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Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +

 
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 05:57 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Is Teddy one to look out for?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78916435


Teddy is expected to become a major hurricane.
So yeah the potential is definitely there for Teddy to be really bad.
However at this point the models seem to have Teddy going more northward than eastward.
Probably a bigger threat to Bermuda than the US at this point unless the track changes.
Deplorableduckhunter

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09/15/2020 06:02 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Jim Cantore just showed up in Gulf Shores I hear.
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:10 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +


Its harvesting season here Simple. This could turn out bigger than the storm damage if we loose half our crops. Alabama is a huge producer of vegetables and fruits. A lot of cotton as well.
 Quoting: Bush Master


GEORGIA TOO.
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:16 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Raining and blowing pretty good here now. So far, this looks like we’re staying, but I’m gonna talk with the wife when she gets up. I’ve seen a lot worse than this ten times a year in Birmingham with the spring storms, but they say it’s gonna get worse. Nobody in my condo complex a couple miles north of the beach is leaving.
 Quoting: Revbo™


I don't like the slow movement. Could amplify effects.
I take it you're off the ground?
Is your car ground level? That one could get tricky unless you have a multi level garage? Those can be good places if things get bad.
Good luck.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 56563724


We’re at 29 feet elevation and in a third floor condo that, I’m told, made it through Ivan with just a few shingles blown off. We evacuated one car to Foley, which is about 79 feet elevation, yesterday, and my car is at ground level. We’re surrounded by deep drainage ditches so I’m keeping a a close eye on those. If they start to fill up, we’re going to get off the island.
 Quoting: Revbo™


UHMMM BEEN THRU SOME DOWN HERE THEY WILL NOT LET YOU ON ROADS CUZ IF YOU BREAK DOWN BLOK EMMERGENCCY VEHICLES CANT CRODSS BRIDGE WHEN WIIND REACH50
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:18 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
I think the UK will get left overs at least of one of these hurricanes
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:19 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Wind forecast have dropped from 100 to 80mph. But the rain has increased from 24" to 30" for the whole Alabama coast.

The panhandle and Alabama coast is going to be bad af far as rain fall.
 Quoting: Bush Master


Another day (20-some hours) of rain yet before landfall, plus a second day of rain after landfall - trees will fall, lights will go out, dunes will wash out to sea.

Gulf Shores AL looks nasty right now for a Cat 1.

Amazing to watch a tropical system with little steering, hence the crawl.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367


Now that hurricanes sit still on the coast for days. Expect tornadoes to do the same soon.

HAAP says it all.
 Quoting: Bush Master


debatable.

TWC showed days ago that the only steering was up around Kentucky, so as Sally comes ashore and that steering system moves further south, Sally will pick up speed (central-Alabama it looks like) and quickly move back into the Atlantic in the lower mid-Atlantic area.

With no steering influence tropical systems move very slowly and wobble about a bit aimlessly, generally forward in the direction they were previously steered into- check out Sally's track the last 2 days.

[link to www.wunderground.com (secure)]

She made 9 changes of direction over 2 days in the space (latitude range comparable to) from about Tampa Bay to Cedar Key FL. That's about 100 miles over land.
Deplorableduckhunter

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09/15/2020 06:33 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
The familiar song of hurricane moan is starting. Fading in and out.
It's coming from up above. Wind not too bad at the surface. Yet
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:34 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Thank you for the reporting, Bush Master.

Hope you and yours stay safe!
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:41 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Shits all fucked up

Stay safe
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:41 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Everyone have a place to shelter?
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 06:48 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
My sister is talking to her boyfriend who works in panama city beach, quite far away but beach is triple red flagged and starting to get good swells.hf
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 06:49 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Jim Cantore just showed up in Gulf Shores I hear.
 Quoting: Deplorableduckhunter


Oh snap

snap
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
RPHUNTER

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09/15/2020 06:50 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
[link to www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov (secure)]

this estimate places cloud to temperature at over -80 celcius!!


click on image when loaded to enlarge


after its over fill your humming bird feeders!
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 06:50 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Everyone have a place to shelter?
 Quoting: pool


I live underground with solid concrete walls.

