SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Simple27
User ID: 79129048 United States 03/01/2021 01:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/01/2021 08:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | IT WAS A CME- My initial hunch was correct. Apparently a 'stealth CME' caused last nights G2 storm. I posted the SWPC forecast above and there was no mention of an incoming CME. SURPRISE! SWPC has come to the same conclusion now. They're still expecting a coronal hole stream to arrive. SWPC Forecast Discussion- Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters became enhanced from approximately 28/2300-01/1530 UTC due to possible CME effects. Total field reached a maximum of 14 nT at 01/0328 UTC while the Bz component reached a maximum southward deflection of -13 nT. Solar wind speed increased briefly to a maximum of 538 km/s at 01/0902 UTC. Phi angle was variable throughout the period. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to become enhanced once again on 02 Mar as a negative polarity CH HSS moves into geoeffective position. HSS conditions are expected to persist through 03 Mar and slowly taper off on 04 Mar. Solar wind speeds are expected to be mostly in the 500-550 km/s range based on recurrent values. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field increased to G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels, observed during the 01/0300-0600 synoptic period, in response to sustained periods of southward Bz and a brief solar wind speed increase to 538 km/s. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed during the second half of the UTC day. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to increase to unsettled to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 02 Mar in response to the arrival of a negative polarity CH HSS. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 03 Mar as HSS conditions persist followed by quiet to unsettled levels on 04 Mar. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Isis One
User ID: 76795039 United States 03/02/2021 12:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | What was the source of the CME? Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 12:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hi, Isis One. Funny you should ask as I spent 2 hours looking at every CME from the SEEDS catalog back to Feb. 24th. I didn't see anything remotely Earth-directed. CACTus only went back to the 26th and nothing there worth noting. There was that B9 death gasp from 2805 on the 26th which did have a small CME. I didn't see anything Earth-directed. B9 flare from Lockheed CRUISER (Wha??): [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)] Here's best guess from STEREO A (SEEDS): [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS Detection List: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] CACTus CME List: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Isis One
User ID: 76795039 United States 03/02/2021 01:01 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hi, Isis One. Funny you should ask as I spent 2 hours looking at every CME from the SEEDS catalog back to Feb. 24th. I didn't see anything remotely Earth-directed. CACTus only went back to the 26th and nothing there worth noting. There was that B9 death gasp from 2805 on the 26th which did have a small CME. I didn't see anything Earth-directed. B9 flare from Lockheed CRUISER (Wha??): [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)] Here's best guess from STEREO A (SEEDS): [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS Detection List: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] CACTus CME List: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Hiya Hugh! I was thinking it might have been that little B9 floofer and they didn’t quite get the trajectory right. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 01:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Realtime Solar Winds: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Aurora forecast: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Simple27
User ID: 78936689 United States 03/02/2021 01:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar Wind velocity has slowly increased from 360 to 450 km/s. SW density has also been gradually increasing. The coronal hole hi-speed stream may be here now. Quoting: Helios Maximus Realtime Solar Winds: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Aurora forecast: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Thanks for the updates! :) ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Isis One
User ID: 76795039 United States 03/02/2021 01:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nite nite! Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Simple27
User ID: 78936689 United States 03/02/2021 01:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27
User ID: 78936689 United States 03/02/2021 01:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 02:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | STEALTH SOLAR STORMS- “The problem is that whatever is causing these stealth events is beyond what we can see with telescopes we have now,” said Alexei Pevtsov of the National Solar Observatory in Sunspot, NM. He is co-author with Olga Panasenco and Sara Martin of Helio Research in La Crescenta, CA, of a recent Solar Physics paper on stealth CMEs. Their research was funded by the National Science Foundation and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. While magnetism is a tiny portion of the Sun’s total energy output, it causes CMEs, sunspots, flares, filaments, and a range of other activities and how they are expressed as space weather across the solar system. Using satellite images, Pevtsov, Panasenco, and Martin studied two regions that showed no signs of being ready to erupt, on Aug. 9, 2001, and March 3, 2011, but did so anyway. Full report here: [link to nso.edu (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 02:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks for the update;). I was still holding out hope for the M-flare. I forgot all about Dr. Strong, lol. I hope we all make it thru this next Solar Max. I have to ask, Simple, did you beat up Mitt Romney last night? You don't have to answer (I understand). The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Simple27
User ID: 78936689 United States 03/02/2021 02:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks for the update;). I was still holding out hope for the M-flare. I forgot all about Dr. Strong, lol. I hope we all make it thru this next Solar Max. I have to ask, Simple, did you beat up Mitt Romney last night? You don't have to answer (I understand). ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 03:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SW just went up to 540 km/s. The CH-HSS is here. But I'm going to sleep now.... Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 3843 Issue Time: 2021 Mar 02 0827 UTC Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 3843 Issue Time: 2021 Mar 02 0827 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2021 Mar 02 0830 UTC Valid To: 2021 Mar 02 1500 UTC Warning Condition: Onset The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
