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Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!

 
Polynonymous Howard
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03/31/2022 09:36 AM
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Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
March 17, the Fed raises rates for the first time since 2018: [link to baystreet.ca]

March 30, the yield curve inverts, indicating an impending recesion: [link to www.barrons.com (secure)]

1dunno1
LadyJaneSmithModerator
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03/31/2022 09:37 AM

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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Probably before the end of 2022.
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

and the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

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RedHeadedStepChild

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03/31/2022 09:43 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
A recession would be good news compared to where we are really headed.
FightForGod!

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03/31/2022 09:43 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Yes, I noticed and I am trading with a lot of downside protection.
1 Corinthians 6:9-10 ESV

Or do you not know that the unrighteous will not inherit the kingdom of God? Do not be deceived: neither the sexually immoral, nor idolaters, nor adulterers, nor men who practice homosexuality, nor thieves, nor the greedy, nor drunkards,
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 09:44 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
By recession...do you mean mass starvation and collapse into regional warlord rule?
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 09:46 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
That was absolutely too fast, folks. Historically unprecedented. One rate raise, the first in four years, and bam! Two weeks later! Yield curve inverts.

The Fed is in big trouble. If they raise rates, economic slowdown. If they don't, hyperinflation.

This helps prove the central banks were behind the Rona hoax. We are entering the end game!
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 09:48 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Ah the yield curve. Never has a word salad evoked more puzzled glances. Oh, it's the yield curve.

"Have they capitulated?"

"No, but they are gnashing their teeth and rending their clothing."

"Press into the inversion with your knee and they will yield. One way or another."

"Yes my Lord."
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 09:51 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
This is pretty serious dollar doom.

They can't have an economic slowdown now, what with the economy already as troubled as it is and the boomers trying to retire.

And they can't have any more inflation, either.
M R E

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03/31/2022 09:53 AM

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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
so does this mean the Fed will continue to increase their
balance sheet (stimulate) instead of reducing it while
raising rates at the same time?? or will they reverse course
and move to negative rates??
would rather have it & not need it then need it & not have it
Rubyskyeye

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03/31/2022 09:55 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Wait a second…Biden supporters keep telling me this is the strongest economy evah! /s
Rubyskyeye

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03/31/2022 09:55 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Wait a second…Biden supporters keep telling me this is the strongest economy evah! /s
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:00 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
so does this mean the Fed will continue to increase their
balance sheet (stimulate) instead of reducing it while
raising rates at the same time?? or will they reverse course
and move to negative rates??
 Quoting: M R E


What can they do?

They just raised rates, in mid-March, but obviously they can't raise them any more.

If they do, recession, maybe depression.

If they don't, inflation, maybe hyperinflation.

My best guess is they'll jawbone about further raising rates but do nothing as inflation increases and as growth stalls.

In other words, we're going to get both, folks, over the next year: inflation and a recession.

The Fed can do nothing.

This is the end. It is the Alamo.

Holy smokes. I knew it was coming. But still part of me didn't believe it.
dabrute

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03/31/2022 10:04 AM

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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
This is why the Fed waited so long to raise the rates despite all the high inflation signs. They could have raised them anytime but waited until the March meeting.

This will not be just a west collapse but China is in just as bad of shape or worse.
The breath of Putin ass lickers smells just as bad as the breath of Biden ass lickers
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 10:05 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
More rate hikes to come this summer, you can bet on it!
continuity

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03/31/2022 10:05 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
A recession would be good news compared to where we are really headed.
 Quoting: RedHeadedStepChild


agreed. Biden has screwed the pooch. I only hope he does not think the only way out is war! Congress should be on the verge of impeachment.
In klaus we trust?!?!? ....

It is estimated that there are more stars than grains of sand on earth; but more atoms exist in a single grain of sand than there are stars...

gravity is a harsh reality.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:08 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
The pundits will play it down, like they always do.

But the yield curve bats near-100% as an indicator of an upcoming slowdown.



Earlier this year and late last year it flattened but didn't invert.

But it's official, it has officially inverted. Two weeks after the rate hike. Unbelievable.
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 10:09 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Doom for sure...inverted yield curves usually are a lagging product of rate hikes...this happened after 1 with 7 more on the horizon!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:10 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
More rate hikes to come this summer, you can bet on it!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77634297


Negative Ghost Rider. They will NOT hike after an inversion. Fact.

This vid is a week old.



