Latest Battleground States Polls: RCP, ABC Poll: 2/3rds Oppose Trump Response To Virus, Race Relations

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Norpoth’s “Primary Model” shows that President Trump has a 91 percent chance of being reelected and also shows he would get 362 electoral votes. The model is based on a statistical and historical theory that the professor outlines.

Actual real signs in Ohio....12-1 Trump

In an interview on "The Ingraham Angle." Stony Brook University's Helmut Norpoth stated Friday that he believes the key to another victory for the president lies in the examination of primary races.

FOX NEWS POLL: BIDEN MORE TRUSTED ON CORONAVIRUS, TRUMP ON ECONOMY

"OK, the key to the November election is the primaries. And, the only primaries [are] already giving us a lot of information," he explained.

"And, based on that, Donald Trump won them very easily in his party," Norpoth continued. "Joe Biden -- the likely nominee for the Democrats -- had a great deal of trouble holding it together. But, on balance, it's that stronger performance of primaries that gives Donald Trump the edge in November."

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Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stony Brook University.

His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.
We reported that his 2016 forecast rested on a model that tracks cyclical movements in American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle. This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last 30 years or so, but a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the White House.

Norpoth made the prediction in March and says he still stands by his election prediction.

More than that in Florida this week.
Blacks and Hispanics will not be showing up to vote for the Corrupt Old White Guy that likes to grope kids, and doesn’t know what day it is.

Over nearly four months of polling, Trump's approval has mostly held steady, except for one week in mid-March, when it spiked above 50%. In the last month, Trump's approval dipped to a range between the high 30s and low 40s, as the U.S. saw a resurgence of coronavirus cases, particularly across the south and west.

In the newest poll, which was conducted by Ipsos in partnership with ABC News using Ipsos’ Knowledge Panel, Trump's approval rating on his job dealing with the coronavirus dropped another rung, driven by plunging support among independents and even waning support among Republicans. Democrats have always been highly skeptical.

Hahaha... OP, are you insane?... Wait!

I love how you people can so completely detach yourselves from reality ad live in an echo chamber!

You are going to be in for a rude awakening in November!