WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

Sam's on the Front Range is fairly well stocked, but the rows in the center of the store seems like they took 2 or 3 out and spread the rest to fill the space.

Paper products are there, meat is there but expensive.

On the West Coast, near Sacramento, products in Sam's are sparse and basic items, like bread, are out.

Not sure why there's such disparity between different locations of the same store corporation.

July 15th, 2020.

Time for a new update.


First, my predictions about the U.S. reopening way too early, with an increase in pandemic spread (cases, hospitalizations, ICU usage) that will start to be seen roughly 4 to 6 weeks after May 15th, were proven to be on point.


The U.S. resurgence of the pandemic (I call it the second wave) started roughly at the end of June, which is 5 weeks after May 15th.


In the last 3 weeks (last week of June and first 2 weeks of July), the number of cases, hospitalizations and ICU usage in a number of areas of the U.S. simply exploded.

No need for numbers, we all see how the pandemic is going in Texas, Florida, California and Arizona.


Another prediction I made is that by the end of July - beginning of August, the resurgence of the pandemic (second wave) will get much worse, and this is what we are seeing now, with several more states at the point of exploding in cases : Georgia, Louisiana, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee, Ohio, Nevada and Oklahoma.


Overall, I expected at least 12 epicenters in the U.S., and if my projections are correct, by the end of July - beginning of August, at least 13 states in the U.S. will have 1 to 2 epicenters each.


Time will tell, it's only 2 to 3 weeks left until my projections will be proven right or wrong.



As for Brazil, there isn't much left to say. Two weeks ago I said it will get worse, and it got worse. And will continue on the same path for another 2-3 weeks, when I expect Brazil to plateau.

How long will the plateau last, I have no idea, at this very moment, but it will last a good while.



Europe.


From the beginning I said it is very complicated to predict the pandemic evolution in Europe, because the differences between Europe and the U.S. or Brazil are massive.


However, I still expect Europe to see the second wave starting sometime in the next 3 weeks, I still expect multiple epicenters (at least 16) to be established by the end of August.


The U.S. and Europe reopened in same time table, around mid-May, but while the U.S. reopened at breaking neck speed (quickly going from Phase 1 to 4, because "muh money"), Europe did not. Most European countries are in Phase 2 and 3.

The restrictions in Europe are actually observed and enforced, on a large scale. The mask wearing in Europe is much more spread compared to the U.S. or Brazil. The limitations on tourism and travel are generally respected by the businesses and population.


Sure, there are exceptions, but generally speaking, the Europeans, at least until recently, did abide by the rules.


The reasons above is what made me put the resurgence of the pandemic in Europe 8 to 10 weeks after reopening, which puts the date of resurgence between mid to end of July.


We're on July 15th now, so the second wave is about to start in Europe, but as I said, it is very difficult to predict it, because of how different are the policies in the countries that are on the continent.


My model still predicts the start of the resurgence in Europe in the next 2 weeks.


I believe that Europe will react swiftly to the resurgence, and looking at how quick were the Spanish and the U.K. governments in locking-down certain cities and areas, I expect the same to happen in the rest of Europe.


The resurgence in Europe will play differently from the U.S. Europe will see a solid increase in cases by September, but not as bad as the U.S. is seeing right now.

However, I expect to be big enough to justify large scale lock-downs in Europe by mid-October.



Moderna's vaccine, vaccines in general, herd immunity and the new strain.


I wish good luck to Moderna and other companies that are working on vaccines right now, but I am afraid they are pissing against the wind.


A vaccine against coronaviruses is virtually impossible to create. The current vaccines against coronaviruses are ineffective. A vaccine against a NOVEL coronavirus is a dream pipe.


The best case scenario, when everything goes perfect, we might have a vaccine against sars-cov-2 next Summer. Obviously, it will be ineffective (10%, MAYBE 20% effective), the mass scale production AND vaccination of the general population will take AT LEAST an additional 6 months.


Herd immunity, while unclear if it was possible or not, is now pretty much a done deal : it's off the table. Not enough antibodies and their lifespan is short.


The new strain, that is becoming dominant in the U.S., and is beginning to affect Europe now, is highly, HIGHLY contagious.

Masks won't do shit against the spread, BUT will do against viral load, which is directly related to the severity of the symptoms, hence, the hospitalizations and ICU usage.


The general population is fed up with the pandemic, some think it's a hoax, some think the virus is weak, some think only old people will die...but that is not the actual problem.


The actual problem is that the general population is ADAMANT against a new round of lock-downs, and their SYMBOL of resistance is ... NOT WEARING A MASK.




Since the begging of this thread I said that we, the people, will be the ones that can make or break this virus, and I was absolutely sure that people WILL MESS IT UP, that they are uncontrollable, they are not disciplined enough in the Western societies, and because of that, the pandemic will be devastating.


I have also said that I expect the second round of lock-downs to take place when the pandemic will be out of control, and the politicians, being the spineless weasels that they are, will LET THE VIRUS run wild in the second wave, and do so much damage, that the population will ASK for the second round lock-downs, hence, whatever will happen with the economy and the society, will be blamed on the virus AND the population being stubborn and not abiding by the rules of the pandemic.


