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| 02:03 AM | ||
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| 02:03 AM | ||
Tropical Depression Twenty-Two has formed in the Gulf | |
Justmeok
 User ID: 76148484  United States09/19/2020 12:09 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 10am CST Update- 60 mph winds, pressure is 994 mb's and it is moving NW now at 3 mph. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 It's started its westward turn - pinched between 2 high pressure systems. A high-altitude trough, dip in the jet-stream, is shearing and keeping Beta from intensifying somewhat. Those conditions seem to be changing recently as mentioned in last comment. It's going to be a week-long event along the Texas coast. Thanks. I hate hurricanes. If we could just dredge a huge seaway across Mexico, all that troublesome hot water could be flushed out of the Gulf with a nice cold California current. :) Instead of what we have now, a series of weather bombs blowing the energy out the hard way. Things are a'changing. From 2008-2015 there were 13 category 4 storms in the Atlantic and 10 were mid-to strong with 3 of those just 1 mph short of category 5 at 155 mph. From 2016 to 2019 there were 6 category 5 storms in the Atlantic. So far 2020 has been more about volume, but I suspect a cat 5 will impact the Bahamas or the mainland. We are a little past the halfway point in this season. Plus these storms are really persistent regardless of category as witnessed this year. It used to be that people might have been somewhat confident to ride out a category 1 or 2 on the coast but a slow moving category 1 like Beta is forecasted to be will cause water-related problems. Best to be prepared at a minimum if one chooses to ride it out on the coast or within 5-10 miles or so inland depending on topography. Ivan had a worse storm surge than Sally but since Sally was moving so slow she had much worse inland flooding. Be safe!! Sounds like it could be a repeat of Harvey. I got over 50 inches of rain in 4 days. I sure hope not. Justme |
| darkwolf007
User ID: 14296686 United States09/19/2020 12:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NHC says hurricane status this weekend. 80% of the cone is currently Texas. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 Center of circulation is separated from the main convection (to the south - like Isaias) - expecting it to normalize perhaps today and if so the track could change. It would become Wilfred and the ninth named storm to make landfall this year, which ties a 1916 record. Yeah... even on [link to radar.weather.gov (secure)] you can see around New Orleans, LA the Tropical Depression is struggling to do more than be a massive rain maker. Monday to Wednesday my area is forecasted to get a fair amount of rain, presumably because of that new Tropical Depression. Conspiracy Theorist is nothing more than a derogatory title used to dismiss a critical thinker. A time is coming when men will go mad, and when they see someone who is not mad, they will attack him, saying, 'You are mad; you are not like us." -- St. Anthony The Great Social Credit Loser here. |
| darkwolf007
User ID: 14296686 United States09/19/2020 12:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 10am CST Update- 60 mph winds, pressure is 994 mb's and it is moving NW now at 3 mph. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 It's started its westward turn - pinched between 2 high pressure systems. A high-altitude trough, dip in the jet-stream, is shearing and keeping Beta from intensifying somewhat. Those conditions seem to be changing recently as mentioned in last comment. It's going to be a week-long event along the Texas coast. Thanks. I hate hurricanes. If we could just dredge a huge seaway across Mexico, all that troublesome hot water could be flushed out of the Gulf with a nice cold California current. :) Instead of what we have now, a series of weather bombs blowing the energy out the hard way. Things are a'changing. From 2008-2015 there were 13 category 4 storms in the Atlantic and 10 were mid-to strong with 3 of those just 1 mph short of category 5 at 155 mph. From 2016 to 2019 there were 6 category 5 storms in the Atlantic. So far 2020 has been more about volume, but I suspect a cat 5 will impact the Bahamas or the mainland. We are a little past the halfway point in this season. Plus these storms are really persistent regardless of category as witnessed this year. It used to be that people might have been somewhat confident to ride out a category 1 or 2 on the coast but a slow moving category 1 like Beta is forecasted to be will cause water-related problems. Best to be prepared at a minimum if one chooses to ride it out on the coast or within 5-10 miles or so inland depending on topography. Ivan had a worse storm surge than Sally but since Sally was moving so slow she had much worse inland flooding. Be safe!! Sounds like it could be a repeat of Harvey. I got over 50 inches of rain in 4 days. I sure hope not. I would much rather spread as much of that rain over as much Texas as reasonably possible. North Texas is still in a drought. I think West Texas is much worse off than North Texas though. Conspiracy Theorist is nothing more than a derogatory title used to dismiss a critical thinker. A time is coming when men will go mad, and when they see someone who is not mad, they will attack him, saying, 'You are mad; you are not like us." -- St. Anthony The Great Social Credit Loser here. |
