Exponential growth starts off slow... 2, 4, 8, 16... etc. you can not compare 3 weeks of initial growth in America to next month. As the number gets higher per day it just keeps doubling every few days. Concerns of it being a flu. Not at all. GA deaths from Coronavirus in 3 weeks has today hit the same number of deaths from flu since September (6 months) with a fraction of infected so far.

The “peak portion” is based upon social distancing, people aren’t really doing it much so there’s no way to tell when or how bad it will be.