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DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...

 
goliesave

User ID: 78406809
United States
07/03/2022 11:12 PM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
used car lots in souther NH are pathetic. they have to be in real trouble. 25% full compared to 3 years ago

places that were selling 2018 models a few years ago now 2009 models all waxed up

snapped this pic of a place selling 70's camper vans. this place was a mid tier place. models 3-4 years old. not vans from the 70's

https://imgur.com/a/SPs7UYC

 Quoting: goliesave


What's the name of that place? Just curious.
 Quoting: 1010.


its in Hudson NH

across the street from Dairy Queen. google map it



anyways. ppl come from MA to this county to buy used cars cause of no sales tax. been like this for 40 years


but if you drive down the strip their arent that many cars on these lots. some lots 25% full. some 75%.


lot of 2009 stickers where it used to be 2016
goliesave
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78780067
United States
07/04/2022 12:13 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Selling my one owner 2000 Jeep Grand Cherokee Limited.
33k original miles in absolute pristine condition. Brand spanking new. Never parked outside, not one scratch or anything.
$12000 and that would be cash
sandyman

User ID: 74993861
United States
07/04/2022 12:17 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Good too many vultures have made a killing off a bad situation for most. I hope the greedy folks that have stockpiles of overpriced garbage take it up the shorts…
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 66449826


They are bringing retail ++ at the auctions, when they come up. It's not the dealer's fault.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77088991
07/04/2022 12:49 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Good.

Hope the entire debt slave system collapses.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 83044174
United Kingdom
07/04/2022 01:21 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Only read the first page but they are all plonkers and have not factored in silly oil prices along with the Putin Tax that the USA gov makes from the phony scripted war.

Even the Biden puppet would seem smart by these standards
Dr. Armchair Prophet69

User ID: 83781900
United States
07/04/2022 01:28 AM

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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Selling my one owner 2000 Jeep Grand Cherokee Limited.
33k original miles in absolute pristine condition. Brand spanking new. Never parked outside, not one scratch or anything.
$12000 and that would be cash
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78780067


Will you take rubles?
There is a vast ocean of shit that you people don't know shit about...

I'm actually a Texan forced to be a Canadian.

Fuck Your Ancestors To the Eighteenth Generation!

peacewhatever
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 79303194
United States
07/04/2022 01:39 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
I don't like this news.
I was about to sell my wife's old Toyota.
Maybe I'll about to sell it a lot faster.
Like next week.
I don't like looking at maximum results in the rear view mirror as they are speeding away from me into the past.

clueless-ahhh3
 Quoting: BrainGuy


Check carvana man

Its easy to get an online price quote from them, and long as you tel them the correct mileage and condition, youll get what they offer and itll beat what anyone else does more than likely

When they came and picked my car up the dude barely even looked at it, signed a couple papers, and he was gone in 20 minutes

Money deposited in my account a day later
 Quoting: 1-2-Follow


No way they give you close to what it’s worth and what u can sell it for. Sure they may give you $1500 but you can get 5 k for it even if beat up
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 72558093


Its worth checking to see what they will give you

I told my story earlier in this thread

Dont tell me what they will or wont do. I literally just sold a car to them last week

Carvana gave me above blue book value at $18,900 (i bought it brand new 6 years ago for $21,000)

The dealer wanted me to trade it in for $14000
 Quoting: 1-2-Follow

I've been playing this buy low and sell high game for the past year. I started with a $8,700 car and just traded up to a $19,000 car.
I bought a Prius 2 months ago for $19,000 (it was $21,000 new). Carvana is offering me $24,000 for it. I like the car. It gets 53 mpg in the city. I'm still debating selling it to them. BTW - Carvana owes over 1000 x the cash they have on hand.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 79303194
United States
07/04/2022 01:50 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
I was at a Toyota stealership a few days ago getting some parts. In the showroom they had Tacoma trucks. The truck I looked at was around $35,000 MSRP with an $8,000 markup to around $43,000.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 83723749
United States
07/04/2022 02:15 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
You all are going to hell
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 83792309


hesright
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 83775623
Germany
07/04/2022 02:58 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
What is the problem ? Not enough used cars ?

