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Message Subject COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
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Hmm can anyone make in sense about Indonesia went to high of 57k in 1 day then continued to drop fast. Then today was around 33k compared to 54k the pervious Wednesday epically strange unless these Asians are God's at taking down dieases
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80351937


It's a problem worldwide with mostly testing. Keep in mind that all reported cases require a PCR to be considered confirmed in most countries. So what happens when cases start to rise? More people need to be tested and in general more people will have close contacts with positive contacts. Demand for testing surges and countries tend to run out of supplies. As the time to actually get tested increases more and more people will actually get tested later on in their infection where a positive result is less likely. This will also decrease the demand for testing because it's perceived as useless, there is no point in knowing you where sick with covid last week but maybe got over it.

The confirmed number tends to work at the initial peak but loses correlation with actual infections as cases outnumber contact tracing ability and then testing capacity. These effects tend to be amplified in the developing world like Indonesia.
 Quoting: Dutchy20


gotcha thanks
 
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