OFFICIAL ELECTION THREAD 11/5/2019 Kentucky and Mississippi - Drinking allowed.

Local Lexington TV station results page.

[link to www.lex18.com (secure)]


Fayette (Lexington) is 97& in - below.

Andy Beshear 66% 72,355
Matt Bevin 33% 36,222
John Hicks 2% 1,696

NOTE - this is only Fayette (Lexington).

66% is where the Dems need to be in the two metros. But its probably not a knock out. 70% would have been knock out territory.

If Jefferson/Louisville comes in similar this will be close.

What is interesting is that Cameron Daniel did get around 40% in Fayette. He is running to be first African American in the post of AG. He is running against Greg Sumbo. Stumbo has been AG before in early 2000s. The Stumbo name (as well Beshears) are old long time Democratic family names in the state.

Only 16% reporting, so it will be a while, less than 4% spread..

Interesting... Than you for the insight!

.

that polling is rigged

Cheers...I'll have another drink then.

News Breaking LIVE
@NewsBreaking
LIVE KENTUCKY GOVERNOR (#KYGov) RESULTS:
Bevin (R) 53.5%
Beshear (D) 44.4%
32% in (7:30 p.m. ET)

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Relatively quick. Trick is that Kentucky sits in two time zones. So polls in Central Time zone close at 7 p.m. ET.

Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Paducah are in Central time zone. Bowling Green is less than hour north of Nashville. Owensboro is on Ohio just up river from Evansville Indiana and Paducah is far west.

He is holding that slim lead...


Governor - General
890 of 3659 Precincts Reporting - 24% Updated: 19:24 ET
Party Name Votes Vote %
GOP Bevin, Matthew i 184,590 50.93 %
Dem Beshear, Andy 170,242 46.97 %
Lib Hicks, John 7,641 2.11 %

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Some better news for Bevin (R) in the Louisville suburbs: Shelby Co. 100% reporting; he needed to win it by ~6% and he won it by 10%.

But will that be enough to offset Beshear (D)'s over performance in Northern/Eastern KY? #KYGOV

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Bourbon Co. (outside Lexington) 100% in: Beshear (D) needed to win it by ~5% per my benchmarks and Bevin (R) won it by 2%. Again, #KYGOV not following a neat pattern so far.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

gop still leading in every race...see, this sucks..uh

G.O.P. STILL MOTHERFUCKIN LEADING IN EVERY GHAT-DAHM RACE!!!
much bettuh..

Governor - General
1230 of 3659 Precincts Reporting - 33% Updated: 19:39 ET
Party Name Votes Vote %
GOP Bevin, Matthew i 244,726 52.05 %
Dem Beshear, Andy 215,559 45.84 %
Lib Hicks, John 9,908 2.11 %

I can not find Jefferson County (Louisville) specific results anywhere so far. The NYT website is way behind.

If Jefferson under delivers for Breshear its lights out.

The accounts that Bevin is over achieving in some of the smaller counties is interesting.

News Breaking LIVE
@NewsBreaking
LIVE KENTUCKY GOVERNOR RESULTS:
Bevin (R) 51.5%
Beshear (D) 46.5%
51% in (7:50 p.m. ET)

The big counties that tend to vote Democrat are starting to report more.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Tightening up!

I am hearing where the Dem is doing quite well in the coalfields, which is odd.

3.5%


Governor - General
1596 of 3659 Precincts Reporting - 43% Updated: 19:49 ET
Party Name Votes Vote %
GOP Bevin, Matthew i 318,035 50.72 %
Dem Beshear, Andy 295,845 47.18 %

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Bullitt Co. (Louisville suburbs) 100% in: Bevin (R) needed to win it by 16% per my benchmarks. He only won it by 12%. Beshear (D) on a hot streak right now. #KYGOV

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Thanks for the thread, Wyatt.

Interesting to see results.

I hope the GOP pulls it out, despite Dem shenanigans.

Amazing how Trump prevails against the immense headwinds he faces...

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Pike, largest county in the eastern coalfields, 100% in: Bevin (R) needed to win it by 16% per my benchmarks. He won it by 11%.

Still a ways to go, but Beshear (D) is on pace right now. #KYGOV

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

ir's not the coalfields...it's the teachers in those eastern kentucky counties doing it.

STILL LEADING IN EVERY RACE...MAY END UP GOING WIRE TO WORE FOLKS..WHAT A STORY THAT WOULD BE!

Governor - General
1909 of 3659 Precincts Reporting - 52% Updated: 19:58 ET
Party Name Votes Vote %
GOP Bevin, Matthew i 389,339 50.66 %
Dem Beshear, Andy 363,091 47.25 %

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
·
1m
Boone Co. (Northern KY) now 100% in: Bevin (R) needed to win it by 20% per benchmarks. Won it by only 14.8%.

It's within reach for Beshear (D) now. Last puzzle pieces are Louisville/Lexington. #KYGOV

ttps://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1191883526603456513

Thanks for the thread. I'm checking in periodically and appreciate you all staying on top of it.