| EndTheFed
User ID: 78633896 United States09/19/2020 12:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 12:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 10am CST Update- 60 mph winds, pressure is 994 mb's and it is moving NW now at 3 mph. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 It's started its westward turn - pinched between 2 high pressure systems. A high-altitude trough, dip in the jet-stream, is shearing and keeping Beta from intensifying somewhat. Those conditions seem to be changing recently as mentioned in last comment. It's going to be a week-long event along the Texas coast. Thanks. I hate hurricanes. If we could just dredge a huge seaway across Mexico, all that troublesome hot water could be flushed out of the Gulf with a nice cold California current. :) Instead of what we have now, a series of weather bombs blowing the energy out the hard way. Things are a'changing. From 2008-2015 there were 13 category 4 storms in the Atlantic and 10 were mid-to strong with 3 of those just 1 mph short of category 5 at 155 mph. From 2016 to 2019 there were 6 category 5 storms in the Atlantic. So far 2020 has been more about volume, but I suspect a cat 5 will impact the Bahamas or the mainland. We are a little past the halfway point in this season. Plus these storms are really persistent regardless of category as witnessed this year. It used to be that people might have been somewhat confident to ride out a category 1 or 2 on the coast but a slow moving category 1 like Beta is forecasted to be will cause water-related problems. Best to be prepared at a minimum if one chooses to ride it out on the coast or within 5-10 miles or so inland depending on topography. Ivan had a worse storm surge than Sally but since Sally was moving so slow she had much worse inland flooding. Be safe!! Sounds like it could be a repeat of Harvey. I got over 50 inches of rain in 4 days. I sure hope not. There's always an outside possibility of Harvey-like rain totals, but I doubt 50 inches would happen. Think I saw 12-18 yesterday as the highest accumulations, with the caveat that some spots will get more. Two feet of rain is nothing to sneeze at as we saw with Sally, plus the salt water surges by the coast. Depends on if the pressure lowers considerably. Latest track has it inside Texas now rather than skirting the coast. [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)] |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 01:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NHC says hurricane status this weekend. 80% of the cone is currently Texas. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 Center of circulation is separated from the main convection (to the south - like Isaias) - expecting it to normalize perhaps today and if so the track could change. It would become Wilfred and the ninth named storm to make landfall this year, which ties a 1916 record. Yeah... even on [link to radar.weather.gov (secure)] you can see around New Orleans, LA the Tropical Depression is struggling to do more than be a massive rain maker. Monday to Wednesday my area is forecasted to get a fair amount of rain, presumably because of that new Tropical Depression. Beta is a tropical storm now - 60 mph winds, expected to become a hurricane sometime tomorrow, but this dude is unpredictable due to dry air, shear and weak steering. If the center of circulation continues to fire up lightning over the next 5 hours it will strengthen. Lots of uncertainty left. Best to keep an eye on this one. |
| darkwolf007
User ID: 14296686 United States09/19/2020 01:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Justmeok Thanks. I hate hurricanes. If we could just dredge a huge seaway across Mexico, all that troublesome hot water could be flushed out of the Gulf with a nice cold California current. :) Instead of what we have now, a series of weather bombs blowing the energy out the hard way. Things are a'changing. From 2008-2015 there were 13 category 4 storms in the Atlantic and 10 were mid-to strong with 3 of those just 1 mph short of category 5 at 155 mph. From 2016 to 2019 there were 6 category 5 storms in the Atlantic. So far 2020 has been more about volume, but I suspect a cat 5 will impact the Bahamas or the mainland. We are a little past the halfway point in this season. Plus these storms are really persistent regardless of category as witnessed this year. It used to be that people might have been somewhat confident to ride out a category 1 or 2 on the coast but a slow moving category 1 like Beta is forecasted to be will cause water-related problems. Best to be prepared at a minimum if one chooses to ride it out on the coast or within 5-10 miles or so inland depending on topography. Ivan had a worse storm surge than Sally but since Sally was moving so slow she had much worse inland flooding. Be safe!! Sounds like it could be a repeat of Harvey. I got over 50 inches of rain in 4 days. I sure hope not. There's always an outside possibility of Harvey-like rain totals, but I doubt 50 inches would happen. Think I saw 12-18 yesterday as the highest accumulations, with the caveat that some spots will get more. Two feet of rain is nothing to sneeze at as we saw with Sally, plus the salt water surges by the coast. Depends on if the pressure lowers considerably. Latest track has it inside Texas now rather than skirting the coast. [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)] Your link is broken, OP. Conspiracy Theorist is nothing more than a derogatory title used to dismiss a critical thinker. A time is coming when men will go mad, and when they see someone who is not mad, they will attack him, saying, 'You are mad; you are not like us." -- St. Anthony The Great Social Credit Loser here. |
