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>>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)

 
Zeke38

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08/21/2018 11:13 AM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
8/29

50.95" by 10pm on Hawaii
32.62" on Maui

8/30

51.05" by 4am on Hawaii
32.75" on Maui

51.07" by 10am on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui

51.09" by 1pm on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui
 Quoting: Rose8


Another caldera collapse? According to Rev, they got 50 inches of rain in April (just prior to the eruption).


 Quoting: Zeke38


That wasn't even on Big Island. This WILL BE, and I think we should all be prepared for something to transpire. For those of you thinking slump...you need to also think of the western face of Mauna Loa as well as Hilina. That's a whole lot of weight coming down on those slopes that already have compromised stability. Not to mention the fact that rain will be heading toward the crater and F8 as well. Honestly, I'd be very worried about F8 since it's magma is so close to the surface and it's further down-slope than the HMM crater. IF it has an explosive eruption at F8, then that definitely could unhinge Hilina. It's going to be a tense weekend. And if I were in California, I'd probably go somewhere else for a few days.
 Quoting: Rose8


I can only imagine the fireworks that would have gone off if the lava was still flowing. However, there are plenty of other unknowns in the current state that make this equally disconcerting.


“And he brought them out and said, 'Sirs, what must I do to be saved?' So they said, 'Believe on the Lord Jesus Christ, and you will be saved, you and your household.'" Acts 16:30-31
Rose8  (OP)

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08/21/2018 11:51 AM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
8/29

50.95" by 10pm on Hawaii
32.62" on Maui

8/30

51.05" by 4am on Hawaii
32.75" on Maui

51.07" by 10am on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui

51.09" by 1pm on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui
 Quoting: Rose8


Another caldera collapse? According to Rev, they got 50 inches of rain in April (just prior to the eruption).


 Quoting: Zeke38


That wasn't even on Big Island. This WILL BE, and I think we should all be prepared for something to transpire. For those of you thinking slump...you need to also think of the western face of Mauna Loa as well as Hilina. That's a whole lot of weight coming down on those slopes that already have compromised stability. Not to mention the fact that rain will be heading toward the crater and F8 as well. Honestly, I'd be very worried about F8 since it's magma is so close to the surface and it's further down-slope than the HMM crater. IF it has an explosive eruption at F8, then that definitely could unhinge Hilina. It's going to be a tense weekend. And if I were in California, I'd probably go somewhere else for a few days.
 Quoting: Rose8


I can only imagine the fireworks that would have gone off if the lava was still flowing. However, there are plenty of other unknowns in the current state that make this equally disconcerting.


 Quoting: Zeke38


You're absolutely right. Could you imagine 50" of rain on F8 at full eruptive fountaining? Yikes. Maybe the heat of it would have just evaporated it before it reached. But now it can collect and drain into the fissure(s) in the area.
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Rev Woo-Woo

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08/21/2018 01:13 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Damn thing is almost a cat 5 and heading straight for Kauai!

ahhh
“If we are peaceful, if we are happy, we can smile and blossom like a flower, and everyone in our family, our entire society, will benefit from our peace.”
Thich Nhat Hanh, Being Peace

"But ask the animals, and they will teach you,
or the birds in the sky, and they will tell you;
or speak to the earth, and it will teach you,
or let the fish in the sea inform you." - Job 12:7,8

"When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." - Hunter S. Thompson



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Rev Woo-Woo

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08/21/2018 01:33 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
According to this projection, Honolulu is screwed.

[link to www.windy.com (secure)]
“If we are peaceful, if we are happy, we can smile and blossom like a flower, and everyone in our family, our entire society, will benefit from our peace.”
Thich Nhat Hanh, Being Peace

"But ask the animals, and they will teach you,
or the birds in the sky, and they will tell you;
or speak to the earth, and it will teach you,
or let the fish in the sea inform you." - Job 12:7,8

"When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." - Hunter S. Thompson



revstargazer (at) hotmail.com
Digital mix guy

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08/21/2018 02:14 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
While the YouTuber indicates a pass through between the two Westernmost islands...the model HAS since changed. NOW...the eye looks to be going DIRECTLY through the center of Maui.

The rain amounts still appear to be very severe for Hawaii big island.

What's more, severe amounts on the West Slope of Mauna Loa as well.

I'm still looking at the model hour to hour.

It still looks like from 8/20-8/25 there are 18-19" on BOTH Hawaii and Maui, as well as hitting Lana'i, Kaho'olawe and Moloka'i. It appears that MrMBB333 catches this change on his video (bottom).

Maui will get more rain, about an inch and a half more than Hawaii, looking at over 19". I'm seeing 19.61" by 7pm on the 25th.