I'm not kidding I really do.

hf
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 06:52 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Thank you for the reporting, Bush Master.

Hope you and yours stay safe!
 Quoting: sseess


SSEESS, TY you one of the good ones.

hugs
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 06:53 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
The familiar song of hurricane moan is starting. Fading in and out.
It's coming from up above. Wind not too bad at the surface. Yet
 Quoting: Deplorableduckhunter


Holy shit that's a horrible sound.

Hope you have better backup brother.

Keep us updated as long as you safe to do so.
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 06:55 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Wind forecast have dropped from 100 to 80mph. But the rain has increased from 24" to 30" for the whole Alabama coast.

The panhandle and Alabama coast is going to be bad af far as rain fall.
 Quoting: Bush Master


Another day (20-some hours) of rain yet before landfall, plus a second day of rain after landfall - trees will fall, lights will go out, dunes will wash out to sea.

Gulf Shores AL looks nasty right now for a Cat 1.

Amazing to watch a tropical system with little steering, hence the crawl.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367


Now that hurricanes sit still on the coast for days. Expect tornadoes to do the same soon.

HAAP says it all.
 Quoting: Bush Master


debatable.

TWC showed days ago that the only steering was up around Kentucky, so as Sally comes ashore and that steering system moves further south, Sally will pick up speed (central-Alabama it looks like) and quickly move back into the Atlantic in the lower mid-Atlantic area.

With no steering influence tropical systems move very slowly and wobble about a bit aimlessly, generally forward in the direction they were previously steered into- check out Sally's track the last 2 days.

[link to www.wunderground.com (secure)]

She made 9 changes of direction over 2 days in the space (latitude range comparable to) from about Tampa Bay to Cedar Key FL. That's about 100 miles over land.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367


Did you notice 3 of the spaghetti models showed it heading back down to the gulf after 2 days of landfall?
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Turd Ferguson, Jr.

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09/15/2020 07:03 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Mobile here. Tropical storm force winds at the moment. Been increasing in strength the last 2 hours.

Just a reminder to the rest of the world: we get at least 5 feet of rain annually. I remember one year we got 8 feet. The elevation isn't very high but the drainage is very good.

Unlike metro Houston we didn't pave 50% of the surface area of three counties. There will be flooding but it's nothing we aren't used to. Back in '96 or '97 Hurricane Danny did just what Sally is doing. Some areas got 40+ inches in 3 days, most of it in one day. Back in '14 we had a spring cold front dump 10 inches in my back yard in 2 hours, then 5 more inches that night.

Some places are made for super heavy rain and SW Alabama is one of those places. We'll be fine.
LittleMe
I don’t want flowers when I die…

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09/15/2020 07:11 PM

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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Orange beach.



I'd like to be there by the pool having a drink!
 Quoting: Bush Master


lmdrinks
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 07:13 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
...


Another day (20-some hours) of rain yet before landfall, plus a second day of rain after landfall - trees will fall, lights will go out, dunes will wash out to sea.

Gulf Shores AL looks nasty right now for a Cat 1.

Amazing to watch a tropical system with little steering, hence the crawl.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367


Now that hurricanes sit still on the coast for days. Expect tornadoes to do the same soon.

HAAP says it all.
 Quoting: Bush Master


debatable.

TWC showed days ago that the only steering was up around Kentucky, so as Sally comes ashore and that steering system moves further south, Sally will pick up speed (central-Alabama it looks like) and quickly move back into the Atlantic in the lower mid-Atlantic area.

With no steering influence tropical systems move very slowly and wobble about a bit aimlessly, generally forward in the direction they were previously steered into- check out Sally's track the last 2 days.

[link to www.wunderground.com (secure)]

She made 9 changes of direction over 2 days in the space (latitude range comparable to) from about Tampa Bay to Cedar Key FL. That's about 100 miles over land.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367


Did you notice 3 of the spaghetti models showed it heading back down to the gulf after 2 days of landfall?
 Quoting: Bush Master


That'd be interesting. There is a strong jet coming down the east coast. TWC had said last week that there would be rip currents from Florida to Maine a couple days ago due to that jet + Paulette + Sally.

Sally's definitely one of the more unpredictable storms based on the speed.

