Gold & Silver Have Decoupled From Their Spot Prices | |
Rota User ID: 528208 United States 10/18/2008 04:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
ThePatriotMind
User ID: 519678 United States 10/18/2008 04:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | THE VERY REASON I TOLD PEOPLE NEVER EVER BUY PAPER METALS .... like GLD on the stock market ETC... ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS TAKE PHYSICAL DELIVERY Fighting and triggering liberals and SJW's in the trenches of their safe spaces since 2014 Signed, The Patriot Mind |
ThePatriotMind
User ID: 519678 United States 10/18/2008 04:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | My opinion is the spot prices reflects the paper gold and silver which does not exist. There should be a second spot price for real silver and gold. Quoting: Rota 528208. . heh if they did that the illusion woul dfinally be seen that they have over sold silver and gold reserves on paper to people where no gold or silver even EXIST!!! just liek our fuking money Fighting and triggering liberals and SJW's in the trenches of their safe spaces since 2014 Signed, The Patriot Mind |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 515900 Netherlands 10/18/2008 04:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Gold panner User ID: 459189 United Kingdom 10/18/2008 05:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If there are more coins being horded then there will be less for circulation amongst collectors. Rationale would suggest Mints won't pay over the odds spot prices and sell on at a loss so they either jack the price or stop production. Really, to them it's just a sideline from the (literal) nickle and dime business. They don't HAVE to mint special collector coins. Sooo... guess which direction the price will go for your shiney tokens? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 529380 United States 10/18/2008 05:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 459189 United Kingdom 10/18/2008 05:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/18/2008 05:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If it's true that the American, Canadian and South American national mints have stopped producing official bullion rounds/coins, then that means American Eagles, Canadian Maple Leafs and S.A. Krugerrands just became real collector's items, meaning that people now buying and selling these rounds should expect to see a real collector premium added to them for at least as long as the national mints' gold & silver production is down. Of course, in a crisis though, no one will care about collector value. Got food, fuel and ammo? Prioritize the necessities. Peace. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/18/2008 05:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I've been hearing about these 'wholesale suppliers.' Quoting: Anonymous Coward 529380Who are they and what is their story for the shortages? I think they are large volume physical metals trading companies, only a select few of which were allowed to buy from the US Mint. And I believe they only deal with recognized coin dealers. Many local dealers seem to be rather guarded about revealing their wholesaler sources. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 490531 United States 10/18/2008 06:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/18/2008 06:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/18/2008 11:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 520630 United Kingdom 10/18/2008 11:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I visited some coin dealers today to check up on pricing and availability of gold & silver. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 495603What I saw was dismal. Most dealers are out of most bullion, bars, and junk silver. They are pretty much out of almost everything worth investing in for metal content. Just one dealer had gold bullion: He had just 6 1oz Krugerrands left. No other gold was available. He was asking $940/oz. for these when the gold spot price was about $785. Then another dealer had just a few American Silver Eagles available for $20 each, while the silver spot price was about $9.33/oz. A dealer had a small quantity of junk silver coins available for $11.5 x face value, which came to about $15.97/oz. Every dealer said that the gold & silver market was crazy-stupid tight right now. These dealers have been told by their wholesale suppliers that, while they would still take orders (and $) right now, they cannot guarantee ANY delivery amounts or dates for the foreseeable future. And one dealer told me that ALL major national mints have stopped minting gold & silver bullion for an undetermined amount of time. <INSERT CLUE HERE> Right now, the ONLY gold or silver these dealers can get is from the occasional walk-in off the street. All gold & silver they can get for the time being is strictly on a hit-or-miss and very limited basis. Without exception, these dealers revealed to me that the gold & silver spot prices in no possible way reflect demand right now (but we knew that), and they are no longer using spot pricing anymore to determine physical gold & silver retail pricing. This is a defacto decoupling of gold & silver from the official spot prices (the manipulated paper gold & silver market.) One dealer confessed that he has resorted to calling around to find out who has what in stock, and who's selling what gold & silver for what prices. I've never seen this decoupling situation before in my life. And it's very stunning and quite sobering to have to deal with it. It appears that you will need to call around, or perhaps go on e-bay to find out what realistic street pricing should be for gold & silver right now. It's a sad day when we have to trade in our spot price charts for e-bay auctions in order to determine fair street value for physical gold & silver. Real markets are self-correcting. The PHYSICAL gold & silver markets are doing so right now. Peace. [link to www.kitco.com] [link to www.kitco.com] do u think anyone on this forum has any money? give me a fucking break. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 224303 Netherlands 10/18/2008 11:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Somebody posted the other day that the reason for the spot price of silver tanking is because of the short selling going on by the hedge funds in order to meet their margin calls. They are selling their PAPER contracts for silver than doesn't exist in COMEX inventories and licking their wounds over their losses. Ted Butler has been shining the light on these contracts for years, along with the short-selling that has been taking place for paper profits with no intention of ever taking delivery. It may be that silver has been held back from us because some of those who made contracts are demanding delivery! What available silver there is must necessarily go to them first or there will be hell to pay. Kitco got theirs, but they aren't selling at these low prices. Other dealers are probably doing likewise...sitting on it. . |
