Tracking site suggests White House model is overestimating coronavirus hospitalizations

Wonder if the models factored in the expected use of hydroxy treatment?

It's the fucking flu.

No. That is probably hard to model at the moment.

The models are only as good as the modelers. Do the modelers have an agenda here? It seems like they do for the most part.

Well there!
BREAK IS OVER!

BACK ON YOUR HEADS!

If they are promoted by the mainstream media, they are in on the "promotion" and serve the NWO agenda.

It's the fucking flu.

they can just say that social distancing worked

Nothing about this is any sort of mystery.

There is no history of how C-19 actually disperses within a population as it spreads and the modelling was simply based on estimations.

They did not want to have too few beds or places because they did not want to be overwhelmed and unprepared.

The actual infection or mortality rates are unknown because there is no historical model to base them upon. So for that very reason they had to approximate.

C-19 is related to SARS and SARS had a fatality rate of 15%. The mortality rate of SARS was unknown until they had a history of it. They had no way of knowing for certain what mortality rate C-19 would have and it is not outside the realm of possibility that it could be higher than SARS. That is why they have taken C-19 so seriously.

That’s why you adjust models based on results and if you see that you was wrong you dismiss them.

But those “scholars” are still sticking to their failed models and failed treatment.

Jan 14, WHO declared no evidence of human-to-human transmission of virus.
- Jan 21, Dr. Fauci makes this statement about the Coronavirus: "“This is not a major threat to the people of the United States and this is not something that the citizens of the United States should be worried about right now,”
- Jan 23, At an emergency committee convened by the World Health Organization, the WHO says that the Wuhan coronavirus does not yet constitute a public health emergency of international concern.
- Jan 28, Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with WHO Director General Tedros Adhanom in Beijing. At the meeting, Xi and the WHO agree to send a team of international experts, including US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention staff, to China to investigate the coronavirus outbreak.
- Jan 29, The White House announces the formation of a new task force that will help monitor and contain the spread of the virus.
- Jan 31, Trump bans travel from Wuhan, press cites "experts" claiming it is counterproductive.
- Feb 1, Florence holds "Hug a Chinese Person Day".
- Feb 4, President Trump dedicates part of State of the Union Address to the Coronavirus issue. Nancy Pelosi tore up her copy of this address on national television.
- Feb 9, NYC holds Chinatown parade with assurances of no danger from the mayor
- Feb 23, 1st evidence of community transfer within U.S.
- Feb 24, Pelosi says to shop more: "‘Come to Chinatown ... come join us"
- Feb 25, Mardi Gras was held with few people sounding warnings
- Feb 26, Pence takes over task force, daily briefings begin.
- March 1, just 42 confirmed cases in U.S.
- March 3, NYC mayor encourages New Yorkers to go to the movies.
- March 5, NYC mayor rides the subway to assure people it is safe to do so.
- March 11, WHO acknowledged a pandemic scale virus on March 11

Feel free to post this on Facebook or anywhere else. All dates have been checked for accuracy.

There's more to this. The corrupt media said it was fine to go out and called Trump a racist.

True numbers of Americans hospitalized with coronavirus appear to be tens of thousands lower than model's projections.

A Web site that tracks actual hospital beds in use suggests the model used by top White House health officials to project the trajectory of the coronavirus has so far overestimated the number of Americans hospitalized by the disease by tens of thousands.

Those projections, popularly known as the "Murray" model after the model's lead author, University of Washington professor Christopher Murray, were explicitly cited by Dr. Deborah Birx, the response coordinator for the White House's Coronavirus Task Force, at a press conference in the last week.

Birx told reporters that Murray's model, which predicts a shortage of tens of thousands of hospital beds throughout the country by the middle of April, underscored the task force's "concern that we had with the growing number of potential fatalities" based on the model's projections.

Yet a comparison of actual hospitalized patients by state and nationally suggests the model has so far overestimated the number of beds needed to treat pandemic patients.

The forecast predicted, for example, that the United States would need around 164,750 hospital beds for COVID-19 patients on Saturday. Yet the COVID Tracking Project, a team of journalists and data analysts who collect and tabulate coronavirus data from state tallies around the country, reported only around 22,158 currently hospitalized coronavirus patients nationwide on Saturday.

The discrepancies are also stark when looked at on a state-by-state basis. The model estimated that 65,434 patients would need hospital beds in New York State on Friday. In reality, there were 15,905 hospitalizations in that state by Sunday morning, according to the COVID Tracking Project.

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