We'll hit the 64,000 deaths today, again doubling the amount of every 6 days! Quoting: JJ Johns Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Counter argument. It’s most probable that by the end of today the count will be over 100.000 but less than 105.000, so, we could say it slowed down a bit, but it will probably mean that it now is doubling every 10. Better? Of course, but in the long term I think is really not good news, just a dent in the capacity of this effinly efficient contagious virus capacity to spread. just came here to update the post, and did so. really great news! we came in quite a bit below the 128,000 mark--currently at 101,576. happy easter and stay safe.  . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/10/2020 02:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We'll hit the 64,000 deaths today, again doubling the amount of every 6 days! Quoting: JJ Johns Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Counter argument. It’s most probable that by the end of today the count will be over 100.000 but less than 105.000, so, we could say it slowed down a bit, but it will probably mean that it now is doubling every 10. Better? Of course, but in the long term I think is really not good news, just a dent in the capacity of this effinly efficient contagious virus capacity to spread. just came here to update the post, and did so. really great news! we came in quite a bit below the 128,000 mark--currently at 101,576. happy easter and stay safe. Good to see you, let’s keep an eye on when it doubles from now on. I think is now 10 days to double. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland04/10/2020 02:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We'll hit the 64,000 deaths today, again doubling the amount of every 6 days! Quoting: JJ Johns Date / Total Dead 09. March 4,025 17. March 7,979 23. March 16,513 29. March 32,145 4. April 64,518 Counter argument. It’s most probable that by the end of today the count will be over 100.000 but less than 105.000, so, we could say it slowed down a bit, but it will probably mean that it now is doubling every 10. Better? Of course, but in the long term I think is really not good news, just a dent in the capacity of this effinly efficient contagious virus capacity to spread. just came here to update the post, and did so. really great news! we came in quite a bit below the 128,000 mark--currently at 101,576. happy easter and stay safe. Good to see you, let’s keep an eye on when it doubles from now on. I think is now 10 days to double. you too, and i agree, i think about ten days as well. so, by the end of 13. april at this rate. . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/14/2020 09:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The 128.000 mark is close, so now is doubling every 9,2 days or so. Let’s hope it keeps slowing down. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/15/2020 09:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | And, according to worldometers coronavirus map, 128.070 people have passed because of COVID-19, so the 9.2 doubling days is a good guesstimate. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
| Cowpox Vaccine
User ID: 76809044 United States04/15/2020 09:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Red Hot Chilean Pepe
User ID: 76933812 Chile04/15/2020 10:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | the only chart if seen so far is Cuomo's chart he showed on tv. Quoting: Cowpox Vaccine and it shows a nice flat plateau. uhhhh. i'm not so sure.... You need to look at more charts bro. That’s all what I can recommend to you at this moment. All great truths begin as Blasphemies. G.B.S. GLP is like a diamond mine of information, in the sense that you have to shovel mountains of crap to find the diamonds, but it's still worth the pain. |
