Excess Deaths Latest England/Wales UNADJUSTED RAW Government Death Data LATEST: Easter being reported - low #'s, due to holiday.

Time for the….

Excess deaths England and Wales
Week 44


2022 - 11,795
2021 - 11,550
2020 - 10,887
2019 - 10,164
2018 - 9,529
2017 - 9,984
2016 - 10,152
2015 - 9,618

Consider those weekly total deaths above..and the update released today 15 November, and yet there is zero comments from the government or media ….yet these were the PM’s fear mongering words last year on the same day 15 November 2021:

And all the lies

Turning to Covid, I want to update you on our progress,and, in particular, on these storm clouds that are gathering over the continent.
A new wave of Covid has steadily swept through central Europe and is now affecting our nearest neighbours in Western Europe.
Our friends on the continent have been forced to respond with various degrees of new restrictions, from full lockdowns, to lockdowns for the unvaccinated, to restrictions on business opening hours and restrictions on social gatherings.
We don’t yet know the extent to which this new wave will wash up on our shores, but history shows we cannot afford to be complacent.

Indeed in recent days cases there have been rising here in the UK, so we must remain vigilant.

Because there is one lesson we can draw from the current situation in Europe.

Those countries with lower vaccination rates have tended to see bigger surges in infection, and in turn been forced to respond with harsher measures.

While those countries with higher vaccination rates have, so far, fared better.

This shows us once again that if we want to control the epidemic here in the UK,

and if we want to avoid new restrictions on our daily lives, we must all get vaccinated as soon as we are eligible.

Today, following the recommendation of the independent Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation,

we are making second jabs available to all 16 and 17 year olds,

from 12 weeks after their first dose.

And we are making boosters available to all those aged 40 to 49

from six months after their second dose.

Boosters as you know are already available for all those over 50,

those with underlying health conditions

and those working on the frontline of our NHS and in care homes.

And let me explain why that booster is absolutely crucial,

Stats for England & Wales, week ending 04-Nov-2022.
========================================================
England & Wales Government (O.N.S.) stats out today..
[link to www.ons.gov.uk (secure)]

We have a +19% excess in weekly all-cause deaths, relative to the same week in 2015-2019.

My 'heat map' tables show the age-breakdown and numbers:
[link to ibb.co (secure)]


Week ending 04-Nov: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019, for the same week of the year.
-There were 11,795 deaths corresponding to 1,904 excess deaths.
-Deaths due to covid: 418 (of 11,795) and deaths involving covid: 650 (Table 3).
-Covid Death figures are in a falling trend (Table 3).
-There is a greater than 1.5 Standard Deviation 23% excess in the 75-84yo age-group.
-There is a greater than 1.5 Standard Deviation 18% excess in the 45-64yo age-group.

-Deaths in all age-groups over 15yo were above average for the week..
-Deaths at home: 3,329 (+30% excess over the five year average for the same week of 2,563) (Table 10)

Prior weeks:
Week ending 28-Oct: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 21-Oct: +21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 14-Oct: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 07-Oct: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 30-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 23-Sep: -6% lower than 2015-2019 for the same week, due to QEII funeral bank holiday (reduction estimated at 1/7th = 15%)
Week ending 16-Sep: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 09-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 02-Sep: +8% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 26-Aug: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 19-Aug: 21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week

.


30% wtaf

.

S-man - very concerning!

I wonder why the deaths are not showing in the ambulance data as cardiac arrests?

Most deaths at home get an ambulance as an arrest even if we don’t start resuscitation and cal it as DOA - dead on arrival.

[link to assets.publishing.service.gov.uk (secure)]

Duh, it don't exist.

I made a chart that I think is interesting:
I have color-coded the axes.
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

On the same graph you have the +/- excess for the week as a percentage in blue.
and:
The cumulative excess deaths as the year progressed in orange.

This is for England & Wales, population about 60m and is all-cause mortality.
NOT covid specifically but
ALL causes.

So the excess deaths this year is 40,000 or so, most of it is concentrated in the elderly population.

What strikes me is how 'straight' the orange line for cumulative excess deaths is, once the excess began around Week17.
(This is a constant rate of excess death).

Note also the big dips in % happen on UK bank Holiday weeks. Morticians need a break, too!

