XRP-tards, get in here. (Crash imminent? Final XRP moon in august 2021) | |
Squillium
User ID: 80507365 United States 06/20/2021 09:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yeah my stop hit... I'm surprised by the bullish divergences not working out at all. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze Get ready to watch the world die. It's going to get really ugly tomorrow. Possibly done with crypto for years. That's how bad this could be... Just for the record. This really could end up going to 1000$. Anyways good luck. Final warning. I'm not going to recommend anyone buy until bitcoin is 3000/1000$. For the record. That's it. Those are the prices I think it comes to. Ok I’m pulling out I think. No worries Cheese, thanks for reporting your findings so consistently. Squillium |
Squillium
User ID: 80507365 United States 06/20/2021 09:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 09:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 80418849 United Kingdom 06/20/2021 09:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 80507365 United States 06/20/2021 09:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 09:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [imgur] [link to imgur.com] Expecting that to reject bitcoin now. It's a 382 retrace and also the 200 daily ema. So I expect that to happen. Expecting 43,500 still. But again, im out and done. Just watching the carnage at this point. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 09:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Squillium
User ID: 7296546 United States 06/20/2021 10:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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nemo_solus
User ID: 78752191 Norway 06/20/2021 11:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://imgur.com/a/INR1rtI Being the nerd that I am, have been spending a little time today looking at the recent order book action. I've noticed a new pattern showing up very recently, but don't know if it's representative of a new actor or a capability update to a specific program - time will tell. Inside the green squares you'll see a new type of "chirp" pattern that's very distinct from the standard order coming and going (an example is the yellow band highlighted by the light blue box). I've only seen this pattern since June 14th, and only in use in close proximity to the current market prices. Mainly, the market making algos are responsive to changes in the order book, not absolute volume. I suspect this bot (and it's clearly not organic) is ramping up the order volume to fool the other algos into thinking it's organic. It is actually a very clever way to risk a very minimal amount of BTC to influence the price. Also of interest is that the signal is very periodic. Here's a close up of a "chirp": https://imgur.com/a/dDSuEpF It is 3 hours long, presently at the $35k level - you can see on average it only risks ~30BTC at any one time as it starts off with an order at low 10-ish BTC and ultimately runs up to ~280 BTC before resetting back to ~10 BTC. A possible indication of the link between the operators of the "chirping" bot being the same as the "steady large volume" player at the $37k level is the simultaneous signal break all the patterns share (highlighted by the purple rectangle). At first I thought it was due to a data dropout on my feed, but looking closer, you can see there is other data still there at that level in the gap, so it's certainly not a data feed failure. Not that it is very useful per se, but I thought it was interesting to share and will be something to keep an eye out for in the future. very nice, thank you Thanks, and you are welcome! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 11:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If 43.5k happens... And if it rejects... It rejects down to 8000-8500$ btc. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze 8500 probably pops up to 30k. 30k probably rejects down to 3k. Or lower. It's about to get really ugly. When it will go to 3000? Feeling 8k end of July. Feeling up to 30k during August. I feel very near September 11th is the final crash to 3000(or 1k?) area. Expecting a covid lockdown to accompany the last crash. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79253289 Netherlands 06/20/2021 11:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If 43.5k happens... And if it rejects... It rejects down to 8000-8500$ btc. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze 8500 probably pops up to 30k. 30k probably rejects down to 3k. Or lower. It's about to get really ugly. When it will go to 3000? Feeling 8k end of July. Feeling up to 30k during August. I feel very near September 11th is the final crash to 3000(or 1k?) area. Expecting a covid lockdown to accompany the last crash. What about 4th july doom |
nemo_solus