Godot User ID: 489464 United States 10/18/2008 12:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Comex and the big players are, by default, pricing out the little guy... while dealers are just meeting or maximizing their margins on whatever inventory they have. Wouldnt you? You can take delivery on a comex contract near spot if you are buying 5,000 oz. You can take delivery from kitco silver near spot if your buying 1000 oz bars. [link to online.kitco.com (secure)] I wouldnt pay a premium over 5.00 usd for gold or 1.00 for silver... trust me, this will level off in time. |
servant User ID: 435072 United States 10/18/2008 12:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I thought I would show these calculations, or figures on investments. I am not pushing this, I am merely showing the figures. Liquid Assets If you purchased $1,000 of Delta Airlines stock 1 year ago, you would have $49.00 today. If you purchased $1,000 of AIG stock one year ago, you would have $33.00 today. If you purchased $1,000 of Lehman Brothers stock 1 year ago, you would have $0.00 today. But, if you purchased $1,000 worth of beer 1 year ago, drank all the beer, returned the aluminum cans for a recycling refund, you would have $214.00. Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle. It is called the 401-Keg. A recent study found that the average American walks about 900 miles a year. Another study found that Americans drink, on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year. That means that, on average, Americans get about 41 miles to the gallon! Have a nice beer today.. lol |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 529634 Canada 10/18/2008 01:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I thought I would show these calculations, or figures on investments. I am not pushing this, I am merely showing the figures. Quoting: servant 435072Liquid Assets If you purchased $1,000 of Delta Airlines stock 1 year ago, you would have $49.00 today. If you purchased $1,000 of AIG stock one year ago, you would have $33.00 today. If you purchased $1,000 of Lehman Brothers stock 1 year ago, you would have $0.00 today. But, if you purchased $1,000 worth of beer 1 year ago, drank all the beer, returned the aluminum cans for a recycling refund, you would have $214.00. Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle. Very funny and true. I actually laughed out loud thanks. Heres one for you. Since I live in Canada the joke goes. CSI was goiong to start a CSI Nefoundland series but realized everyones DNA was the same there. It is called the 401-Keg. A recent study found that the average American walks about 900 miles a year. Another study found that Americans drink, on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year. That means that, on average, Americans get about 41 miles to the gallon! Have a nice beer today.. lol |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 368888 United States 10/18/2008 05:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | But, if you purchased $1,000 worth of beer 1 year ago, drank all the beer, returned the aluminum cans for a recycling refund, you would have $214.00. Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle. It is called the 401-Keg. PRICELESS!! :-) |
TX PATRIOT User ID: 506675 United States 10/18/2008 11:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 473638 United States 10/19/2008 12:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Decoupled... not really. Quoting: Godot 489464Comex and the big players are, by default, pricing out the little guy... while dealers are just meeting or maximizing their margins on whatever inventory they have. Wouldnt you? You can take delivery on a comex contract near spot if you are buying 5,000 oz. You can take delivery from kitco silver near spot if your buying 1000 oz bars. [link to online.kitco.com (secure)] I wouldnt pay a premium over 5.00 usd for gold or 1.00 for silver... trust me, this will level off in time. LOL, people are taking delivery from COMEX and melting and selling their metal in the developing PM black market for immediate 25-40% gain minus melt costs. COMEX is about to DEFAULT which will command an immediate doubling of real physical silver/gold. YOU HAVE NO IDEA HOW SATURATED ALL PAPER MARKETS ARE WITH DECEIT AND FRAUD It is all close 4 weeks minumum and you will not find any physical anywhere... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 530001 United States 10/19/2008 01:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 529971 United States 10/19/2008 01:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | i was at a coin show today. plenty of silver available. not much gold. check ebay. prices are a bit high, but worth it. you get delivery in a week as opposed to 3 months or worse. also, buy rolls of old dimes and quarters before 1964. The little dimes are the best because they are little pieces of silver. much easier to use in small transactions post dollar. invest in LEAD! |
ThePatriotMind
User ID: 519678 United States 10/19/2008 02:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This presents a massive profit opportunity (if it's true). Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5300011. Buy close-to-expiring calls on the comex 2. Take delivery 3. Sell on eBay or to dealers GOOD LUCK GETTING EXPIRING CALLS .... it takes a LONG TIME minimum 60 days usually 75+ to get physically delivery off comex and in 2 months plus who knows what you have ... Fighting and triggering liberals and SJW's in the trenches of their safe spaces since 2014 Signed, The Patriot Mind |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/19/2008 04:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Decoupled... not really. Quoting: Godot 489464Comex and the big players are, by default, pricing out the little guy... while dealers are just meeting or maximizing their margins on whatever inventory they have. Wouldnt you? You can take delivery on a comex contract near spot if you are buying 5,000 oz. You can take delivery from kitco silver near spot if your buying 1000 oz bars. [link to online.kitco.com (secure)] I wouldnt pay a premium over 5.00 usd for gold or 1.00 for silver... trust me, this will level off in time. It's interesting that some of the major dealers have not decoupled yet. Perhaps there is profit to be made in the transition. However, you still have this problem: From Kitco- "Please note: Due to current conditions, your order fulfillment and/or shipment is being affected by delays experienced by our suppliers. Certain popular products are currently out of stock; please click here to view a list of items we normally carry. All such products will once again appear on our web page when their inventories reach adequate levels. Due to high order volumes, you may also experience shipment delays from our vaults in Canada and/or the USA. We want to assure you that we are working hard to mitigate this temporary situation. Kitco Inc. appreciates your patience and understanding, and looks forward to serving you in the best possible manner." [link to online.kitco.com (secure)] So Kitco is telling us that we will experience delays with delivery due to their suppliers having delays. That's not very reassuring in a crisis environment. I'd want delivery immediately, before TSHTF. But what I was referring to was the reality in my locality on the street; the real deal for those who want to purchase physical precious metals with cash & go home with gold & silver in hand. And at least for my area, that market has decoupled from the spot prices already. Good luck! P.S.- My local dealers also are ALL demanding payment in CASH ONLY! Very interesting. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/19/2008 02:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 510500 United States 10/19/2008 02:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | YOU HAVE NO IDEA HOW SATURATED ALL PAPER MARKETS ARE WITH DECEIT AND FRAUD Quoting: Anonymous Coward 473638It is all close 4 weeks minumum and you will not find any physical anywhere... I stopped investing in P.M. ETF's a long time ago. Very shady to say the least. Physical is the way to go. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 495603 United States 10/20/2008 02:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Jim Sinclair said yesterday that there can be no two different gold prices, that one has to win out. He said that the paper gold market will rule the spot prices until COMEX runs out of gold, then the street price will take over and control the spot price from then on. But by then, there will be no gold or silver to be found, IMHO. [link to www.jsmineset.com] "Dear Friends, It is axiomatic that the most leveraged gold market most often (95 percent of the time) sets the price of any cash market. First derivatives (listed futures) commands price. This remains true as long as the COMEX warehouse of gold is NOT meaningfully depleted by long gold contracts by taking delivery from the exchange warehouse. As long as an exchange maintains a warehouse that historically overwhelms historical demand for delivery the first derivative, The COMEX listed gold future, will be the primary cause of price. Taking delivery from the COMEX warehouse is not an easy process as the system is designed not to violate your contract but to be a world-class pain in the ass. The COMEX requires re-assays, assuming you wish to re-deliver. This then places another raving pain in the ass in your way. The COMEX market is effectively an international 24-hour market as there is no location where you cannot buy or sell a COMEX clone. Cash bullion gold as opposed to the semi cash markets that non-USA banks trade is the only totally private means of buying and selling gold. As currency problems increase, first the knowledgeable public such as you clean out the coin market. This is the first time that the international coin markets have been cleaned out everywhere. This did not happen globally in the 70s. Large gold bars are still available in major markets but the backup inventory is getting low. As long as the COMEX warehouse remains adequate and large bars still are available, the paper market, the leveraged COMEX market, will rule the price. Only with a decline in COMEX warehouse inventories and a run down in large bar supplies of the cash market will the cash bullion market command the price of the COMEX futures market. It was not the buying by the Hunts that caused silver to move above $30 into the $50 area, but rather the universal belief that they would take delivery, which would deplete or exceeded the COMEX warehouse supply. The War between paper gold and bullion gold is a war to determine which will take command of the price of gold, nothing more, nothing less. There will be no two markets trading at different prices. All this battle is about is IF the bullion gold market is going to take the lead in making the singular price away from the traditional axiom that the most leveraged market makes the price. I believe the bullion, in these most unique conditions, will command the one gold price making it hard to impossible to manipulate the gold price via the paper gold market, as is the practice every day." |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 530388 United States 10/20/2008 02:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Jim Sinclair said yesterday that there can be no two different gold prices, that one has to win out. He said that the paper gold market will rule the spot prices until COMEX runs out of gold, then the street price will take over and control the spot price from then on. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 495603But by then, there will be no gold or silver to be found, IMHO. [link to www.jsmineset.com] It's a good thing you told me what the hell he was trying to say, hes very hard to read.lol. |
gold to take a fall User ID: 530798 Thailand 10/21/2008 02:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Get out of gold now! Its the only bastion of wealth that hasn't been looted. And it will. I know ppls that lost big last time. there is no gold behind much of the gold that has been sold. When this gets out there will be a run. Don't get trampled take your profits now. |
Rota User ID: 528208 United States 10/21/2008 02:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | When the day comes that silver and Gold prices go through the roof is the day some president will sign an executive order to conficate all metals. They never let the peasants win. They always slam the doors in their face. If it comes down to Wall Street not being able to deliver on their contracts without stealing the peasants gold then you can count on the government backing Wall Street. . |