Cash out of Crypto now. We bout to hit some rough times | |
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okie1
User ID: 71076643 United States 11/08/2022 02:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://imgur.com/3WCxfU4 What I'm about to say is highly speculative so take with massive grain of salt. While some people put a lot of faith in technicals, others like Buffet regard them as nothing more than trying to read tea leaves. BTC has been forming a descending triangle pattern, which is considered a bearish pattern in technical analysis. TA stipulates that the statistically probable outcome is that it will break out of the pattern to the downside and fall until it finds a major volume support level where buyers can't resist. There is some intuitive logic behind the interpretation of this pattern. Essentially what forms the pattern is when the price falls rapidly but then gets stuck on a tenacious support level, which is just a way of saying that there are lots of people willing to buy it at that price, for myriad reasons, from psychological to TA to bots. A mass gaggle of dip buyers in other words. So every time it moves down near that price, you have lots of buyers come in a bid it back up. And that forms the base of the triangle. However, the dip buyers bidding it back up fails to bring new money into the game, and the supply of dip buyers gets exhausted as the pattern plays out, which forms the hypotenuse of the triangle. The consecutively lower highs signify that the supply of buyers is getting depleted, suggesting that it will break through its support. Of course there are fundamental reasons why that might not happen. For example, rumor has it that Twitter is going to launch a BTC based payment system on their platform, rumored to use the lightning network, which would potentially bring a lot of volume. Not saying that that's going to happen, mind you, and honestly even if that's their plan it would probably come far too late. According to the pattern, we would be looking at it breaking through its support sometime between now and Christmas. Of course just the news of something like that can send prices soaring, so it's very possible that an Elon tweet is currently what's standing between BTC falling to 12k or soaring back up to 60k. Again, not saying that's even in the cards, just giving it as an example of the kind of thing that can break technical patterns. And by the same token there's an argument that the Twitter thing is already priced in at this point, meaning new news wouldn't have any positive effect. That could even be likely seeing as how markets are really good at counting chickens before they hatch. TLDR: If you're looking for a potential dip buying opportunity, watch for BTC to fall to about 12k in the next month or so. Last Edited by okie1 on 11/08/2022 02:25 PM okie |
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TwentyTwenty
User ID: 75825237 United States 11/08/2022 03:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | FTX has completely shit the bed. -50% in an hour Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79298617 https://twitter.com/_/status/1590032122647306240 [link to twitter.com (secure)] I'm hodling & buying more @ $15K Will we even know we were alive when we're dead? Me Kingdoms were run by kings Empires were run by Emperors Countries are run by..... Dumps were almost fixed by Trump |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 82694552 United States 11/08/2022 03:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Unreal: [link to coinstats.app (secure)] Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75394950 Does anyone look at the normal US options market? 100% losses and 1000% rises happen daily. In fact an options bet, if it doesn’t hit the strike price becomes completely worthless. That’s not an investment that’s a gamble. And all this attention on Crypto when pirates are making daily killings on options right under your nose. Crypto is a 24/7 currency/options/stock market Frankenstein that should be the wet dream of all option players. |