Or nobody wants to buy a car anymore because green woke millenial sodomites who must be exterminated ASAP will make cars illegal soon ?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 83723749
United States
07/04/2022 03:13 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
What is the problem ? Not enough used cars ?

Or nobody wants to buy a car anymore because green woke millenial sodomites who must be exterminated ASAP will make cars illegal soon ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 83775623


Truckers can ride their bicycles to deliver essential food to USA markets.

Not only do we not need cars, 18 wheelers must also be baned!:

angryface
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78780067
United States
07/04/2022 04:55 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Selling my one owner 2000 Jeep Grand Cherokee Limited.
33k original miles in absolute pristine condition. Brand spanking new. Never parked outside, not one scratch or anything.
$12000 and that would be cash
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78780067


Will you take rubles?
 Quoting: Dr. Armchair Prophet69


Absolutely yes.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 79436430
Netherlands
07/04/2022 05:44 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Here in Holland the 2nd hand market is already crap for a long time

I got a 67000 Euro Benz C350E of 2016, went to get the 22 model and asked for a quote on the 2016 to swap it.

13000 was their offer. fuck
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 81366458
France
07/04/2022 06:45 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Good. Great prices for cash cars.
 Quoting: Robotanimal


New cars are so damn expensive these days, regardless of the shortage, it's hard to imagine used cars crashing to a large degree because folks will still need vehicles.
 Quoting: sandyman


You are right. People will still need vehicles, and with lower income that means used cars. Also new car are shit, EVs suck, and it's too expensive for what it is. In fact used cars are just better.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 81366458


My new car i bought fucking rules

Sorry to burst your bubble
 Quoting: 1-2-Follow


Which one it is?

There is still some good new car, but at what cost?
WifeOfHusband

User ID: 81363232
United States
07/04/2022 06:52 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
The used car market is on the brink of an auto loan collapse that can shake the entire industry.

I am shocked that more people are not talking about this!

We are facing a 2008-ish scenario in the used car market and honestly, it's a disaster waiting to happen.

When buyers purchase a car, a vast majority (~85%) are financed. The problem is that, unlike real estate, auto loans are not subject to strict underwriting requirements allowing almost anyone to get one.

Buyers with lower credit scores were funnelled into loans with 2x interest!
You can see how crazy this is in the latest auto loan consumer reports.

- 25 to 50% of the loans were given to customers who might not be able to repay it

- Lenders only verified the source of income and employment only 4% of the time
If that's not crazy enough, as of now, 5% of Auto Loans are behind payments and nearly half of them are underwater!

Just like how the housing market collapsed from the loan crisis in 2008, the same thing is said to be starting to happen in the Auto Loan market.
As the supply chain and chip crisis has improved from COVID times, used car prices have dropped for 4 consecutive months & are now down 6.4% since January.

This is a nightmare for the banks that have lent money on these cars, whose value is rapidly beginning to fall.
Just recently, Equifax reported that 8.5% of subprime borrowers defaulted on their car loans - the second-highest on record!

WSJ also found that more subprime borrowers have started missing out on payments as rising inflation made them choose between essentials & auto loans.
The reality is that lenders have given buyers unaffordable loans without verifying their financials on car values that cannot be sustained without a chip shortage.

It's only a matter of time - eventually, things have to come back to normal.
KPMG predicts that used car prices can drop 30% as more supplies hit the market and Ally Financial predicts a 20% drop.

The timing is a bit uncertain but it looks like it's going to unravel in the next 12-18 months.

https://imgur.com/X06Ej5t


From everything that I have researched, my biggest concern is that too many people have locked themselves into auto loans that are more expensive than they can afford.

If you liked this analysis, do join my newly launched newsletter to get a recap on my videos and in-depth deep dives like this direct to your inbox! Oh, and its completely free :)

[link to threadreaderapp.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Ultra MAGA Dan


Here are my thoughts on this: if a bank CHOSE to loan to someone w/o verifying anything and paid an over-inflated price for that vehicle, then that is 100% on the lender.

They get to eat that because they made that choice.

EVERY decision that we, as people, make is our consequence to deal with. When we make bad decisions, it is our own fault.

I don't want to see anymore of this bailout sh*t for banks because they did that. THEY did that. If they hadn't loaned out money for an unnecessarily over-priced vehicle, they wouldn't be stuck with an asset worth far less than they paid for it.

