SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 09:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here you can read any current updates: UPDATE: May 15, 2013 Expected Events: Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082 The Sun's polar fields are now at the point of a possible reversal (solar polar fields map **Updated May 12, 2013!**) [link to www.solen.info] COMMENT:NOAA AR 1748 rotated into view, it is still not possible to infer its magnetic configuration but it is a big region with mixed magnetic polarities. It produced two X-class flares in past 24h and can produce more. The first one was an X2.8 with peak at 16:05 UT on May 13, the second one an X3.2 at 01:11 UT today. Both were related to radio bursts and fast limb CMEs. The first CME has a speed of 1500 km/s in the LASCO C3 field of view (decelerated with respect to the 1800 km/s seen in C2), while the second one was travelling at 1900 km/s in LASCO C3 (accelerated from the 1600 km/s measured in C2). Due to the source region location right at the limb, we expect at most a shock arriving to the Earth early on May 15 (09:00 UT for the first one and 13:00 UT for the second one). There is also a CME from May 12 expected to arrive around the same time as the first CME from yesterday. The second X flare and corresponding CME produced also a rise on the proton flux, which is still below the threshold and seems stable for the moment. NOAA AR 1745 has also potential for M flares. High solar activity is expected for the next 48h. Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet. The possible arrival of a shock from the two halo CMEs and a mild fast speed stream from a coronal hole may increase conditions to active and possible minor storm levels in the next 48h [link to www.sidc.be] Region 11748 [N11E66] is a compact region with a strong magnetic delta structure in the leading spot section. Some loss of penumbral area was observed after the X3 flare. Further M and X class flaring is possible. C5+ flares: X3.2 at 01:11 UTC. Additionally an X1.2 flare was recorded at 01:48 UTC on May 15. Both events were associated with at least partial halo CMEs. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) May 12-13: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO and STEREO imagery. May 14: At least a partial halo CME was observed after the X3 event in AR 11748. The CME was fast and Earth could see a flanking impact on May 16. May 15: A wide CME was observed after the X1 event in AR 11748. A flanking impact is possible on May 17. [link to www.solen.info] Last Edited by NiNzrez on 05/15/2013 03:01 AM Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>
User ID: 922574 United States 03/07/2011 09:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 09:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven`t had time to follow it much today..Which sunspot is kicking them out? Is it still 1164? Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>1164 and 1165 had M's today but this last long lasting M was 1166 Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>
User ID: 922574 United States 03/07/2011 10:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch.. Swiss cheese: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/07/2011 10:03 AM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1287218 United States 03/07/2011 10:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We have had 4 M flares Quoting: NiNzrez1 minute X ray flux [link to www.lmsal.com] 5 minute X ray flux [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and we just now had another long lasting M [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Total for Today = 5 M class Flares 4 C class Flares AND COUNTING! with possibilities for an X flare Wow...thanks for the info. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 839312 United States 03/07/2011 10:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch.. Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>Swiss cheese: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] yup for sure 1166 is the one i have been watching to put on a good show for us This last M flare was a M1.9 and lasted from 13:45 UTC to 14:56 UTC thats a 71 minute M class flare wow Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/07/2011 10:21 AM Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1269377 United States 03/07/2011 10:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | do you know which sunspots are to blame... Quoting: Ocean Motionand thanks! They are from sunspots 1164, 1165 and 1166 you can see the sunspots here along with the list of events at the bottom [link to www.lmsal.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>
User ID: 922574 United States 03/07/2011 10:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch.. Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>Swiss cheese: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] yup for sure 1166 is the one i have been watching to put on a good show for us This last M flare lasted from 13:45 UTC to 14:56 UTC thats a 71 minute M class flare wow And then another one will soon be coming around the corner at the 8 o`clock position..She looks a little pi$$y too.. |
Kashodi
User ID: 1287223 Canada 03/07/2011 10:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch.. Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>Swiss cheese: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] yup for sure 1166 is the one i have been watching to put on a good show for us This last M flare lasted from 13:45 UTC to 14:56 UTC thats a 71 minute M class flare wow And then another one will soon be coming around the corner at the 8 o`clock position..She looks a little pi$$y too.. you see that too? she looks like she could be holding something for us Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | When is supposed to hit earth? Quoting: KashodiThe flare from all these hit earth within around 8 minutes If they produce a coronal mass ejection with them, we see that in around 3 days I'm not to sure just yet if any produced a CME or not I'll go take a look around and see if i can see Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>
User ID: 922574 United States 03/07/2011 10:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I`m waiting for SDO to update...They show just the start of the last flare which lasted so long. I would have to guess from the way it looks that it probably had a CME associated with it.. On LASCO 2 it looks like the last one did a CME..after a few more updates it should be a little clearer Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/07/2011 10:37 AM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1285858 United States 03/07/2011 10:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 839312 United States 03/07/2011 10:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA Alert Issued Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 718 Issue Time: 2011 Mar 07 1533 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2011 Mar 07 1425 UTC Estimated Velocity: 1320 km/s [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1166458 United States 03/07/2011 10:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Delta
User ID: 340808 New Zealand 03/07/2011 10:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.iris.edu] The planet is going nuts. "According to our manner of looking at the matter, every star in the universe would be the seat and field of activity of electric forces of a strength that no one could imagine... ...enormous electric currents with enormous tension are produced..." - Kristian Olaf Bernhard Berkeland (1908) |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I`m waiting for SDO to update...They show just the start of the last flare which lasted so long. I would have to guess from the way it looks that it probably had a CME associated with it.. Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>On LASCO 2 it looks like the last one did a CME..after a few more updates it should be a little clearer Agree give it another hour and there would be enough info to see if there was a CME associated with this but it does look like there was Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
~Andariel~
User ID: 1099782 Canada 03/07/2011 10:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Gabriel
User ID: 1270305 United States 03/07/2011 10:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 746787 Canada 03/07/2011 10:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
~Andariel~
User ID: 1099782 Canada 03/07/2011 10:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Athena Awakened
User ID: 1280907 United States 03/07/2011 10:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez
(OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 03/07/2011 10:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After the last 71 minute M flare, the Xray flux bottomed out around C2 and is now rising again [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1274724 United States 03/07/2011 11:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Quisqueyano
User ID: 1280343 United States 03/07/2011 11:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Quisqueyano
User ID: 1280343 United States 03/07/2011 11:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1284672 United States 03/07/2011 11:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |