WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

So nothing major in the UK announcement

Erie County is still under "yellow flag". I had to go to post office yesterday and sat outside for a bit in my car. 75% of people going into post office either no mask, or mask with nose hanging out. I feel like we are never going to get out of this because of these assholes. It's so frustrating!

Went and bought a good 50lbs of meat yesterday to pack my shiny new freezer for Winter!

These will work - not!!

What are the latest changes in England?

Pubs, bars and restaurants to close at 22:00 BST

They will also be restricted to table service only

People should work from home wherever possible

Face masks compulsory for bar staff and seated customers, shop workers, waiters and taxi drivers

Limit on guests at weddings reduced from 30 to 15

Plans to allow fans to return to sporting events paused

"Rule of six" now applies indoor team sports

Fines for not wearing masks or following rules increased to £200 for first offence

Lip service !!!

I hate to make a post but, what gives with the Netherlands?

What are they doing over there?

Are they trying to get OP's Oktoberfest party started early?

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

September 21 cases: 2217.

That high bar will be higher tomorrow at 2245 when the chart updates.

If this virus doesn't mutate itself away and we do a chart like this in the states, there won't need to be another lockdown, the economy will lock itself down out of sheer fear.

Talk'in bout the infection/inflection point.

Turn that dial all the way.

Shoot me like a rocket into space.

yep,can see the virus moving around the lake from OH.

[link to infection2020.com (secure)]

Has india peaked.
73k cases today, lowest in a month.

Don't know what database are you looking at, the one I follow show 80K+ for today.

And they must be at a testing limit!!

13 pounds !!!!
OMG
The bastards.

JK

Not sure what ya'll are doing wrong , pritty much over here now ........
For now at least anyway

Waiting for an update

Half of Europe is already planning a lockdown. The other half hopes for a delay

I refrain to make an update until Sunday, at the earliest.


My planned update is September 30th or October 1st.


I am already working on it, because it is a big one. Don't wanna miss any aspects, and the reason I wait one more week is because I expect to see sustained or rising infection rates across Europe and the U.S., as well as what new restrictions are in place by Oct. 1st., or what is planned for after Oct. 1st.


There will be some developments this week (especially on the anti-pandemic measures side), and I don't want to talk before accounting for them.

And what of India, South America, and Africa, those populations are exploding, so I don't think it will take 252 years, especially if the virus mutates, And you add in the co-lateral damage from the economic and medical overload deaths.

Thanks DR.
Appreciate your attention to detail.
Things are certainly very fluid.

I'll speak for the US. We have belligerent idiots and hoaxers. Plain and simple.

6178 cases UK!



4926 previous day

[link to www.mirror.co.uk (secure)]

Dutch daily COVID cases hit new high, also pass 100,000 in all

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

September 21 cases: 2217.

September 22 cases: 2245.

That high bar will be higher tomorrow when the chart updates at 2357 cases.

Are they not getting enough UV light up there?

Too many cloudy cold days?

"Prime Minister Mark Rutte to urge citizens to recover a sense of "urgency" about social distancing to slow the spread of the virus.

"‘We are now at the tipping point,’ RIVM spokesman Jaap van Dissel told MPs in a face to face briefing. ‘The curve is rising.’

"‘The virus is spreading more quickly that we can scale up,’ De Gouw said.

Read more at DutchNews.nl

Those Dutch guys have cool names.

Jaap van Dissel.

Marinus van Veld.


Though death and darkness gather all about me
My ship be torn apart upon the seas

For you are beautiful, and I have loved you dearly
More dearly than the spoken word can tell

This report is interesting because shows what is purported to be the "worst case scenario" of letting the virus run wildly. It caused 1 in 800 deaths in a city (Manaus) with a rather young population.

It makes the claim that up to 66% of the cityzens got infected. I don't know if that is possible under this scenario.

Another data point for the broader analysis.

[link to www.technologyreview.com (secure)]

[link to www.medrxiv.org (secure)]

Yes, I read these articles and others that appeared here in Brazilian newspapers. The most populous city in the country, São Paulo, had a total of 17 deaths by covid19 yesterday, and the people there are no longer practicing social distancing and there are no lockdowns. It is the end of pandemic, insisting that there is still a pandemic is stupidity associated with bad faith. As for the countries that are experiencing an increase in cases, it is the countries that entered the pandemic later, who enter later, leave later, it is obvious. In Manaus, the cases and deaths are practically zeroed, which reminds me when the mayor boasted in March that he would dig mass graves in cemeteries due to the thousands of deaths that would die. Here in São Paulo it was no different, the mayor said he bought 40 thousand coffins, that's right, 40 thousand extra coffins for the funeral system. It is an extreme case of impudence that was done with the people. No, I am not a pandemic denier and I do not even say that it was a "nothinburguer", it was a "somethingburguer", but it'sover, and the sooner the people know it, the better.