By age, you have an overall excess that looks like this (counting only weeks where there is an excess i.e. not subtracting when lower than mean) :
< 1 yr: 33 dead babies RIP
1-14yo: 96
15-44y: 1,294
45-64y: 5,790
65-74y: 4,244
75-84y: 14,703
85+ yo: 16,564
==============
TOTAL: 42,724

I've been mulling over the straightness of that excess deaths cumulative plot in orange. If it's an artefact of covid or the vaxxes, the straightness doesn't seem to reflect the exponential growth/decay of various waves of covid, does it?
---More like the finite vaccination capacity of a health service working flat-out to get through a population.... hmmm..

Last Edited by S-man on 11/16/2022 07:46 AM

Yeah, maybe as the excesses are concentrated in the elderly 'home' might be a care home? No ambalam there?

Wow!

What goes the graph look like for 2021?

So what happened in weeks 15/16 - pretty flat before that ????

Last Edited by ParamedicUK on 11/16/2022 10:35 AM

True we don’t go to care home deaths very often! But they can’t all be in care homes?

I'll see if I have time to put 2021 into a graph. Might take me a few days. From memory, it picked up in the 2nd half of the year,too.

Of course, in 2021, we were dealing with more pathogenic variants like Delta.

Yeah, week 15/16.. what happened? Dunno.
I am cogitating on it.
Theory: systemic amyloidosis. Can take a while, but once it gets going, people drop unexpectedly and for various reasons. Proportions would be in line with exposure to amyloidogenic pathogen. Let's assume: spike protein.

Amyloidosis of kidneys: can be a relatively sudden failure and fatal.
Amyloidosis of Heart:: can mean sudden death, but ALSO could be confused for myo/peri-carditis.
Amyloid in-brain: Fatal.. Lewy-body dementia, Parkinson's, Alzheimer's etc. Slow, but fatal 100%.
Amyloid in vascular endothelium including micro-vessels: vessel occulsion, necrosis, organ damage, strokes, heart-attacks, infarctions etc.

I'm thinking...AMYLOID.

Last Edited by S-man on 11/16/2022 11:08 AM

A few pieces of the SYSTEMIC AMYLOIDOSIS puzzle I am cogitating over...

Jessica Rose: [link to jessica5b3.substack.com (secure)]
Remember I thought myocarditis might actually be cardiac amyloidosis?

-----------

Walter Chesnut: [link to wmcresearch.substack.com (secure)]
It Is One Of Ralph Baric's Experimental Congestive Heart Failure Coronaviruses That Was Being Further Researched In Wuhan
"More than 1,500 EXCESS sudden kidney failure deaths in Massachusetts (MA) alone in the past 18 months."
"GOF. Why stop at heart failure? Tropism. That's the key word here."
"It's multiple organ failure."

-----------

Another Baric paper...Myocarditis or Cardiac Amyloidosis?
[link to academic.oup.com (secure)]
An Experimental Model for Myocarditis and Congestive Heart Failure after Rabbit Coronavirus Infection

-----------

[link to wmcresearch.substack.com (secure)]
You can induce the impairment of multiple organs the "same way" - via the microvasculature.
"This study was never published. At least I cannot find it."
"I am astounded. Please note the dates."

---------------


So, we're injecting an amyloid-inducing spike mRNA *inside particles that take that code to every far corner of the body*, including crossing the Blood-Brian-Barrier.
The code continues to run for weeks or months, possibly years. (see Patterson et al. spike detctable 15 months+ in non-classical monocytes, and in vaxxed too!)

Here's just how amyloidogenic the spikes are, alongside some known bad-boys..

Sars-CoV-2 Spike (Wuhan-1): <- THIS is in the vaxxes!
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Sars-Cov-2 Spike (Omicron BA.1):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Alpha-Synuclein (Parkinson's amyloid):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

TDP43 (Lou Gehrig's/ALS amyloid):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

(The graphs come from 'WALTZ' which tries to estimate how amyloidogenic a protein is.)

Last Edited by S-man on 11/16/2022 11:50 AM

Update tomorrow ;)

Stats for England & Wales, week ending 11-Nov-2022.
========================================================

England & Wales Government (O.N.S.) stats out today..
[link to www.ons.gov.uk (secure)]

We have a +12% excess in weekly all-cause deaths, relative to the same week in 2015-2019.

My 'heat map' tables show the age-breakdown and numbers:
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Week ending 11-Nov: +12% excess over figures for 2015-2019, for the same week of the year.
-There were 11,538 deaths corresponding to 1,207 excess deaths.
-Deaths due to covid: 361 (of 11,538) and deaths involving covid: 518 (Table 3).
-Covid Death figures are in a falling trend (Table 3).
-There is a greater than 1 Standard Deviation 35% excess in the 1-15yo age-group. - but this corresponds to ~5 deaths, so not very significant.

-Deaths in all age-groups were above average for the week..
-Deaths at home: 3,302 (+22% excess over the five year average for the same week of 2,697) (Table 10)

Prior weeks:
Week ending 04-Nov: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 28-Oct: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 21-Oct: +21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 14-Oct: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 07-Oct: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 30-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 23-Sep: -6% lower than 2015-2019 for the same week, due to QEII funeral bank holiday (reduction estimated at 1/7th = 15%)
Week ending 16-Sep: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 09-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 02-Sep: +8% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 26-Aug: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 19-Aug: 21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week

Last Edited by S-man on 11/22/2022 07:20 AM

Amyloidosis (am-uh-loi-DO-sis) is a rare disease that occurs when a substance called amyloid builds up in your organs. Amyloid is an abnormal protein that is produced in your bone marrow and can be deposited in any tissue or organ.

Amyloidosis frequently affects the heart, kidneys, liver, spleen, nervous system and digestive tract. It is often overlooked because it may cause no symptoms at first. And when there are signs or symptoms, they can look like those of more-common diseases.

There's no cure for amyloidosis and severe amyloidosis can lead to life-threatening organ failure. But treatments can help you manage your symptoms and limit the production of amyloid protein.

Diagnosis as early as possible can help prevent further organ damage caused by the protein buildup. So, it's important to talk with your health care provider if you're experiencing any of these 10 possible signs and symptoms.

Urine changes and swollen legs. If amyloidosis damages your kidneys, it can cause protein to leak from your blood into your urine. This may cause your urine to be foamy, or you may urinate less.When large amounts of protein leave your bloodstream and enter your urine, water can leak out of the blood vessels into your feet. This can cause your feet, ankles and calves to swell.

Unintentional, significant weight loss. If you're losing protein from your blood, you may lose your appetite and, as a result, lose weight without trying.If amyloidosis affects your digestive system, it can also affect your ability to digest your food and absorb nutrients. It's common to lose 20 to 25 pounds.

Severe fatigue. Feeling extremely tired is common with amyloidosis. Even small efforts may feel difficult.

Shortness of breath. If amyloidosis affects your heart, it can limit your heart's ability to fill with blood between heartbeats. This means less blood is pumped with each beat, which may cause you to feel short of breath. Amyloidosis that affects the lungs also can cause shortness of breath.You may find it difficult to climb a flight of stairs or walk long distances without stopping to rest. You may also feel short of breath with even the slightest activity.

Numbness, tingling, weakness or pain in your hands or feet. If amyloid proteins collect in and put pressure on the nerves to your fingers, you may have pain and other symptoms in your wrists (carpal tunnel syndrome). If the amyloid proteins collect in the nerves to your feet, you may have numbness, lack of feeling, or a burning sensation in your toes and soles of your feet.

Diarrhea or constipation. If amyloidosis affects the nerves that control your bowels, you may have diarrhea or constipation.
An enlarged tongue.

Amyloidosis can cause your tongue to become enlarged. It can also cause other muscles, such as in your shoulders, to become enlarged.
Skin changes. You may notice a waxy thickening of your skin; easy bruising of your face, eyelids or chest; or purplish patches around your eyes.
Irregular heartbeat.

If amyloidosis affects your heart's electrical system, it may disturb your heart's rhythm and cause an irregular heartbeat.
Dizziness when standing. If the nerves that control your blood pressure are affected, you may feel dizzy or near fainting if you stand up too quickly.

[link to newsnetwork.mayoclinic.org (secure)]

.

Fair few “Long Covid” symptoms there !!!!

UK PM, whatever his name is, hosts series of emergency COBRA meetings over impending winter crisis.

[link to www.express.co.uk (secure)]

.

WInter pressures only just starting and the hospitals are full and the ambulance service is failing.

It’s going to be interesting.

1 star for lying

Amyloidosis matches up very well.
It seems hard to diagnose specifically, is there any test?
So far all I can find is a collection of blood work variables that can point to it, but getting anyone to believe it is a challenge

About what?