User ID: 78752191 Norway 06/20/2021 11:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I just pieced together that the higher volume node above 47.5k is people selling at the weekly 21 ema. If that moving average lowers at the weekly close I suspect those orders will adjust their price lower too. I'm really hoping that average comes down tomorrow. It'll make me feel really good about this. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze My most likely target at the moment is now leaning towards 47.5k-49k. Thanks for all the effort and the TA, it's much appreciated! The reason I decided to start looking at the order books vs. traditional TA was based on the premise that "Whales" move the market in the direction that best suits them and that they drive the price via manipulating the volume on the order books to create FUD and FOMO cycles they profit from. So, from this perspective, I believe the "Whales" are presently looking to keep the price of BTC as close to or below $32.5k as possible, maybe going lower at some point. For the prices to be rising, I would expect to see either (or both!) less volume on the books below $32.5k or more volume an equivalent distance away (say, $38-40k) from where we are now. Whatever happens, it will be interesting to see it unfold as we are at a crossroads of sorts and it could go either way. there are lots of problems with looking at the order book. orders can be placed and removed, ones that were never meant to fill. and, big whales can buy or sell and may be invisible to the book. a better explanation from investopedia: Although the order book is meant to provide transparency to market participants, there are some details that aren't included in the list. Among these are “dark pools.” These are batches of hidden orders maintained by large players who do not want their trading intentions known to others. [link to www.investopedia.com (secure)] personally, cheese, i don't see us getting anywhere near those predictions of yours today. i doubt we break 40k. tomorrow also looks grim on the dow. not sure when the dow sell signal will deliver (it signaled on friday) but it could be soon. i think we play around in the 35-37k level today and head down from here into tonight, tomorrow. stay safe. set your s.l.s Yes, you are right, the order book is not the end-all be-all method of analysis. It's just another tool and data point for consideration along with TA and FA. I understand what you are saying about the "dark pools". They certainly make the conventional stock market less transparent, but I'm not sure it's exactly analogous to the Crypto space. In my mind (however flawed it may be!) the closest things in the Crypto space would be how Exchanges/Brokers handle Over The Counter (OTC) transactions or how the Miners sell into the Market. I've looked, but not seen any real disclosure in detail of how the Exchanges (the centralized ones) handle their OTC orders. I wouldn't be at all surprised to know that some of the large "market making" algos buying or selling are actually the Exchanges themselves. If anyone has a good source of analysis on this, I'd really appreciate it if you would share! Last Edited by nemo_solus on 06/20/2021 11:23 AM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 11:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If 43.5k happens... And if it rejects... It rejects down to 8000-8500$ btc. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze 8500 probably pops up to 30k. 30k probably rejects down to 3k. Or lower. It's about to get really ugly. When it will go to 3000? Feeling 8k end of July. Feeling up to 30k during August. I feel very near September 11th is the final crash to 3000(or 1k?) area. Expecting a covid lockdown to accompany the last crash. What about 4th july doom Basically 4th of July is when the doom does start going faster down bringing us towards 8k. So yeah, still 4th of July doom. The whole month of July is doom. Doom every day. |
nemo_solus
User ID: 78752191 Norway 06/20/2021 12:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Feeling 8k end of July. Feeling up to 30k during August. I feel very near September 11th is the final crash to 3000(or 1k?) area. Expecting a covid lockdown to accompany the last crash. What about 4th july doom Basically 4th of July is when the doom does start going faster down bringing us towards 8k. So yeah, still 4th of July doom. The whole month of July is doom. Doom every day. Hey There Cheezy, So Much Doom! It feels like you need some cheering up! In the bigger picture, you were predicting the possibility of the H&S pattern: https://imgur.com/a/UDphcLG Looks like you were on the right track with this idea. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 80506600 United Kingdom 06/20/2021 12:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is one crazy crypto crash.Esp as i,m down 10k and dropping more each minute .. Had a family member die just before 19 th got so caught up in that i forgot about my crypto. BoooooooM. Live and Learn Ehh. I see Every other news item is great news about large institutions investors,even countries ffs .Buying this amount or setting huge funds aside or considering going all in on bitcoin etc etc YET it's really struggling to stay in the game. Considering it IS the Game this smells sooo fucking world currency reset incoming for reals. Now i,m like do i sell whats left or consolidate it into a couple of stables or stakes..or LET EM RIDE..? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 01:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Mr. Cheeze Feeling 8k end of July. Feeling up to 30k during August. I feel very near September 11th is the final crash to 3000(or 1k?) area. Expecting a covid lockdown to accompany the last crash. What about 4th july doom Basically 4th of July is when the doom does start going faster down bringing us towards 8k. So yeah, still 4th of July doom. The whole month of July is doom. Doom every day. Hey There Cheezy, So Much Doom! It feels like you need some cheering up! In the bigger picture, you were predicting the possibility of the H&S pattern: [imgur] [link to imgur.com (secure)] Looks like you were on the right track with this idea. I think it needs to come up to a minimum of 43.5k for a 382 retrace... it just doesn't feel like a rejection and the price didn't look like a rejection. The price looks like a bullflag right now. I think the head and shoulders was too easy to short and too obvious to actually be right too. |
