Tropical Depression Twenty-Two has formed in the Gulf

Tropical Storm Beto for Texas? Hell, I thought we kicked him out years ago!!

Hurricane season ends Nov. 30. We still have 2 1/2 months left. But this is the peak of season.

We now have Beta....

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Hurricane Sandy hit the northeast coast on October 29th. Certain barrier islands in NJ were closed for three months. Gas and electric lines were destroyed. Roads had to be rebuilt. Houses destroyed.

Last Edited by nutmeg on 09/18/2020 07:17 PM

Don't Fear the Reaper.. AC

This is going to be a major hurricane on Sunday.

Beta's circular cone stretches from about La Pesca Mexico to Alabama.


Roll Kahuna Tide

Yeesh.

Cone from just south of the Texas/Mexico border to just east of the Texas/La line.
[link to www.khou.com (secure)]

Last Edited by Moon&Stars on 09/18/2020 07:58 PM

With most of the world now cloaked in clouds, a truther might start to ask why.....

Home page..
[link to floodlist.com]

Asia..
[link to floodlist.com]

Possible track..
[imgur]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

A week yet before landfall /\

I always thought it was the east side of the hurricane that was the worst.
With the west side being the weaker side.

The worst sector is the part that is screaming off the water and hitting land. If the coastline runs East-West it is the North East Sector.

But angle the coastline and the worst sector moves as well.

The worst side is when the storm is moving slowly NW and you get the northern, northeastern and eastern eye wall as it passes..

Tropical Storm Beta has increased 20 mph since the last update about 6 hours ago.

Beta is now generating 60 mph winds, pressure 996 millibars moving, NNE at 12 mph.


Looks to be hanging a serious leonard tomorrow towards Texas at some point. Forecast calls for heavy rain and flooding from Sunday through the middle of the week, possibly longer..??

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Earlier TWC was saying that the center of circulation was south of the convection sort of like Isaias was as it moved past FL towards SC. Isaias re-stacked, re-aligned and became a category 1 hurricane even though it was fighting dry air and shear.

It looks like Beta has been fighting shear and may now be reforming - small dark convection at the bottom. It may be undergoing a strengthening phase.

[imgur]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

[imgur] [link to imgur.com (secure)]

Twenty Two letters in the ebrew alphabet and 22 major Arkana. It is going to be destructive.

Beta is heavily slanted with rainfall over coastal LA and the center of circulation far away in the Gulf at about Brownsville TX latitude.

Weak steering takes Beta towards Corpus Christi into Sunday, then the steering weakens more to almost none as Beta will become a hurricane and turn northeast along the coast - landfall area uncertain but it'll for sure be moving slow.

Another category slow storm folks!

Current track has Beta making landfall somewhere near where Laura did about 3 weeks ago. However that's not 100% for now. Long way to go yet as Beta fights dry air and shear.

It'll be another unique one if it skirts the coast over water from Corpus Christi to western LA. That would be a real rain and surge-maker.

Sure looks to me like it will simply move Northward and hit the West part of Louisiana.

Why do they predict it sharply turning west?

Last Edited by JustmeTX on 09/19/2020 10:13 AM

Looks like it will run into a blocking ridge and will turn west with it's circulation direction (counter-clockwise). We'll see if there is a better explanation later.

Most of Beta's rain is 300 miles away in LA near New Orleans.

A flare-up of lightning and convection has recently happened near the center of circulation. Something to watch to see if it continues - a sign of intensification.

10am CST Update- 60 mph winds, pressure is 994 mb's and it is moving NW now at 3 mph.

It's started its westward turn - pinched between 2 high pressure systems.

A high-altitude trough, dip in the jet-stream, is shearing and keeping Beta from intensifying somewhat. Those conditions seem to be changing recently as mentioned in last comment.

It's going to be a week-long event along the Texas coast.

Thanks.


I hate hurricanes.

If we could just dredge a huge seaway across Mexico, all that troublesome hot water could be flushed out of the Gulf with a nice cold California current. :)

Instead of what we have now, a series of weather bombs blowing the energy out the hard way.

Last Edited by JustmeTX on 09/19/2020 11:45 AM

Things are a'changing. From 2008-2015 there were 13 category 4 storms in the Atlantic and 10 were mid-to strong with 3 of those just 1 mph short of category 5 at 155 mph. From 2016 to 2019 there were 6 category 5 storms in the Atlantic.

So far 2020 has been more about volume, but I suspect a cat 5 will impact the Bahamas or the mainland. We are a little past the halfway point in this season. Plus these storms are really persistent regardless of category as witnessed this year.

It used to be that people might have been somewhat confident to ride out a category 1 or 2 on the coast but a slow moving category 1 like Beta is forecasted to be will cause water-related problems. Best to be prepared at a minimum if one chooses to ride it out on the coast or within 5-10 miles or so inland depending on topography.

Ivan had a worse storm surge than Sally but since Sally was moving so slow she had much worse inland flooding.

Be safe!!