19.49" on Hawaii by 10pm...19.76 by 1am (8/26).
20.46" on Maui by 1am (8/26)

19.88" on Hawaii by 4am (8/26)
20.63" on Maui

20.63" on Hawaii by 10am (8/26)
22.23" on Maui (shit)

22.98" on Maui by 1pm (8/26)
Hawaii seems to remain steady in the 20.6 range

20.87" on Hawaii by 4pm
23.66" on Maui

My heart is sinking...

23.95" on Maui
Hawaii remaining steady at previous range

21.48" on Hawaii by 10pm
Maui remaining steady

Hawaii levels steady by 1am (8/27)
Maui remaining steady

24.11" on Maui by 7am (8/27)
Hawaii levels remain steady at 20" range

21.86" on Hawaii by 1pm
24.33" on Maui

Hawaii remaining steady by 4pm
Maui remaining steady

21.9" on Hawaii by 7pm
24.48" on Maui

21.95 on Hawaii by 10pm (8/27)
24.49 on Maui

24.53" on Maui by 1am (8/28)
Hawaii remaining steady

22.17" on Hawaii by 7am
Maui remaining steady

Hawaii remaining steady by 1pm
Maui remaining steady

23.17" on Hawaii by 7pm
Maui remaining steady levels

24.16" on Hawaii by 10pm (8/28)
24.7" on Maui

25.24" on Hawaii by 1am (8/29)
Maui remaining steady

24.85" on Maui by 10am
25.3" on Hawaii

24.9" on Maui by 1pm
24.32" on Hawaii

So yeah...if this model doesn't change again...NOT GOOD...

[link to www.ventusky.com (secure)]


[link to www.hurricanecity.com]






 Quoting: Rose8


bump
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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08/21/2018 02:46 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Hurricane Watch Issued For Hawaii Island As Lane Approaches

[link to www.bigislandvideonews.com]

Yesterday, it was reported that there have been changes to the fissure that suggest it may just be a lull in the eruption, not the end. It was on bigislandvideonews, but the link won't post.
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

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Dickhead

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08/21/2018 04:12 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Could a drop in air pressure trigger an eruption?

Like when you take the lid off a fizzy drink..
Anonymous Coward
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08/21/2018 04:29 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Maybe we will see if this is what happens

from 2017 Forbes , What happens if a Volcano Erupts inside an eye of a hurricane, pretty specific thought there ...


[link to www.forbes.com (secure)]
Rose8  (OP)

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08/21/2018 04:43 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Could a drop in air pressure trigger an eruption?

Like when you take the lid off a fizzy drink..
 Quoting: Dickhead


Yes. it could.
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Anonymous Coward
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08/21/2018 06:12 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
yeah last year with irma was scared shitless seen what previous 4 hurricane did north of here when it made landfall an i was workin for uyility company up there ripped roof off apt building like i live in.
Doom-browser

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08/21/2018 06:44 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
 Quoting: Rose8


HELLO ROSE8
good job on this thread.
Any live cam access?
lil_g

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08/21/2018 08:07 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Maybe we will see if this is what happens

from 2017 Forbes , What happens if a Volcano Erupts inside an eye of a hurricane, pretty specific thought there ...


[link to www.forbes.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1301713


i would be getting out of HI
dream
Anonymous Coward
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08/21/2018 09:12 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
8/29

50.95" by 10pm on Hawaii
32.62" on Maui

8/30

51.05" by 4am on Hawaii
32.75" on Maui

51.07" by 10am on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui

51.09" by 1pm on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui

 Quoting: Rose8


Wow
Anonymous Coward
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08/21/2018 09:51 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
This hurricane is displacing so much water an EQ is highly probable.I would expect an EQ in the neighborhood of 6 to 8 in the region of Hawaii.
MaximusRex

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08/21/2018 09:55 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Pressure still falling down into the 920s.. almost cat 5. The only thing to bring it down is eye wall replacement cycles and shear. When will the shear affect the hurricane is the big question...
Rev Woo-Woo

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08/21/2018 10:01 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
This hurricane is displacing so much water an EQ is highly probable.I would expect an EQ in the neighborhood of 6 to 8 in the region of Hawaii.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75901286


glpeffect
“If we are peaceful, if we are happy, we can smile and blossom like a flower, and everyone in our family, our entire society, will benefit from our peace.”
Thich Nhat Hanh, Being Peace

"But ask the animals, and they will teach you,
or the birds in the sky, and they will tell you;
or speak to the earth, and it will teach you,
or let the fish in the sea inform you." - Job 12:7,8

"When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." - Hunter S. Thompson



revstargazer (at) hotmail.com
docsquat

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08/21/2018 10:14 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
This hurricane is displacing so much water an EQ is highly probable.I would expect an EQ in the neighborhood of 6 to 8 in the region of Hawaii.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75901286


glpeffect
 Quoting: Rev Woo-Woo


Prayers and positive energy from Oklahoma to my favorite island, Rev. Keep safe and keep the buffalo off the beach!
Purity of Essence
Otto Nous

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08/21/2018 10:24 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
At this point it doesn’t matter where it hits, we’re going to get VERY wet.