nemo_solus
User ID: 77315949 Norway 06/20/2021 01:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think it needs to come up to a minimum of 43.5k for a 382 retrace... it just doesn't feel like a rejection and the price didn't look like a rejection. The price looks like a bullflag right now. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze I think the head and shoulders was too easy to short and too obvious to actually be right too. That's a very valid worry, it could certainly be the case. On the very short term, at least now we are seeing a little bit of volume on the up side drawing the price likely into the $35.4k-ish territory: https://imgur.com/a/D6qV3MJ Last Edited by nemo_solus on 06/20/2021 01:20 PM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78564762 Iceland 06/20/2021 04:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thinking that the stock market will float for a week and begin the big dump in 8 days as I think bitcoin needs to come up to 43.5 or 47.5k first. 47.5k next Sunday makes a lot of sense. Of course the stock market looks 100% ready to dump right now so who knows. Not recommending buying or selling. Just saying where I think the dump starts. I'm not encouraging buying Bitcoin until the 8,000$ range a month from now at the very earliest. If it dumps to 8k I expect it to pop up to nearly 30k before it dumps down to 3,000$ range or lower. Major volatility is coming. The most bitcoin has ever done before. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79044425 United States 06/20/2021 04:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 80507365 United States 06/20/2021 06:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thinking that the stock market will float for a week and begin the big dump in 8 days as I think bitcoin needs to come up to 43.5 or 47.5k first. 47.5k next Sunday makes a lot of sense. Quoting: Mr. Cheeze Of course the stock market looks 100% ready to dump right now so who knows. Not recommending buying or selling. Just saying where I think the dump starts. I'm not encouraging buying Bitcoin until the 8,000$ range a month from now at the very earliest. If it dumps to 8k I expect it to pop up to nearly 30k before it dumps down to 3,000$ range or lower. Major volatility is coming. The most bitcoin has ever done before. Why do you think BTC needs to come up before the stock market crashes? |
MoonSlice
User ID: 78900387 United States 06/20/2021 11:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
nemo_solus
User ID: 80138170 Austria 06/21/2021 12:01 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
MoonSlice
User ID: 78900387 United States 06/21/2021 12:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone heard of Epirus wallet? Someone, a “financial coach” is trying to get me to move everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet. There’s less fees, anonymous, and gains interest. Quoting: MoonSlice Sorry, I have not heard of it before. I think I’m about to be scammed. Someone claiming they were a financial coach convinced me to take out everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet where it gains interest and has no fees. Doom is not dead. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77704742 United States 06/21/2021 12:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone heard of Epirus wallet? Someone, a “financial coach” is trying to get me to move everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet. There’s less fees, anonymous, and gains interest. Quoting: MoonSlice Sorry, I have not heard of it before. I think I’m about to be scammed. Someone claiming they were a financial coach convinced me to take out everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet where it gains interest and has no fees. Why in the world would you do that?? |
MoonSlice
User ID: 78900387 United States 06/21/2021 01:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone heard of Epirus wallet? Someone, a “financial coach” is trying to get me to move everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet. There’s less fees, anonymous, and gains interest. Quoting: MoonSlice Sorry, I have not heard of it before. I think I’m about to be scammed. Someone claiming they were a financial coach convinced me to take out everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet where it gains interest and has no fees. Why in the world would you do that?? Because he said Coinbase was getting hacked a lot Doom is not dead. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79976165 United States 06/21/2021 01:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79557798 06/21/2021 01:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think I’m about to be scammed. Someone claiming they were a financial coach convinced me to take out everything from Coinbase to Epirus wallet where it gains interest and has no fees. Why in the world would you do that?? Because he said Coinbase was getting hacked a lot Lol, did you find this guy on craigs list hahaha Here’s a hint, you ask about and investigate the wallet BEFORE you commit lmao |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79557597 United States 06/21/2021 02:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Dow futures turned down sharply. It’s now down 1.58 percent.. — 533 [link to www.investing.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 79557597 United States 06/21/2021 02:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Dow futures turned down sharply. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79557597 It’s now down 1.58 percent.. — 533 [link to www.investing.com (secure)] Correction,, Dow futures only down 0.5 percent |