DEATHS DOUBLING EVERY WEEK! Exponential Growth! | |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes, and HIV infection (a/k/a AIDS) will reach 100% of the population if you test a group of AIDS patients and use any upward trend from 25% positive to 50% positive because you finally got test results back from over half the patients tested. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77901662 If you want to follow statistics like these, you're gonna be the suckers for, and then the shills for the agenda being pushed by the cherry-picked numbers. Just because the average 5th grader can understand what a percentage is, doesn't mean they have a clue about the mathematics of statistics. Beware. Be Rational. ok moran. go to the link i sent, and the set the chart to logarithmic, and look at the straight, upward trending line that has started to form. if you're as smart as you think you are, you should be able to understand that. and, if you really want to get fancy, add all the deaths that weren't attributed to COVID19 due to lack of testing, but actually were. virus hoaxtards are really fucking annoying . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78671681 United States 03/23/2020 04:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | :richardpryor: Hang in there, OP. "The failure to understand logarithms is the human race's greatest curse" -- (I forget who said that, but it's still true!) Yes, thanks JJ - good post. Ignore the Juan Stars. And I believe the quote was something about humans not being able to understand exponential functions: “The greatest shortcoming of the human race, is our inability to understand the exponential function” ~ physicist Albert Bartlett The thing that is so dangerous is how many people like those one-starring this thread, or claiming that this is all overblown, are running around, spreading the infection, making it even harder to contain. I guess until every single person actually knows someone who has died from it, we have little hope of convincing those who think it's just a bunch of hype. The doctors in Italy certainly don't think that way. |
Revo/elation
User ID: 18321203 United States 03/23/2020 04:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78589678 Australia 03/23/2020 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OP. According to your fear mongering 'exponential growth' model, the 8 Billion people (the whole Earth) will be dead in 20 weeks. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76772883 I think it's time to rethink your models, calm the F down, and stop fear mongering. unless we stop spreading this, and stay the fuck home, who knows how far this will go. and that's the point, moran. . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78589678 Australia 03/23/2020 04:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hang in there, OP. "The failure to understand logarithms is the human race's greatest curse" -- (I forget who said that, but it's still true!) Yes, thanks JJ - good post. Ignore the Juan Stars. And I believe the quote was something about humans not being able to understand exponential functions: “The greatest shortcoming of the human race, is our inability to understand the exponential function” ~ physicist Albert Bartlett The thing that is so dangerous is how many people like those one-starring this thread, or claiming that this is all overblown, are running around, spreading the infection, making it even harder to contain. I guess until every single person actually knows someone who has died from it, we have little hope of convincing those who think it's just a bunch of hype. The doctors in Italy certainly don't think that way. thank you, and very good points. stay safe. . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Cynical Realist WASH HANDS
Senior Forum Moderator User ID: 78636106 United Kingdom 03/23/2020 04:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Please ignore China numbers; Italy has 60 million people , 60,000 infected (0.1%) and 6,000 deaths (0.01%) so far...and excellent health care; China LOCKED DOWN 700 million (and is bass-ackwards. If we ever know, the numbers in China will be staggering. the trickle of numbers coming out of china over the past couple weeks are total bullshit. italy, with its "excellent" health care is already experience a run on ICU beds and ventilators. they're already having to triage to decide who gets a chance, and who doesn't. And that IS so true!!! People still have not realised just how serious this is...... IF YOU HAVE A FEVER DO NOT LOWER IT WITH MEDS.... A FEVER IS AN IMMUNE SYSTEM RESPONSE TO A PATHOGEN (VIRUS, BACTERIA ETC..) IT MEANS YOUR IMMUNE SYSTEM IS WORKING PROPERLY....DONT USE DRUGS TO LOWER YOUR TEMP. |
Cynical Realist WASH HANDS
