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TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

 
Anonymous Coward
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TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0858
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
557 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019

Areas affected...Southeast TX & Southwest LA
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

The expectation is for curved rain bands to develop over the next few hours which could yield hourly rain totals to 3" within this environment where they train, with some gradual outward expansion of the banding expected through the morning. The system as a whole should move/propagate northward around a low- to mid-level high pressure system over the central Gulf of Mexico. Rain moving ashore should cause the instability gradient to retreat back
towards the coast, making it an effective front/convergence zone. The mesoscale guidance shows reasonable consistency, with a strong signal for local amounts of 5-6". Parts of these region are dry or have descended into drought, so flash flood guidance values are quite high and soils are generally desiccated.

 Quoting: Luisport
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
OMG! Now 45 inches for eastern Texas...

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siren2 siren2 siren2
 Quoting: Hurricane Watcher 74021586


40 inches falling in a 24 hour period from Thurs to Fri...
 Quoting: Hurricane Watcher 74021586
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

If these are correct, west of Wharton/El Campo is on the "less wet" side. Houston is on the wet side...
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

@WeatherNation
2 hHá 2 horas
Mais
The rain is coming down in Galveston this morning! 🌧️ Heavy bands of rain showers associated with the disturbance in the Gulf could possibly bring some flash flooding to this area of Texas. #TXwx
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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09/17/2019 09:41 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
It's starting... [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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09/17/2019 10:42 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
AND U KNO THAT MEXICO WILL GET MUDSLIDES OUT DA ASS..AND IT WONT B COVERED!...
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
(clipped)...
2. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located
over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico near the central Texas coast
has changed little in organization. However, some slight development
is still possible before the system moves inland along the
northwestern Gulf coast later tonight or early Wednesday. Regardless
of development, this disturbance is expected to produce areas of
very heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along the coastal
regions of southwestern Louisiana and central and upper Texas
tonight and Wednesday, and over eastern Texas and western Louisiana
on Thursday. For additional information, see products issued by your
local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
NHC Eastern Pacific
✔
@NHC_Pacific
NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Storm Lorena, located about 200 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, at 8 AM PDT.
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09/17/2019 11:01 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
TD TEN just joined the chat room...
Not liking the track.
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09/17/2019 11:08 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
TD TEN just joined the chat room...
Not liking the track.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78003679


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Eric Webb
@webberweather
A buoy (KVAF) south of invest #98L near the Texas coast has consistently reported west winds ~ 25 kts (30 mph) the past few hours. This means that #98L's low-level center is not only closed but also very robust, thus, I highly doubt 98L hasn't already become a tropical depression
CAPMAN
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09/17/2019 11:29 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
TD TEN just joined the chat room...
Not liking the track.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78003679


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


THIS WILL OR SHOULD B UPDATED EVERY HOUR NOW...OR EVERY HALF HOUR!

IF THAT CENTER STAYS OFF SHORE....FUCKING DISASTER! EPIC!!
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Just S of Galveston:

Federal Aviation Administration
Location: 29.180N 94.521W
Date: Tue, 17 Sep 2019 15:15:00 UTC
Winds: SE (140°) at 21.0 kt gusting to 26.0 kt
Air Temperature: 78.8 F
Dew Point: 75.2 F
Visibility: 3.5 nmi
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
5 inches of rain by 6 AM tomorrow.. much more to follow after

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

@ThomasGeboyWX
Seguir Seguir @ThomasGeboyWX
Mais
Some incredible views captured on the Jack St. Malo platform in the Gulf of Mexico this morning! Photo credit: Wray Simpkins and Mike Homans!
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

@TropicalTidbits
51 minHá 51 minutos
Mais
We continue to see increasing organization of #98L off the #Texas coastline, with the surface circulation becoming better defined in surface observations and radar.

Again, regardless of whether it technically becomes a storm, Flash Flooding Watches have been issued for SE TX.
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

@BigJoeBastardi
Seguir Seguir @BigJoeBastardi
Mais
NAM round Houston, Even cut in half, big problems lurking Wind gusts
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Thank you for Texans and La going to pin
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Houston has turned into a shit hole with all these storms and all the bayous overflowing, you can literally smell shit while being in Memorial, Katy and Sugarland area.
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09/17/2019 11:49 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Thank you for Texans and La going to pin
 Quoting: Goofy for God


[link to www.nodc.noaa.gov (secure)]

water temps

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Lord Revan

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09/17/2019 11:50 AM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17


She's a beaut
300 CHARACTERS MAX LIMIT.
cap man
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09/17/2019 11:59 AM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Thank you for Texans and La going to pin
 Quoting: Goofy for God


[link to www.nodc.noaa.gov (secure)]

water temps

[link to earth.nullschool.net (secure)]
 Quoting: Goofy for God


DUE TO THIS..THERE SHOULD BE NEW DATA AND CONE RIGHT N OW!
TOP OF THE HOUR!
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:00 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
TD TEN just joined the chat room...
Not liking the track.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78003679


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


THIS WILL OR SHOULD B UPDATED EVERY HOUR NOW...OR EVERY HALF HOUR!

IF THAT CENTER STAYS OFF SHORE....FUCKING DISASTER! EPIC!!
 Quoting: CAPMAN 76909798





GLP