| darkwolf007
User ID: 14296686 United States09/19/2020 01:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NHC says hurricane status this weekend. 80% of the cone is currently Texas. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 Center of circulation is separated from the main convection (to the south - like Isaias) - expecting it to normalize perhaps today and if so the track could change. It would become Wilfred and the ninth named storm to make landfall this year, which ties a 1916 record. Yeah... even on [link to radar.weather.gov (secure)] you can see around New Orleans, LA the Tropical Depression is struggling to do more than be a massive rain maker. Monday to Wednesday my area is forecasted to get a fair amount of rain, presumably because of that new Tropical Depression. Beta is a tropical storm now - 60 mph winds, expected to become a hurricane sometime tomorrow, but this dude is unpredictable due to dry air, shear and weak steering. If the center of circulation continues to fire up lightning over the next 5 hours it will strengthen. Lots of uncertainty left. Best to keep an eye on this one. True. I am hoping North Texas gets alot of rain and storms. It would be rather nice to see the plant life around here to be more lively until the Autumn processes begin. Even though Autumn officially begins in two or three days. Conspiracy Theorist is nothing more than a derogatory title used to dismiss a critical thinker. A time is coming when men will go mad, and when they see someone who is not mad, they will attack him, saying, 'You are mad; you are not like us." -- St. Anthony The Great Social Credit Loser here. |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 01:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 01:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NHC says hurricane status this weekend. 80% of the cone is currently Texas. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 Center of circulation is separated from the main convection (to the south - like Isaias) - expecting it to normalize perhaps today and if so the track could change. It would become Wilfred and the ninth named storm to make landfall this year, which ties a 1916 record. Yeah... even on [link to radar.weather.gov (secure)] you can see around New Orleans, LA the Tropical Depression is struggling to do more than be a massive rain maker. Monday to Wednesday my area is forecasted to get a fair amount of rain, presumably because of that new Tropical Depression. Beta is a tropical storm now - 60 mph winds, expected to become a hurricane sometime tomorrow, but this dude is unpredictable due to dry air, shear and weak steering. If the center of circulation continues to fire up lightning over the next 5 hours it will strengthen. Lots of uncertainty left. Best to keep an eye on this one. True. I am hoping North Texas gets alot of rain and storms. It would be rather nice to see the plant life around here to be more lively until the Autumn processes begin. Even though Autumn officially begins in two or three days. I hear you. AZ desert has had back-to-back nonsoons and this year was above hot with records in July bested in August.  lots of dying trees and plants in the 'hood. |
| darkwolf007
User ID: 14296686 United States09/19/2020 01:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 Thank you, OP. And from the looks of it a possible cold front comes through in a few days in North Texas. A cold front would definitely shove a Tropical Depression eastward. Conspiracy Theorist is nothing more than a derogatory title used to dismiss a critical thinker. A time is coming when men will go mad, and when they see someone who is not mad, they will attack him, saying, 'You are mad; you are not like us." -- St. Anthony The Great Social Credit Loser here. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 42478143 United States09/19/2020 01:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Flame Garcia