[link to www.bitchute.com (secure)]
QCluminati

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03/31/2022 10:11 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Probably before the end of 2022.
 Quoting: LadyJaneSmith


wanna bet its gonna happen near election time?
Unvaxxed because fuck you
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:14 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Probably before the end of 2022.
 Quoting: LadyJaneSmith


wanna bet its gonna happen near election time?
 Quoting: QCluminati


What is your "it"?

Dollar flash crash?

Stock market crash?

What exactly are we betting on?
dabrute

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03/31/2022 10:16 AM

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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
They are better off with inflation in the short term because of debt. If rates rise and we see a recession high debt holders won't be able to roll it over and the whole house of cards comes down. 2008 on steroids.

We are already seeing the Chinese real estate market collapse in slow motion as the central government is doing its best to hide it, but it is such a large part of their economy that it will spread to many other industries that support real estate, steel, cement and so on. These Chinese industries are all highly leveraged, and bond holders, world banking, are going to take a huge hit.
The breath of Putin ass lickers smells just as bad as the breath of Biden ass lickers
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 10:19 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Superstagflation is ahead. Recession combined with massive shortages, supply chain disturbances and inflation.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:21 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
They are better off with inflation ...
 Quoting: dabrute


And who will vote Dem in Nov. with record high bread and milk prices?
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 10:22 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
so does this mean the Fed will continue to increase their
balance sheet (stimulate) instead of reducing it while
raising rates at the same time?? or will they reverse course
and move to negative rates??
 Quoting: M R E


What can they do?

They just raised rates, in mid-March, but obviously they can't raise them any more.

If they do, recession, maybe depression.

If they don't, inflation, maybe hyperinflation.

My best guess is they'll jawbone about further raising rates but do nothing as inflation increases and as growth stalls.

In other words, we're going to get both, folks, over the next year: inflation and a recession.

The Fed can do nothing.

This is the end. It is the Alamo.

Holy smokes. I knew it was coming. But still part of me didn't believe it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 82487843



Good analysis. Sounds like we're headed for stag-flation, ala 90s Japan. Oh, what fun the next decade won't be.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:22 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Superstagflation is ahead. Recession combined with massive shortages, supply chain disturbances and inflation.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 82627254


Plausible.
Anonymous Coward
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03/31/2022 10:22 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
A recession would be good news compared to where we are really headed.
 Quoting: RedHeadedStepChild


You mean the collapse of the dollar?
INEVITABLE, and we deserve everything
that befalls us as a consequence.

We've been STEALING from the FUTURE and
the rest of the world has been our enablers.

We are like hard core junkies and when we
have to go COLD TURKEY, LOOK OUT!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:24 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Look at this!

U.S. inflation, already at a 40-year high, is likely to remain hot even after the Federal Reserve completes all 10 to 11 of its projected quarter-point rate hikes through the end of next year, according to Credit Suisse research analysts.
 Quoting: MSN


[link to www.msn.com (secure)]

Bam!
Trio

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03/31/2022 10:26 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
impending depression
Your perception of me is a reflection of you.

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Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/31/2022 10:39 AM
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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
Look at this!

U.S. inflation, already at a 40-year high, is likely to remain hot even after the Federal Reserve completes all 10 to 11 of its projected quarter-point rate hikes through the end of next year, according to Credit Suisse research analysts.
 Quoting: MSN


[link to www.msn.com (secure)]

Bam!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 82487843


So to be clear, even if the Fed hiked 11 times (!) there would still be significant inflation.

When was the last time the Fed was able to hike 11 times successively? Has it EVER happened?

And, this time, the Fed hiked once, ONCE, and the yield curve promptly inverted.

boom33
solarplex

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03/31/2022 10:42 AM

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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
5 - 7 more incremental bumps, .25 a piece, every 1 point bump = 30 Trillion in Interest.

Enjoy the Ride! Stock Up!
Galations 2:4 (NKJV)
And this occurred because of false brethren secretly brought in (who came in by stealth to spy out our liberty which we have in Christ Jesus, that they might bring us into bondage)

Patrick Henry - 1775
"Give Me Liberty or Give Me Death"
dabrute

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03/31/2022 10:42 AM

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Re: Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
They are better off with inflation ...
 Quoting: dabrute


And who will vote Dem in Nov. with record high bread and milk prices?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 82487843


hopefully nobody
The breath of Putin ass lickers smells just as bad as the breath of Biden ass lickers





GLP