Another storm brewing. Same position and next 5 day path as Hurricane Ian. Update 10/4 8pm 80% chance in 5 days, pg2

This one will probably sneak into the gulf and thrash Texas ... just sayin

FYI, the strongest recorded storm to ever hit the continental US was the 1935 Labor Day Storm that hit the Florida keys. It recorded 185 mph winds before all the wind gauges broke.

[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]

Last Edited by Remedial_Rebel on 10/02/2022 06:00 PM

lol shut your stupid ass up. stop worrying about what others are gonna do you little pussy.

It maybe in a close proximity of Ian when it began but there is no way to even model the path of the storm nor to even determine if it will develop into a hurricane at this time. I know you guys luv your doom but way too early to even speculate

Florida needs another good flood

Nothing because they are weak soulled

Hurricane Vlad?

Brandon, that you?

8 pm Update

2. East of the Windward Islands:
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization
in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles
east of the Windward Islands. Further development of the wave
is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next
few days while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph,
reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by
midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Update: 10/04 8pm

NHC has raised the chances to 80% to develop. Most models have it headed toward Nicaragua. Hope that's true.

1. East of the Windward Islands:
A broad area of low pressure located just east of the Windward
Islands continues to produce a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Earlier data from the Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunters indicated that the system did not yet possess a well-defined
circulation center, with the majority of the shower and thunderstorm
activity displaced to the southeast of the broader rotation.
However, upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
next several days if the system remains over open waters while
moving westward at about 15 mph through the Windward Islands and
into the Caribbean Sea. Another Air Force Reconnaissance mission is
scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow morning, if necessary.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall with localized flooding,
as well as gusty winds, are expected over portions of the Windward
Islands, northern portions of South America, and the ABC Islands
during the next couple of days. Interests in those locations, in
addition to those in Central America, should continue to monitor
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

This.

It is very similar path except for hitting Nicaragua. Ian turned and went north.

Ian's current position in very near Ian path.

(scroll down to 2nd map)
[link to www.pbs.org (secure)]

You might try some research before you make disparaging post.

The Global Forecasting System GFS (model) has it turning and hitting the Yucatan Peninsula as a Cat 3.

Click the play button
[link to www.ventusky.com (secure)]


If turns just a little more, it will enter the gulf of Mexico.

Last Edited by Remedial_Rebel on 10/04/2022 11:02 PM