User ID: 77221627 United States09/19/2020 02:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 02:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 Thank you, OP. And from the looks of it a possible cold front comes through in a few days in North Texas. A cold front would definitely shove a Tropical Depression eastward. Yes indeed. If Beta doesn't make landfall in TX it could make landfall in LA around where Laura did..unfortunately. From there it should track east-northeast like Sally did. It's not going to hang around once it gets up around the I-10 regardless of landfall region. |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 02:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 11am CST Update- 60 mph winds (unchanged) pressure 994 (down a millibar) Moving west at 2 mph (shifted from NW to W and became slower) More slight direction changes to come. Generally west-northwest until Monday morning. [link to www.wunderground.com (secure)] Hurricane Watches have been posted along TX coast and SW LA coast |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 11235190 United States09/19/2020 02:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 02:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Current landfall track is the barrier islands in front of Matagorda Bay TX turning NE and moving between Galveston and Houston as a tropical storm. Houston/Galveston area on Wednesday. [link to www.wunderground.com (secure)] |
Lady Jayne Smith
Forum Administrator 09/19/2020 03:01 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 03:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 11am CST Update- Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 60 mph winds (unchanged) pressure 994 (down a millibar) Moving west at 2 mph (shifted from NW to W and became slower) More slight direction changes to come. Generally west-northwest until Monday morning. [link to www.wunderground.com (secure)] My bad..I saw red warnings and thought they were Hurricane, they are Tropical Storm warnings. Storm is predicted to be a hurricane though as it approaches the coast sometime tomorrow afternoon/evening. Convection is all to the NE of the storm into LA, but the storm is heading W NW - sheared! |
| Maddrummerboy
User ID: 79306212 United States09/19/2020 04:11 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Moon&Stars
User ID: 29184782 United States09/19/2020 06:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: Lady Jayne Smith God Bless Texas !  Last Edited by Moon&Stars on 09/19/2020 06:42 PM Moonstar |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 07:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 08:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 7pm CST update- 60 mph winds 997 pressure No forward movement - stationary Hurricane forecast has been removed.. Track unchanged [link to www.wunderground.com (secure)] |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 08:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| 232
User ID: 79263198 United States09/19/2020 08:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 78689367 United States09/19/2020 08:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 76195090 United States09/19/2020 08:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 79368619 United States09/19/2020 09:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Latest track forecast has it a category 1 Sunday night off the mid-eastern TX coast but then still off the coast Wednesday closer to the coast around Houston... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 ..definitely another Sally-like storm.rn off the coast Beta could round the horn off the coast but close enough to cause problems while strengthening, ending up who knows where. What a year eh?? I heard it will annihilate New Orleans as a CAT 5 Hypercane. It is projected that it will have a lower pressure than the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane (sub 900mb), will have stronger winds than Camille (190+) at landfall, Storm surge >50 feet and will dump more rain than Harvey. Please stay up to date on any and all future developments. Or it could drizzle out as a summer shower. |
| Maddrummerboy
User ID: 79306212 United States09/19/2020 09:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Latest track forecast has it a category 1 Sunday night off the mid-eastern TX coast but then still off the coast Wednesday closer to the coast around Houston... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78689367 ..definitely another Sally-like storm.rn off the coast Beta could round the horn off the coast but close enough to cause problems while strengthening, ending up who knows where. What a year eh?? I heard it will annihilate New Orleans as a CAT 5 Hypercane. It is projected that it will have a lower pressure than the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane (sub 900mb), will have stronger winds than Camille (190+) at landfall, Storm surge >50 feet and will dump more rain than Harvey. Please stay up to date on any and all future developments. Or it could drizzle out as a summer shower. Already looking like a fizzleburger. Not even forecasted to be a hurricane anymore. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 78785509 United States09/19/2020 09:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Weatherman have said multiple times, "so much uncertainty" Quoting: EndTheFed Watch this one become huge. Who knows, the meteorologists sure don't. I remember them even saying it was gonna peter out into Mexico and not to worry it won't affect the U.S. I would expect this to become more of a tornado spawner and rainmaker than a hurricane because of the cold front. When the warm Gulf waters meet this colder air it will make for nasty thunderstorms. It is already raining again in and around Mobile and Pensacola areas that haven't had their flood waters recede from earlier in the week. If the waters are dumped over this area it could be serious. |