It's generally somewhere between landfall in approx 12 to approx 24 hours.

Category Slow is bad.
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 07:14 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Jim Cantore just showed up in Gulf Shores I hear.
 Quoting: Deplorableduckhunter


Oh snap

:snap:
 Quoting: Bush Master


Check out reed timmer on twitter. He's been at gulf shores for a day or two.
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 07:14 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Mobile here. Tropical storm force winds at the moment. Been increasing in strength the last 2 hours.

Just a reminder to the rest of the world: we get at least 5 feet of rain annually. I remember one year we got 8 feet. The elevation isn't very high but the drainage is very good.

Unlike metro Houston we didn't pave 50% of the surface area of three counties. There will be flooding but it's nothing we aren't used to. Back in '96 or '97 Hurricane Danny did just what Sally is doing. Some areas got 40+ inches in 3 days, most of it in one day. Back in '14 we had a spring cold front dump 10 inches in my back yard in 2 hours, then 5 more inches that night.

Some places are made for super heavy rain and SW Alabama is one of those places. We'll be fine.
 Quoting: Turd Ferguson, Jr.


Thanks for the reality check. I lived there when building austal shipyard. That's a lovely place to live. Especially during Mardi gras. I lived there for a year.
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 07:15 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Jim Cantore just showed up in Gulf Shores I hear.
 Quoting: Deplorableduckhunter


Oh snap

snap
 Quoting: Bush Master


Check out reed timmer on twitter. He's been at gulf shores for a day or two.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79159513


Got it TY
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 07:17 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Jim Cantore just showed up in Gulf Shores I hear.
 Quoting: Deplorableduckhunter


Oh snap

snap
 Quoting: Bush Master


Check out reed timmer on twitter. He's been at gulf shores for a day or two.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79159513


Damn hes bad ass

Thanks again ac
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Xtruther

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09/15/2020 07:18 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
[link to rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu (secure)]

Good map to check out.
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 07:18 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Orange beach.



I'd like to be there by the pool having a drink!
 Quoting: Bush Master


lmdrinks
 Quoting: LittleMe


Thanks for the laughs

bump
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Turd Ferguson, Jr.

User ID: 51522520
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09/15/2020 07:23 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Mobile here. Tropical storm force winds at the moment. Been increasing in strength the last 2 hours.

Just a reminder to the rest of the world: we get at least 5 feet of rain annually. I remember one year we got 8 feet. The elevation isn't very high but the drainage is very good.

Unlike metro Houston we didn't pave 50% of the surface area of three counties. There will be flooding but it's nothing we aren't used to. Back in '96 or '97 Hurricane Danny did just what Sally is doing. Some areas got 40+ inches in 3 days, most of it in one day. Back in '14 we had a spring cold front dump 10 inches in my back yard in 2 hours, then 5 more inches that night.

Some places are made for super heavy rain and SW Alabama is one of those places. We'll be fine.
 Quoting: Turd Ferguson, Jr.


Thanks for the reality check. I lived there when building austal shipyard. That's a lovely place to live. Especially during Mardi gras. I lived there for a year.
 Quoting: Bush Master


Austal had two of those Littoral Combat ships docked last weekend. Those things look badass. Glad you enjoyed your time here. It's laid back but just an hour away from excitement.
Bush Master  (OP)

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09/15/2020 07:25 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
[link to www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov (secure)]

this estimate places cloud to temperature at over -80 celcius!!


click on image when loaded to enlarge


after its over fill your humming bird feeders!
 Quoting: RPHUNTER


Hay great link. TY

For some strang reason my hummingbirds are not feeding now
This is strange.
Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Bush Master  (OP)

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United States
09/15/2020 07:29 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +

Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!

Oh,and screw tepco & the V.A.



:captain:
Thread: GLP-Jukebox
Toprance1

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09/15/2020 07:44 PM
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Re: Tropical Storm Sally could bring ‘dangerous, potentially historic’ flooding to Alabama, 30" +
Orange beach.



I'd like to be there by the pool having a drink!
 Quoting: Bush Master


lmdrinks
 Quoting: LittleMe


d44

That's so funny LittleMe!
Never ever, ever, ever give up!!!





GLP