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They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78619030
United States
03/15/2020 02:11 PM
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They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
The CFR for the Flu is calculated using

deaths/ESTIMATED cases

For 2020 this is 22K/36M = 0.06% per CDC

However, COVID19 deaths are calculated using

deaths/CONFIRMED cases = 3.4% per WHO

For the flu, 220K cases are confirmed, 36M estimated. a ratio of 168X. Big diff. !

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Goto CDC's website for yourself and see: [link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

So what does this mean? It means if the Flu death rate was calculated the SAME EXACT WAY as COVID19 it would be at 10%!

Yet they tell you COVID19 is far more deadly than the Flu. Is it really?

Update: fixed minor typo in original tweet.
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2020 02:18 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
except the number of confirmed corona cases is 10x higher because they are not even testing, so its really 34%
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 75421609
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03/15/2020 02:23 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
The CFR for the Flu is calculated using

deaths/ESTIMATED cases

For 2020 this is 22K/36M = 0.06% per CDC

However, COVID19 deaths are calculated using

deaths/CONFIRMED cases = 3.4% per WHO

For the flu, 220K cases are confirmed, 37M estimated. a ratio of 168X. Big diff. !

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Goto CDC's website for yourself and see: [link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

So what does this mean? It means if the Flu death rate was calculated the SAME EXACT WAY as COVID19 it would be at 10%!

Yet they tell you COVID19 is far more deadly than the Flu. Is it really?
 Quoting: RememberTheFuture


clappa


COVID19 is basically akin to the Flu or common cold. But because it's new, they can scare everybody with it. They are crashing the economy over a virus that is similar to what we've already had.

How many thousands and thousands of elderly people die of "natural causes"? A lot of that is cold or flu. If they were more specific in classifying what those "natural causes" were, the numbers might look pretty scary too.
wYw
User ID: 76279978
United States
03/15/2020 02:27 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
The CFR for the Flu is calculated using

deaths/ESTIMATED cases

For 2020 this is 22K/36M = 0.06% per CDC

However, COVID19 deaths are calculated using

deaths/CONFIRMED cases = 3.4% per WHO

For the flu, 220K cases are confirmed, 37M estimated. a ratio of 168X. Big diff. !

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Goto CDC's website for yourself and see: [link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

So what does this mean? It means if the Flu death rate was calculated the SAME EXACT WAY as COVID19 it would be at 10%!

Yet they tell you COVID19 is far more deadly than the Flu. Is it really?
 Quoting: RememberTheFuture


clappa


COVID19 is basically akin to the Flu or common cold. But because it's new, they can scare everybody with it. They are crashing the economy over a virus that is similar to what we've already had.

How many thousands and thousands of elderly people die of "natural causes"? A lot of that is cold or flu. If they were more specific in classifying what those "natural causes" were, the numbers might look pretty scary too.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75421609


Yeah ok whatever you say Agent Shill
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 75421609
United States
03/15/2020 02:27 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
except the number of confirmed corona cases is 10x higher because they are not even testing, so its really 34%
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76590429


More cases means the death rate is lower. Most cases are mild, a lot of people have no idea they even had it. We have a good idea of the numerator, but we have no clue on the denominator.

Doomers can't have it both ways. They want a really high case number and a really high death rate. But a high case number dilutes the death rate into very non-doomy numbers.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 75421609
United States
03/15/2020 02:28 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
The CFR for the Flu is calculated using

deaths/ESTIMATED cases

For 2020 this is 22K/36M = 0.06% per CDC

However, COVID19 deaths are calculated using

deaths/CONFIRMED cases = 3.4% per WHO

For the flu, 220K cases are confirmed, 37M estimated. a ratio of 168X. Big diff. !

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Goto CDC's website for yourself and see: [link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

So what does this mean? It means if the Flu death rate was calculated the SAME EXACT WAY as COVID19 it would be at 10%!

Yet they tell you COVID19 is far more deadly than the Flu. Is it really?
 Quoting: RememberTheFuture


clappa


COVID19 is basically akin to the Flu or common cold. But because it's new, they can scare everybody with it. They are crashing the economy over a virus that is similar to what we've already had.

How many thousands and thousands of elderly people die of "natural causes"? A lot of that is cold or flu. If they were more specific in classifying what those "natural causes" were, the numbers might look pretty scary too.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75421609


Yeah ok whatever you say Agent Shill
 Quoting: wYw 76279978


For a conspiracy site there sure are a lot of people who have bought into the hoax that's being sold to them.
Anonymous Coward
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Bulgaria
03/15/2020 02:31 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
If SARS-CoV-2 were the same as seasonal flu, why is Italy's healthcare system on the brink of collapse? Iran's too.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 78619030
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03/15/2020 02:35 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
The CFR for the Flu is calculated using

deaths/ESTIMATED cases

For 2020 this is 22K/36M = 0.06% per CDC

However, COVID19 deaths are calculated using

deaths/CONFIRMED cases = 3.4% per WHO

For the flu, 220K cases are confirmed, 37M estimated. a ratio of 168X. Big diff. !

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Goto CDC's website for yourself and see: [link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

So what does this mean? It means if the Flu death rate was calculated the SAME EXACT WAY as COVID19 it would be at 10%!

Yet they tell you COVID19 is far more deadly than the Flu. Is it really?
 Quoting: RememberTheFuture


Updated twitter link:

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78518536
United States
03/15/2020 02:44 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
Good point.

Still, it's a good idea to follow the best hygiene and other practices to keep numbers low. You don't want to be the guy needing the ventilator when they're all in use.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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03/15/2020 02:45 PM
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Re: They are lying to you about the death rate for the Flu. It is 10% if calculated same as COVID19. They use ESTIMATED cases not CONFIRMED
If SARS-CoV-2 were the same as seasonal flu, why is Italy's healthcare system on the brink of collapse? Iran's too.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58674618


Good question. I am looking into it.

Right now my working theory is that COVID19 hits the elderly particularly hard. They require supplemental oxygen. It is beds with oxygen which may be hard to find.

Furthermore even though it is comparable to the flu it is still an ADDITIONAL strain on the system.

So if the system is designed to handle the same number of patients as last year, what happens when you suddenly increase that number by 10%, 20% etc? They are caught unprepared.





GLP