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Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 73650946
United States
02/16/2020 07:00 PM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Every supply chain has redundancy and resilience. BS thread.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78221722


This thread hit a nerve, eh?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78492264
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02/18/2020 02:35 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
...


I built my home in 2004. The cost of a sheet of 3/4 Advantech sub-flooring was $35/sheet. In fact, building products in general were at an all-time high. I didn't much care for that, but the house got built nonetheless. The housing market most certainly did not collapse then, nor will it now. There's a nationwide shortage of housing, and our workforce is growing. Our economy is market driven. From that will arise whatever solutions are necessary to combat the complications we face. In fact, WWII forced the entire nation to exist on rationed materials. Not only did we survive, WE WON A DAMNED WAR TOO. End of discussion.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76953806


I'll bet your house is a piece of crap. Cheap.

2004 was the height of the market, builders were slapping houses together cheaply.

Forget the crash in 2008 that was nothing.

You overpaid in 2004 and get ready for a 50% drop in value this year.

You know I'm right so don't even bother replying.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73222077


I'm a custom home builder, and my house is beautiful. Thank you for asking. Perhaps when you get out of your parents basement, work hard, develop a viable skill, contribute to the economy, and pass a basic course in economics, your outlook will change a bit.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76953806


In case you forgot, this is glp, so we know you're lying and at best you over paid for your shitty cookie cutter double wide.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73222077


Cruise
anonymouse
User ID: 78486880
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02/18/2020 02:45 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
bsflagbsflagbsflag
NotStarvingActress

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02/18/2020 03:28 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
OP, Thanks for the heads up. It's going to hit Vegas super hard just like it did in 2008.

Local construction means support from the tradesmen for the local casinos. Without work they'll leave for greener pastures wherever they can find them, putting their homes up for sale at a loss.

Then you'll see a chain reaction against most employees in Vegas.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78492264
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02/18/2020 09:36 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
OP, Thanks for the heads up. It's going to hit Vegas super hard just like it did in 2008.

Local construction means support from the tradesmen for the local casinos. Without work they'll leave for greener pastures wherever they can find them, putting their homes up for sale at a loss.

Then you'll see a chain reaction against most employees in Vegas.
 Quoting: NotStarvingActress


This
Anonymous Coward
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02/18/2020 09:39 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Anywhere there is new construction and building is doomed by this. Supply chain is crucial to this industry.

You've got maybe 6-12 months of new construction inventory and then boom. It's going south fast.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 74706783
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02/18/2020 09:56 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Time to take cover...
hiding
 Quoting: Housing collapse imminent 75063231


Should i sell my home NOW and move my family to an apartment then wait for the collapse and THEN buy a nicer home at 50% off current prices? Seriously.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77378410
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02/18/2020 10:00 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Interesting thread. I think new housing is going to grind to a halt but existing will somewhat hold it’s value. Those who bought up homes during the crash at the bottom especially. Definitely going to affect...wouldn’t want to be upside down. We’ve been looking at retirement homes and can’t believe people want to spend a gob of money on a retirement home and how much hoa fees are...and the taxes..
ROCKY 7

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02/18/2020 10:30 AM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
So we won't be able to build or buy a new house.
That ol used home is all you have to chose from then.
You will buy it at my price or just stay in that shitty apartment. Yes the prices will go up.
ROCKY 7
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78495659
United States
02/18/2020 08:58 PM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Interesting thread. I think new housing is going to grind to a halt but existing will somewhat hold it’s value. Those who bought up homes during the crash at the bottom especially. Definitely going to affect...wouldn’t want to be upside down. We’ve been looking at retirement homes and can’t believe people want to spend a gob of money on a retirement home and how much hoa fees are...and the taxes..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77378410


I wouldn't be so sure about that.

Housing has been in a bubble for years, especially in areas like Colorado where there is new construction everywhere.

The faster a region grows, the harder it crashes.

Plus, Americans are up to their eyeballs in credit card, mortgage and car loan debt.

It's all going to fall and is not coming back anytime soon.

Bank on it.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78495659
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02/18/2020 09:01 PM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Anywhere there is new construction and building is doomed by this. Supply chain is crucial to this industry.

You've got maybe 6-12 months of new construction inventory and then boom. It's going south fast.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78492264


Yup.

And existing homes are going south, too, as credit dries up. People are not getting wage increases like they used to.

No one gets out alive.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78495659
United States
02/18/2020 09:03 PM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
So we won't be able to build or buy a new house.
That ol used home is all you have to chose from then.
You will buy it at my price or just stay in that shitty apartment. Yes the prices will go up.
 Quoting: ROCKY 7


After the collapse, no one will have any money to buy even the old crappy houses.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78495659
United States
02/18/2020 09:11 PM
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Re: Supply Chain disruptions and the new construction housing market.... Get ready for the big short 2.0 this spring
Time to take cover...
hiding
 Quoting: Housing collapse imminent 75063231


Should i sell my home NOW and move my family to an apartment then wait for the collapse and THEN buy a nicer home at 50% off current prices? Seriously.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74706783


If you are planning to sell, do so now.





GLP