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Coronavirus - Official Abstract and report. This thing has a REPRODUCTIVE FACTOR OF 4

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 75733009
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01/25/2020 02:04 AM
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Re: Coronavirus - Official Abstract and report. This thing has a REPRODUCTIVE FACTOR OF 4
When SARS was going on, it was not the same. This level of quarantine was not happening.

But don't worry if you don't want to! :)
Scorpionica

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01/25/2020 03:20 AM
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Re: Coronavirus - Official Abstract and report. This thing has a REPRODUCTIVE FACTOR OF 4
Does anyone know what the incubation period is? The longer the period, the more difficult it is to contain.
 Quoting: carterCZ


7-14 days. Not controllable. No will know who has it. And some are unreported.
 Quoting: Diabolical.


3 to 6 day incubation period according to this paper.

[link to www.thelancet.com (secure)]
"An unfailing experience of mundane events in harmony with the changes occurring in the heavens has instructed and compelled my unwilling belief." Johannes Kepler

"And God said, Let there be lights in the firmament of the heaven to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs, and for seasons, and for days, and years..." Genesis 1:14
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2020 03:26 AM
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Re: Coronavirus - Official Abstract and report. This thing has a REPRODUCTIVE FACTOR OF 4
So math wise would that be around 500 dead?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75271379


Mortality rate is around 3-4%. So, 250,000 infected now means 10,000 dead so far. That probably fits in with the reports off twitter etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905



it's not 4%.

it's going to end up in the 10-15% range, like SARS.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77283375


Well then it will burn out quicker.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905


it's designed with binary behavior. in a single form, it would burn out quicker but it's designed to spread for two weeks and then turn lethal

.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2020 03:27 AM
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Re: Coronavirus - Official Abstract and report. This thing has a REPRODUCTIVE FACTOR OF 4
...


Mortality rate is around 3-4%. So, 250,000 infected now means 10,000 dead so far. That probably fits in with the reports off twitter etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905



it's not 4%.

it's going to end up in the 10-15% range, like SARS.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77283375


Well then it will burn out quicker.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905


it's designed with binary behavior. in a single form, it would burn out quicker but it's designed to spread for two weeks and then turn lethal

.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78384527


the Chinese know what it is and how it works.

That's why they're panicking.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2020 03:30 AM
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Re: Coronavirus - Official Abstract and report. This thing has a REPRODUCTIVE FACTOR OF 4
...



it's not 4%.

it's going to end up in the 10-15% range, like SARS.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77283375


Well then it will burn out quicker.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76760905


it's designed with binary behavior. in a single form, it would burn out quicker but it's designed to spread for two weeks and then turn lethal

.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78384527


the Chinese know what it is and how it works.

That's why they're panicking.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78384527



Mr Too Secret may be a LARP
but it's based on reality.

This thing is DESIGNED to beat conventional wisdom about virus behavior.





GLP