[link to forecast.weather.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Rev Woo-Woo


May you be spared the worst. May you all rally to help each other as vermonters did with Irene.

In all of my 55 years I don't ever remember a hurricane and Hawaii in the same sentence. Are they common there?
Anonymous Coward
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08/21/2018 10:27 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
8/29

50.95" by 10pm on Hawaii
32.62" on Maui

8/30

51.05" by 4am on Hawaii
32.75" on Maui

51.07" by 10am on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui

51.09" by 1pm on Hawaii
32.78" on Maui

 Quoting: Rose8

wtflolwtfdoomwtflol
Deplorable Klinger

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08/21/2018 10:27 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Looking through today's model literally made my queasy with dread for Hawaii and Maui.

Even if it doesn't make a slump slip or the volcano BOOM...that IS GOING TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODS
 Quoting: Rose8


Tsunurricano!

Bring the tomato plants in! Grab your guns! Head to the bunker! Switch Time lines! Act! Act! Act!

Be a Victor not a Victim!

hiding
Deplorable in a tin foil hat
silvervega

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08/21/2018 10:34 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Looking through today's model literally made my queasy with dread for Hawaii and Maui.

Even if it doesn't make a slump slip or the volcano BOOM...that IS GOING TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODS
 Quoting: Rose8


Tsunurricano!

Bring the tomato plants in! Grab your guns! Head to the bunker! Switch Time lines! Act! Act! Act!

Be a Victor not a Victim!

hiding
 Quoting: Deplorable Klinger
this seems smart
On the other hand, I have different fingers.
Hamlet's Mill

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08/21/2018 10:49 PM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
At this point it doesn’t matter where it hits, we’re going to get VERY wet.

[link to forecast.weather.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Rev Woo-Woo


May you be spared the worst. May you all rally to help each other as vermonters did with Irene.

In all of my 55 years I don't ever remember a hurricane and Hawaii in the same sentence. Are they common there?
 Quoting: Otto Nous

Not as frequent as East and Gulf Coast USA, but they do happen and can be as severe as the African origin Caribbean killer storms.

In 1992 -on September 11th– Cat 4 Hurricane Iniki devastated Kauai with 145 mph winds.
6 people died, 90% of the power poles were downed, and Iniki left 3.1 Billion dollars in damage.
[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

Last Edited by TerraFirma's Esoterrorist on 08/21/2018 10:58 PM
"Keep a weather eye to the chart on high and go home another way"

–James Taylor Never Die Young
G3

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08/21/2018 11:53 PM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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08/22/2018 12:19 AM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Here is the Civil Defense message



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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08/22/2018 01:27 AM

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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Honolulu Civil Beat has a live skyline cam.



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2018 09:08 AM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
tell your loved ones, friends, and neighbors to STAY AWAY FROM FEMA!

seriously, tell them.
Rose8  (OP)

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08/22/2018 09:12 AM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Thread: Cat 5 - 160mph - Hurricane Lane!!!

Rev Woo-Woo's thread.
Nobody Determines MY Worth but ME
Rose8  (OP)

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08/22/2018 09:51 AM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
The track changed very slightly to go just a tiny, tiny bit west. It still shows it breaking up as the eye hits the Kaui coast.

Now for the precip numbers...let's see if they changed.

8/25

26.36" on Maui by 10pm
19.84" on Hawaii

8/26

32.23" on Maui by 10pm
25.5" on Hawaii by 10pm

8/27

32.69" on Maui by 10pm
33.88" on Hawaii

8/28

34.68 on Maui by 10pm
36.08" on Hawaii

8/29

38.57" on Maui by 10pm
43.8" on Hawaii
7" on Oahu

8/30

6.5" on Kaua'i by 10pm
7.2" on Oahu
42.55" on Maui
44" on Hawaii

8/31

6.9" on Kaua'i by 1pm
7.38" on Oahu
42.58" on Maui
47.78" on Hawaii



Not as bad as yesterdays numbers...but still very grim.
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Rose8  (OP)

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08/22/2018 09:57 AM
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Re: >>>MAJOR ALERT<<<CAT5 Hurricane Lane - Now 47.75in+ of Rain (Updates pg3)
Those will not be the final numbers. Those are just the numbers I have access too.

What's coming to Hawaii is much more. Please see image below for what's beyond Hawaii to the East on the 31st...and yet to come after that.

[link to imgur.com (secure)]

This is the precipitation map.
Nobody Determines MY Worth but ME





GLP