This is clearly happening now in the U.S., and by mid-August, I expect massive lock-downs in the U.S.


But I might be optimistic, and they will STILL not lock-down in August, but come September, they will have to.



The critical period is the next 3 weeks, and the countries to watch are the U.S. and Brazil. The U.S., to see how they react, because this is how Europe and the rest of the world will copy, and Brazil, to see how things will look if a country is adamant against lock-downs.

July 15th, 2020.

Time for a new update.


First, my predictions about the U.S. reopening way too early, with an increase in pandemic spread (cases, hospitalizations, ICU usage) that will start to be seen roughly 4 to 6 weeks after May 15th, were proven to be on point.


The U.S. resurgence of the pandemic (I call it the second wave) started roughly at the end of June, which is 5 weeks after May 15th.


In the last 3 weeks (last week of June and first 2 weeks of July), the number of cases, hospitalizations and ICU usage in a number of areas of the U.S. simply exploded.

No need for numbers, we all see how the pandemic is going in Texas, Florida, California and Arizona.


Another prediction I made is that by the end of July - beginning of August, the resurgence of the pandemic (second wave) will get much worse, and this is what we are seeing now, with several more states at the point of exploding in cases : Georgia, Louisiana, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee, Ohio, Nevada and Oklahoma.


Overall, I expected at least 12 epicenters in the U.S., and if my projections are correct, by the end of July - beginning of August, at least 13 states in the U.S. will have 1 to 2 epicenters each.


Time will tell, it's only 2 to 3 weeks left until my projections will be proven right or wrong.



As for Brazil, there isn't much left to say. Two weeks ago I said it will get worse, and it got worse. And will continue on the same path for another 2-3 weeks, when I expect Brazil to plateau.

How long will the plateau last, I have no idea, at this very moment, but it will last a good while.



Europe.


From the beginning I said it is very complicated to predict the pandemic evolution in Europe, because the differences between Europe and the U.S. or Brazil are massive.


However, I still expect Europe to see the second wave starting sometime in the next 3 weeks, I still expect multiple epicenters (at least 16) to be established by the end of August.


The U.S. and Europe reopened in same time table, around mid-May, but while the U.S. reopened at breaking neck speed (quickly going from Phase 1 to 4, because "muh money"), Europe did not. Most European countries are in Phase 2 and 3.

The restrictions in Europe are actually observed and enforced, on a large scale. The mask wearing in Europe is much more spread compared to the U.S. or Brazil. The limitations on tourism and travel are generally respected by the businesses and population.


Sure, there are exceptions, but generally speaking, the Europeans, at least until recently, did abide by the rules.


The reasons above is what made me put the resurgence of the pandemic in Europe 8 to 10 weeks after reopening, which puts the date of resurgence between mid to end of July.


We're on July 15th now, so the second wave is about to start in Europe, but as I said, it is very difficult to predict it, because of how different are the policies in the countries that are on the continent.


My model still predicts the start of the resurgence in Europe in the next 2 weeks.


I believe that Europe will react swiftly to the resurgence, and looking at how quick were the Spanish and the U.K. governments in locking-down certain cities and areas, I expect the same to happen in the rest of Europe.


The resurgence in Europe will play differently from the U.S. Europe will see a solid increase in cases by September, but not as bad as the U.S. is seeing right now.

However, I expect to be big enough to justify large scale lock-downs in Europe by mid-October.



Moderna's vaccine, vaccines in general, herd immunity and the new strain.


I wish good luck to Moderna and other companies that are working on vaccines right now, but I am afraid they are pissing against the wind.


A vaccine against coronaviruses is virtually impossible to create. The current vaccines against coronaviruses are ineffective. A vaccine against a NOVEL coronavirus is a dream pipe.


The best case scenario, when everything goes perfect, we might have a vaccine against sars-cov-2 next Summer. Obviously, it will be ineffective (10%, MAYBE 20% effective), the mass scale production AND vaccination of the general population will take AT LEAST an additional 6 months.


Herd immunity, while unclear if it was possible or not, is now pretty much a done deal : it's off the table. Not enough antibodies and their lifespan is short.


The new strain, that is becoming dominant in the U.S., and is beginning to affect Europe now, is highly, HIGHLY contagious.

Masks won't do shit against the spread, BUT will do against viral load, which is directly related to the severity of the symptoms, hence, the hospitalizations and ICU usage.


The general population is fed up with the pandemic, some think it's a hoax, some think the virus is weak, some think only old people will die...but that is not the actual problem.


The actual problem is that the general population is ADAMANT against a new round of lock-downs, and their SYMBOL of resistance is ... NOT WEARING A MASK.




Since the begging of this thread I said that we, the people, will be the ones that can make or break this virus, and I was absolutely sure that people WILL MESS IT UP, that they are uncontrollable, they are not disciplined enough in the Western societies, and because of that, the pandemic will be devastating.