5 DEAD IN Scotland in a week and we have a lockdown for 6 months from a pop of 5.3 million

It looks like Brazil has finished wave 1. They need to take this time to prepare for wave 2.

Thanks for all updates.

People in the U.K., France, Netherlands thought the same thing.......

Maybe.

The article WAS interesting.

But I doubt places like Brazil or New Zealand can be used as a viral metric or a case book litmus test for the majority of the northern hemisphere. It would be less of a challenge for a leader to lockdown an island, or how the leader of Brazil was a poor example of how to conduct oneself during a global pandemic.

Plus aren't the majority of Brazilians dark skinned?

Old people, obese people and dark skinned people are less successful in the metabolizing of serum vitamin d from the UV light.

Lucky for the southern hemisphere, now their days are getting longer.

Our hours of UV light are getting shorter as we approach December 21 (Flu Season)

There was an email cited by DR Campbell claiming that Fauci stated he takes 6000 iu of vitamin d per day.

But my excitement for the Brazilians would be tempered more by this:

"Humoral immunity against SARS-CoV-2 may not last long in individuals who had mild infections, and the loss of antibodies may actually be quicker than reported previously for the virus, according to investigators from the David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles.

“The results call for caution regarding antibody-based “immunity passports,” herd immunity, and perhaps vaccine durability, especially in light of short-lived immunity against common human coronaviruses,” the investigators commented in a letter to the editor in the New England Journal of Medicine.The first measurement of the IgG levels was obtained a mean of 37 days (range, 18-65 days) after symptom onset and the last measurement a mean of 86 days (44-119 days) after symptom onset. Analysis of the meabeautiful, beautiful black man levels indicated a half-life of the antibody level of about 36 days over the observation period.

“The protective role of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 is unknown, but these antibodies are usually a reasonable correlate of antiviral immunity, and anti-receptor-binding domain antibody levels correspond to plasma viral neutralizing activity,” investigators said. “Our findings raise concern that humoral immunity against SARS-CoV-2 may not be long lasting in persons with mild illness, who compose the majority of persons with Covid-19. It is difficult to extrapolate beyond our observation period of approximately 90 days because it is likely that the decay will decelerate.”

"The investigators advise caution when considering herd immunity and vaccine durability and look to future studies to determine a quantitative protection threshold and rate of decline of antiviral antibodies beyond 90 days.
[link to www.ophthalmologytimes.com (secure)]

I call danger Will Robinson. 

Your "herd immunity", if you want to call it that, may only have a half life of 36 days.

The Brazilian's "immunity passport", may soon be revoked.

Maybe this is what dictates the starting and stopping of the "waves" amongst a jurisdictional populace.

Distress of nations in perplexity because of the roaring of the sea and the waves.

Singing to an ocean, I can hear the ocean roar.

Singing about the good things and the sun that lights the day I used to sing on the mountains, has the ocean lost its way…

I don't know.

At the expense of many lives lost maybe the virus has run its course. Ran out of hosts doesn't seem such a victory.

I'm curious, how many long haulers are still suffering from the virus's damage to their organs and their brains?

How many will suffer from those permanent damage and die from the complications related to the virus?

This is now going to be an ethical crisis on how govs will help the long haulers affected by the virus burning through the countries unchecked.

September 13 1087

September 14 1300

September 15 1379

September 16 1542

September 17 1753

September 18 1974

They've already displayed their ability to perform 5 days of increases in a row.

Will they do it again?

September 21 cases: 2217.

September 22 cases: 2245.

September 23 cases: 2357.

September 24 cases: 2544.

September 25 cases: ???? 

The tall bar on this graph will be taller tomorrow when it updates at 2544.

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

"Hans Heesterbeek told the AD coroanvirus is spreading out from the central urban belt ‘like an oil leak’, he said. ‘This is not something you can solve with regional measures. People are travelling from one region to another. There is too much mingling for regional measures to be effective.’ 

"Bart Berden, director of the Elisabeth-TweeSteden hospital in Tilburg, said that he too considered national measures are the only option, if ministers decide to intervene. ‘What is the point in having regional measures if you see that the regions are becoming more similar in terms of infection rates?,’ he said to the paper. 

"Last Friday, prime minister Mark Rutte announced that bars and cafes in the six worst affected areas would have to close their doors at midnight, and brought in new limits on numbers at organised gatherings.

Read more at DutchNews.nl.

Atta-boy Rutte, closing the bars at midnight ought to do it.

Cop's face is filled with hate
Heavens above, he's on a street called love

When will they ever learn?

Old cop, young cop, feel alright
On a warm San Franciscan night

Do you want a mask?

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

Where has iceland been hiding

Northing for months then out of the blue 7o odd cases. Now about 30 odd oer day

Gotta look in order to find them.