Period.
Justsayno

User ID: 83794261
United States
07/04/2022 07:45 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
used car lots in souther NH are pathetic. they have to be in real trouble. 25% full compared to 3 years ago

places that were selling 2018 models a few years ago now 2009 models all waxed up

snapped this pic of a place selling 70's camper vans. this place was a mid tier place. models 3-4 years old. not vans from the 70's

https://imgur.com/a/SPs7UYC

 Quoting: goliesave


What's the name of that place? Just curious.
 Quoting: 1010.


its in Hudson NH

across the street from Dairy Queen. google map it



anyways. ppl come from MA to this county to buy used cars cause of no sales tax. been like this for 40 years


but if you drive down the strip their arent that many cars on these lots. some lots 25% full. some 75%.


lot of 2009 stickers where it used to be 2016
 Quoting: goliesave


Found it, bad ass and $62,000 lol

[link to northeastautoimports.com (secure)]
Malu
Mr Breeze

User ID: 4897656
United States
07/04/2022 07:55 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
I own a dealership, I can tell you, prices have gone up again. We were starting to see a downtrend in March, but now? FIRE! Shit had gone plaid again, all but luxury, and I think this may be where the article is looking.
 Quoting: WiscoSteve


Oh yeah, trust the report of a car dealer? LMFAO
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80530061


FU buyers are liars and we know you are too stupid to manage your own money, and made a bad deal once in your lifetime and blame everyone but yourself.
Mr Breeze
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 80247695
Canada
07/04/2022 08:01 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Didnt know this, but i could feel it coming and sold my old car to carvana last week

Low mileage, 6 years old, got $19k for it and it was 21k new, so i basically drove it for 6 years for $2000

epiclol
 Quoting: 1-2-Follow


Similar thing with me. Bought for 35k sold for 33k 2 years later.

The problem wasn't selling, it was finding something to replace it with. I wanted to find a decent 4x4 5-6 years old and couldn't.. The prices were too high on the junk that was available and the the oldest vehicle was only 3-4 years old.

The market dried up for anything beyond 5-6 years old vehicles. I think it was a Canada problem because I heard the dealers were buying up whatever they could and selling them for USD to the states.. Which killed the canadian used market imo. Or severely crippled it. With low supply, high demand, prices naturally rose on used vehicles, then covid/supply chain issues hit and it got worse.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 81456562
United States
07/04/2022 08:06 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
Carvana offered me $300 for my 2004 tacoma 4x4.

What a deal! I guess carvana hasn't caught up to the 1st gen tacoma game.
Pabamus V

User ID: 83013648
United States
07/04/2022 08:12 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
I own a dealership, I can tell you, prices have gone up again. We were starting to see a downtrend in March, but now? FIRE! Shit had gone plaid again, all but luxury, and I think this may be where the article is looking.
 Quoting: WiscoSteve


Oh yeah, trust the report of a car dealer? LMFAO
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 80530061


with that mindset, why do you trust any business owner? They are all in for a profit, and rightly so.

Go dicker down your next pack of gum, clown-child.
I don’t care about your pronouns.
Farm Wife

User ID: 83768527
United States
07/04/2022 08:25 AM

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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
We bought a used truck just recently.
The used truck market (they say) is really crazy!
We needed a decent, used beast to haul hay for our farm.
My buddy has an Auto Service Center in town, and is a Used Car Dealer as well. He gets cars from the Auctions.
It was MONTHS ago that I axed him to be on the lookout for me. I thought he had forgot.
Then, about a month ago, he calls me, and says he found it!
2005 Ford F250 Super Duty w/4WD (a must up here!).
Had some miles (and rust) on it, but ran like a top!
The book retail was 7K - 9K.
We paid $2850 for it.
It's terrific! Got a Farm Tag and it's my "new" Farm Truck!
So, you really have to search and be disiplined. And, it helps to have a friend in the biz!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 53549423
France
07/04/2022 08:38 AM
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Re: DOOM! Used Car Market Set to Collapse in Next 12-18 Months...
People can't sell their cars.. the first thing they will do is get financial advice and remortgage their shitty 7 year auto finance into their 25/30 year home loan..





GLP