I have also said that I expect the second round of lock-downs to take place when the pandemic will be out of control, and the politicians, being the spineless weasels that they are, will LET THE VIRUS run wild in the second wave, and do so much damage, that the population will ASK for the second round lock-downs, hence, whatever will happen with the economy and the society, will be blamed on the virus AND the population being stubborn and not abiding by the rules of the pandemic.


This is clearly happening now in the U.S., and by mid-August, I expect massive lock-downs in the U.S.


But I might be optimistic, and they will STILL not lock-down in August, but come September, they will have to.



The critical period is the next 3 weeks, and the countries to watch are the U.S. and Brazil. The U.S., to see how they react, because this is how Europe and the rest of the world will copy, and Brazil, to see how things will look if a country is adamant against lock-downs.

Sorry to hear it, Joe Preps.


I am even more sorry that Miami-Dade county will not lock-down for another 2 weeks or so.


It MUST get worse, until people realize what no lock-down actually means, and start asking for a lock-down.


Politicians...always playing both hands, and never lose. They will let it get worse, so they can lock-down w/o being blamed for it.

I pop into FB once a day to check on family. Amazing how many people are either adamant this is a hoax, or have the idea that "meh, everyone will get it", and just throw any care to the wind.

Whatever ..............

Cannot help them.

Just thought I’d add this. Something I came across.

A man here caught the virus, then ten days after recovery caught it again..


[link to www.dailymail.co.uk (secure)]

July 15th, 2020.




Since the begging of this thread I said that we, the people, will be the ones that can make or break this virus, and I was absolutely sure that people WILL MESS IT UP, that they are uncontrollable, they are not disciplined enough in the Western societies, and because of that, the pandemic will be devastating.

Can't believe this stupid thread is still going...

Give it up.

Scamdeic = Fail

OP is a dipshit troll... maybe a bot.

I will let this post stay here, to be proof of why human stupidity is going to be the driving factor in ruining our civilization.

We'll see how everything pans out. Could be small regional JIT issues.

I concur, Santa Cruz the missing items in March and April are on the shelves i.e hand sanitizer a and cleaning products.

It's the perishables and paper products that are more in shortage. Shelf stable items are ok-rice, grains, canned items.

I'm just sharing. Grow the garden and take advantage of the weather. If the farming community is sick, we are in for an awakening

it's a sanctuary city, and lib state outbreak

It is because they are fragmenting, cycling and reshuffle the supply.

One week, they supply some stores with A,B,C, the others with D,E,F, and so on, the next week they swap, or mix the products, and so on, and so on.

Sorry to hear it, Joe Preps.


I am even more sorry that Miami-Dade county will not lock-down for another 2 weeks or so.


It MUST get worse, until people realize what no lock-down actually means, and start asking for a lock-down.


Politicians...always playing both hands, and never lose. They will let it get worse, so they can lock-down w/o being blamed for it.

[link to www.psychcongress.com (secure)]
Naltrexone and covid

Hello DR, hello everyone

First of all i would like to commend the effort you spent into this thread and congratulate you on the great job and the spot-on predictions.
I would also kindly ask if it could be possible to offer some information on Romania in particular. I know that it is a small scale aspect and that so far your predictions were about Europe and the Americas. Still being a citizen of Romania I am very much curious to know how you see the events unfolding here.

Thanks very much in advance and keep up the great work.

It is because they are fragmenting, cycling and reshuffle the supply.

One week, they supply some stores with A,B,C, the others with D,E,F, and so on, the next week they swap, or mix the products, and so on, and so on.

For Romania, I expect 900 (give it or take) cases a day sometime at the end of July, beginning of August, and close to 2k cases / day sometimes at the end of August.


I expect the epicenters to be in 2-4 major cities, one being the capital city of Bucharest.


I do not see a return to lock-down before October. Schools will not open in September. I see cities and counties being locked-down before September. However, I don't see how they will lock-down Bucharest, which will be the main epicenter.


They will probably not lock it down, unless a nation-wide lock-down is implemented.


The cases might be lower, if the restrictions are rolled back to Phase 1, where all the gatherings are banned, all restaurants, pubs, gyms,etc. closed for public, all malls closed again, except grocery and essential stores, churches closed, etc.


Will see how things will evolve, but I am not optimistic.

Thank you very much for your swift reply.
Sadly I believe there is no room for optimism in the current state of affairs, especially seeing how a vast majority of the general population blatantly ignores the recommendations and even deny the very existence of the virus itself.
Hope for the best but prepare for the worst.

Stay safe everyone.

I will keep following your work and this thread.

Have a nice evening.

Sorry to hear it, Joe Preps.


I am even more sorry that Miami-Dade county will not lock-down for another 2 weeks or so.


It MUST get worse, until people realize what no lock-down actually means, and start asking for a lock-down.


Politicians...always playing both hands, and never lose. They will let it get worse, so they can lock-down w/o being blamed for it.

I pop into FB once a day to check on family. Amazing how many people are either adamant this is a hoax, or have the idea that "meh, everyone will get it", and just throw any care to the wind.

Whatever ..............

Cannot help them.