Senior Forum Moderator User ID: 78636106 United Kingdom 03/23/2020 04:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They are also continuing to actively distort information on sites just like GLP. We know they have lied...and this activity is just a continuation of that lie.... IF YOU HAVE A FEVER DO NOT LOWER IT WITH MEDS.... A FEVER IS AN IMMUNE SYSTEM RESPONSE TO A PATHOGEN (VIRUS, BACTERIA ETC..) IT MEANS YOUR IMMUNE SYSTEM IS WORKING PROPERLY....DONT USE DRUGS TO LOWER YOUR TEMP. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77069256 United States 03/23/2020 04:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | No biggie. Quoting: Revo/elation Do a chart on smoking deaths now. Or even drunk driving would have lots of data That’s over decades. This is in a few weeks. Wake up sheep. yes. that's a bad analogy. smoking and drink driving deaths are not increasing in number day after day, and certainly not at the exponential rate coronavirus infections are. |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | No biggie. Quoting: Revo/elation Do a chart on smoking deaths now. Or even drunk driving would have lots of data That’s over decades. This is in a few weeks. Wake up sheep. yes. that's a bad analogy. smoking and drink driving deaths are not increasing in number day after day, and certainly not at the exponential rate coronavirus infections are. all true, but my OP is discussing the exponential growth of death (mortality) from corona virus. exponential growth of corona virus cases were bad enough. this shit is really doomy unless we can get a handle on it. Last Edited by Jay3 on 03/23/2020 04:34 PM . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77901662 United States 03/23/2020 04:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77202143 Canada 03/23/2020 04:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] [link to gis.cdc.gov (secure)] Every week USA has around 50000 total deaths, 3500 are because of Flue/Pneumonia. As of now the numbers are not even in high level. As for looking at cumulative global numbers, you cannot use them to do any meaningful statistics. When total number of deaths per week starts exceeding regular/average number of deaths we have to start worrying. |
Epic Beard Guy
User ID: 76783046 United States 03/23/2020 04:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | is that all you have to add? we're talking millions of dead in the next couple of months, and you post a thread. i personally know of 6 people here in switzerland and one person in the states that currently has corona. nobody i know died, luckily. doesn't change the numbers Stupid is as stupid does. While I don't personally know anyone with the Chinese flu, I do know that every person in Cheyenne WY that has it is under 70 years old. Only one is over 60. Most are in their 20s or 30s. The idea that this effects only people over 70 has been proven wrong a long time ago. Worldwide, over 40% are under 50. I think the numbers are going to shift to the younger population very soon, due to lack of understanding in the younger group. Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Prowling Panther
User ID: 78068491 United States 03/23/2020 04:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So, how many weeks until we're ALL dead? The more I know, the crazier I appear to be. "THE ONLY WAY TO DEAL WITH AN UNFREE WORLD IS TO BECOME SO ABSOLUTELY FREE THAT YOUR VERY EXISTENCE IS AN ACT OF REBELLION" -ALBERT CAMUS No brains, no pain. The Difference Between Stupidity and Genius Is That Genius Has Its Limits |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] [link to gis.cdc.gov (secure)] Every week USA has around 50000 total deaths, 3500 are because of Flue/Pneumonia. As of now the numbers are not even in high level. As for looking at cumulative global numbers, you cannot use them to do any meaningful statistics. When total number of deaths per week starts exceeding regular/average number of deaths we have to start worrying. you obviously don't understand how exponential growth works. the time to worry is now, because in the next couple months we could be experiencing many millions dead. will you wake up then, when it will be too late to do anything? . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 75925747 Ukraine 03/23/2020 04:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. --- add--- even worse is that this exponential growth is accelerating! have a look at the numbers from the past few days, and note today, isn't even over yet. DATE / Daily / Total Deaths 18.Mar...973.....8951 19.Mar...1080....10031 20.Mar...1356....11387 21.Mar...1638....13025 22.Mar...1634....14659 23.Mar...1697....16356 all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Be quiet. Don't offer proof and facts. You will upset the Trump cult lol. |
Cynical Realist WASH HANDS
Senior Forum Moderator User ID: 78636106 United Kingdom 03/23/2020 04:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well thats a valid question.... Those that have caught it AND recovered, and there is NO mutation (but there are 2 strains) will be immune. as for dead....... There will be many but not all. IF YOU HAVE A FEVER DO NOT LOWER IT WITH MEDS.... A FEVER IS AN IMMUNE SYSTEM RESPONSE TO A PATHOGEN (VIRUS, BACTERIA ETC..) IT MEANS YOUR IMMUNE SYSTEM IS WORKING PROPERLY....DONT USE DRUGS TO LOWER YOUR TEMP. |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 04:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well thats a valid question.... Those that have caught it AND recovered, and there is NO mutation (but there are 2 strains) will be immune. as for dead....... There will be many but not all. yes, not all, but if you extend out this growth, it's looking grim. and this doesn't account for the acceleration we seem to be experiencing. 