I wonder if there is any data on cancer diagnosis anywhere in the U.K. ?

Tissue staining with 'Congo Red' shows amyloid.
There is also some PET scanning that can pick it out, if you have that kind of money!
(Positron Emmission Tomography with amyloid tracers..)

Note: I did some work with WALTZ software earlier this year looking at the amyloidogenicity of the spike and other known bad-boys in the world of amyloid:


WALTZ - Predicting amylogenic regions in protein sequences.
(waltz.switchlab.org)

Sars-CoV-2 Spike (Wuhan-1):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Sars-Cov-2 Spike (Omicron BA.1):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Alpha-Synuclein (Parkinson's amyloid):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

TDP43 (Lou Gehrig's/ALS amyloid):
[link to waltz.switchlab.org (secure)]
[link to ibb.co (secure)]

Last Edited by S-man on 11/27/2022 06:43 PM

Stats for England & Wales, week ending 18-Nov-2022.
========================================================
England & Wales Government (O.N.S.) stats out today..
[link to www.ons.gov.uk (secure)]

We have a +12% excess in weekly all-cause deaths, relative to the same week in 2015-2019.

My 'heat map' tables show the age-breakdown and numbers:
[link to ibb.co (secure)]


Week ending 18-Nov: +12% excess over figures for 2015-2019, for the same week of the year.
-There were 11,579 deaths corresponding to 1,229 excess deaths.
-Deaths due to covid: 258 (of 11,579) and deaths involving covid: 423 (Table 3).
-Covid Death figures are in a falling trend since 21st Oct. (Table 3).
-There is a greater than 1.5 Standard Deviation 19% excess in the 15-44yo age-group.

-Deaths in all age-groups over 14yo were above average for the week..
-Deaths at home: 3,295 (+23% excess over the five year average for the same week of 2,679) (Table 10)

Prior weeks:
Week ending 11-Nov: +12% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 04-Nov: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 28-Oct: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 21-Oct: +21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 14-Oct: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 07-Oct: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 30-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 23-Sep: -6% lower than 2015-2019 for the same week, due to QEII funeral bank holiday (reduction estimated at 1/7th = 15%)
Week ending 16-Sep: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 09-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 02-Sep: +8% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 26-Aug: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 19-Aug: 21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week

Stats for England & Wales, week ending 25-Nov-2022.
========================================================

England & Wales Government (O.N.S.) stats out today..
[link to www.ons.gov.uk (secure)]

We have a +11% excess in weekly all-cause deaths, relative to the same week in 2015-2019.

My 'heat map' tables show the age-breakdown and numbers:
[link to ibb.co (secure)]


Week ending 25-Nov: +11% excess over figures for 2015-2019, for the same week of the year.
-There were 11,483 deaths corresponding to 1,103 excess deaths.
-Deaths due to covid: 215 (of 11,483) and deaths involving covid: 348 (Table 3).
-Covid Death figures are in a falling trend since 21st Oct. (Table 3).
-There is a greater than 1.5 Standard Deviation 21% excess in the 15-44yo age-group.
-There is a greater than 1.5 Standard Deviation 16% excess in the 45-64yo age-group.

-Deaths in all age-groups over 14yo were above average for the week..
-Deaths at home: 3,330 (+22% excess over the five year average for the same week of 2,732) (Table 10)

Prior weeks:
Week ending 18-Nov: +12% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 11-Nov: +12% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 04-Nov: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 28-Oct: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 21-Oct: +21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week.
Week ending 14-Oct: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 07-Oct: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 30-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 23-Sep: -6% lower than 2015-2019 for the same week, due to QEII funeral bank holiday (reduction estimated at 1/7th = 15%)
Week ending 16-Sep: +15% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 09-Sep: +17% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 02-Sep: +8% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 26-Aug: +19% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week
Week ending 19-Aug: 21% excess over figures for 2015-2019 for the same week

Thank you for these continued stats.

“ There is a greater than 1.5 Standard Deviation 21% excess in the 15-44yo age-group.”

Don’t suppose there is a male/female breakdown of deaths in the above age group please? That is a continuing shocking excess death toll in this age group

Not to complicate things, but could you look at the population numbers? An increase of the population would artificially inflate the death numbers if not taken into consideration.