joinca
User ID: 76969754 United States 03/02/2021 05:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | https://twitter.com/_/status/1366861279428706305 "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 07:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | C-flare just now. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
This is my GLP
User ID: 78813602 United States 03/02/2021 07:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 1311 Issue Time: 2021 Mar 02 2046 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 02 2046 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. Flux spiked up big time. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Last Edited by This is my GLP on 03/02/2021 07:15 PM All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~ Jesus is LORD AND SAVIOR! Zephaniah 2:3 - Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth, Who have upheld His justice. Seek righteousness, seek humility. It may be that you will be hidden In the day of the Lord’s anger. |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 07:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New sunspot growing in the SE just said "Hello". SDO pic: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] HMI intensitigram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] GONG Learmonth image: [link to halpha.nso.edu] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Simple27
User ID: 79420394 United States 03/02/2021 07:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM--IN PROGRESS: A minor G1-class geomagnetic storm is in progress on March 2nd as Earth enters a stream of high-speed solar wind. The gaseous material is flowing 600+ km/s from a southern hole in the sun's atmosphere. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] Currently 668 km/sec [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27
User ID: 79420394 United States 03/02/2021 07:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Danger Dan
User ID: 80004894 United States 03/02/2021 07:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 08:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | :Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2021 Mar 03 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 62 Issued at 0030Z on 03 Mar 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 02 Mar I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 02/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2806 S31W01 198 0010 Bxo 04 04 Beta 2807 S17E43 154 0020 Bxo 03 04 Beta New AR2807 is growing fast and was the source of the C1 flare. Close-up movie: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] SolarDemon: [link to solardemon.oma.be] The South is making a comeback. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Helios Maximus
User ID: 74772411 United States 03/02/2021 08:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ya know Quoting: Danger Dan I used to pay close attention to this stuff but the fact of the matter is unless its a large 'earth directed' X class doesn't seem to be a concern. The chance of major DOOM is slim, yet very real. If you use satellites, radio communications, air travel, or the electric power grid; it IS a concern. It doesn't take a large X-flare to cause problems. Personally, as an astronomy buff, I find it an exciting and educational hobby to be at the cutting-edge of science. With trillions of stars in the universe, I find it astounding that astrophysicists are often baffled by the closest star to Earth. Oh, and the Sun is the maintainer of every form of life we know of in the entire cosmos. And it's largely unpredictable... which makes it fun, too. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
This is my GLP
User ID: 78813602 United States 03/02/2021 08:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Oh oops , double post Last Edited by This is my GLP on 03/02/2021 08:44 PM All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~ Jesus is LORD AND SAVIOR! Zephaniah 2:3 - Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth, Who have upheld His justice. Seek righteousness, seek humility. It may be that you will be hidden In the day of the Lord’s anger. |
MissionInvisible
User ID: 77600304 United States 03/02/2021 08:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
This is my GLP
User ID: 78813602 United States 03/02/2021 09:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Flux is dancing big time still. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~ Jesus is LORD AND SAVIOR! Zephaniah 2:3 - Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth, Who have upheld His justice. Seek righteousness, seek humility. It may be that you will be hidden In the day of the Lord’s anger. |
Simple27
User ID: 79420394 United States 03/02/2021 10:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
This is my GLP
User ID: 78813602 United States 03/02/2021 10:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 1312 Issue Time: 2021 Mar 03 0303 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 03 0300 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~ Jesus is LORD AND SAVIOR! Zephaniah 2:3 - Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth, Who have upheld His justice. Seek righteousness, seek humility. It may be that you will be hidden In the day of the Lord’s anger. |
Simple27
User ID: 79420394 United States 03/02/2021 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Quoting: This is my GLP Serial Number: 1312 Issue Time: 2021 Mar 03 0303 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 03 0300 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. https://imgur.com/MNTHzNW ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
This is my GLP
User ID: 78813602 United States 03/02/2021 10:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Quoting: This is my GLP Serial Number: 1312 Issue Time: 2021 Mar 03 0303 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 03 0300 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. https://imgur.com/MNTHzNW SUVI loop shows that developing spot sparking up with activity too. [link to weather.msfc.nasa.gov (secure)] All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~ Jesus is LORD AND SAVIOR! Zephaniah 2:3 - Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth, Who have upheld His justice. Seek righteousness, seek humility. It may be that you will be hidden In the day of the Lord’s anger. |