16,300+ - currently 32,000 - next week 64,000 - in 2 weeks 128,000- in 3 weeks 256,000 - in one month 500,000 in 5 weeks 1 million in 6 weeks 2 million in 7 weeks 4 million in 8 weeks 8 million in 9 weeks 16 million in 10 weeks 32 million in 11 weeks 64 million in 12 weeks 128 million in 13 weeks... . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 75925747 Ukraine 03/23/2020 05:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Please ignore China numbers; Italy has 60 million people , 60,000 infected (0.1%) and 6,000 deaths (0.01%) so far...and excellent health care; China LOCKED DOWN 700 million (and is bass-ackwards. If we ever know, the numbers in China will be staggering. If Italy has 60 million people and 60,00 infected the maths is 60000/6000000X 100% = 1% The coronavirus in Italy has a kill rate of 1% not 0.1 % |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 75925747 Ukraine 03/23/2020 05:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Please ignore China numbers; Italy has 60 million people , 60,000 infected (0.1%) and 6,000 deaths (0.01%) so far...and excellent health care; China LOCKED DOWN 700 million (and is bass-ackwards. If we ever know, the numbers in China will be staggering. That's about 10% of infected. It's 1% infected. For 10% infected 6 million Italians would need to be infected. |
Cynical Realist WASH HANDS
Senior Forum Moderator User ID: 78636106 United Kingdom 03/23/2020 05:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Please ignore China numbers; Italy has 60 million people , 60,000 infected (0.1%) and 6,000 deaths (0.01%) so far...and excellent health care; China LOCKED DOWN 700 million (and is bass-ackwards. If we ever know, the numbers in China will be staggering. If Italy has 60 million people and 60,00 infected the maths is 60000/6000000X 100% = 1% The coronavirus in Italy has a kill rate of 1% not 0.1 % Incorrect..... its fatalities not infected.... Heres a task for you....go do the PROPER maths an come back with the correct figure. IF YOU HAVE A FEVER DO NOT LOWER IT WITH MEDS.... A FEVER IS AN IMMUNE SYSTEM RESPONSE TO A PATHOGEN (VIRUS, BACTERIA ETC..) IT MEANS YOUR IMMUNE SYSTEM IS WORKING PROPERLY....DONT USE DRUGS TO LOWER YOUR TEMP. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78535400 United States 03/23/2020 05:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | is that all you have to add? we're talking millions of dead in the next couple of months, and you post a thread. i personally know of 6 people here in switzerland and one person in the states that currently has corona. nobody i know died, luckily. doesn't change the numbers usa death rate is quite low (comparatively) and going lower. it's around 1.2% and when trump inspired chloroquine is given to the serious cases these numbers will quickly decelerate even more. . |
JJ Johns
(OP) J to the 3rd User ID: 78471388 Switzerland 03/23/2020 05:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | is that all you have to add? we're talking millions of dead in the next couple of months, and you post a thread. i personally know of 6 people here in switzerland and one person in the states that currently has corona. nobody i know died, luckily. doesn't change the numbers usa death rate is quite low (comparatively) and going lower. it's around 1.2% and when trump inspired chloroquine is given to the serious cases these numbers will quickly decelerate even more. . i don't know why i even bother to reply to this. you haven't even seen the beginning in the states yet. wait a week and then check back again, ok? have a look at the mortality chart for the USA on this link, and tell me it's low and going lower... [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] and sure, i am also hopeful for the new cure, but, there is still a lot that must be done before that will start helping. Last Edited by Jay3 on 03/23/2020 05:18 PM . . No clotshot, NEVER! . Mad as hell! . |
Cynical Realist WASH HANDS
Senior Forum Moderator User ID: 78636106 United Kingdom 03/23/2020 05:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Date Mortality Doubling in /Days Quoting: JJ Johns 28.Jan 132 31.Jan 259 3 days 04.Feb 492 4 days 10.Feb 1018 6 Days 18.Feb 2009 8 Days 09.Mrz 4025 20 Days 17.Mrz 7978 8 Days 23.Mrz 16125 6 Days i've been watching the numbers, and the doubling of the mortality rate is speeding up. we hit 16,000 deaths today. 6 days after we hit approximately 8,000. all the stats are from the link below. [link to www.worldometers.info (secure)] Please ignore China numbers; Italy has 60 million people , 60,000 infected (0.1%) and 6,000 deaths (0.01%) so far...and excellent health care; China LOCKED DOWN 700 million (and is bass-ackwards. If we ever know, the numbers in China will be staggering. If Italy has 60 million people and 60,00 infected the maths is 60000/6000000X 100% = 1% The coronavirus in Italy has a kill rate of 1% not 0.1 % Incorrect..... its fatalities not infected.... Heres a task for you....go do the PROPER maths an come back with the correct figure. Look... I have done it for you.. The Mortality rate as of yesterday for Italy is.. 0.008% IF YOU HAVE A FEVER DO NOT LOWER IT WITH MEDS.... A FEVER IS AN IMMUNE SYSTEM RESPONSE TO A PATHOGEN (VIRUS, BACTERIA ETC..) IT MEANS YOUR IMMUNE SYSTEM IS WORKING PROPERLY....DONT USE DRUGS TO LOWER YOUR TEMP. |