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TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

 
cap man
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09/17/2019 12:02 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
NEW STATEMENT CAME OUT 15 MINS AGO...IT HAS A 50 50 CHANCE FOR DEV. OVER BOTH THE 2 DAY AND 5 DAY FORECASTS!
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:02 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
TD TEN just joined the chat room...
Not liking the track.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78003679


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


THIS WILL OR SHOULD B UPDATED EVERY HOUR NOW...OR EVERY HALF HOUR!

IF THAT CENTER STAYS OFF SHORE....FUCKING DISASTER! EPIC!!
 Quoting: CAPMAN 76909798

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76909798
Halfbreedgal
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09/17/2019 12:04 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Holy crap...I hope this is wrong...makes one wonder what kind of sadistic humans could be capable of making such storms. Pray the glp effect comes into play
Lex Talionis

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09/17/2019 12:07 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
"Tolerance is the lube that helps slip the dildo of dysfunction into the ass of a civilized society." Plato
cap man
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09/17/2019 12:10 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


IF THE CENTER STAYS OFF SHORE...IT COULD HAPPEN BY THE WEEKEND.
Big Daddy D
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09/17/2019 12:10 PM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Hunkering down in west Houston...
HWR
The US is a One Party State controlled by a small cadre of Financiers
Big Daddy D
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:10 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
yeah but guys , will austin and that area get a shower or two ?

we really need the rain.
Hurricane Watcher
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09/17/2019 12:16 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


Visit this link and select the appropriate time frames

[link to weather.us (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:17 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


Visit this link and select the appropriate time frames

[link to weather.us (secure)]
 Quoting: Hurricane Watcher 74021586


You'll need to zoom in as well
Lex Talionis

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09/17/2019 12:19 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


Visit this link and select the appropriate time frames

[link to weather.us (secure)]
 Quoting: Hurricane Watcher 74021586


You'll need to zoom in as well
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74021586


Thanks!
"Tolerance is the lube that helps slip the dildo of dysfunction into the ass of a civilized society." Plato
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:23 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


It was some models. Lets see the last updates today...
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:25 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Andy Hazelton
@AndyHazelton
Would need to be reduced to the surface (90% I think if you assume the same as for recon, although that might be for 10k ft), but one offshore band in #98L shows 54 mph winds about 4000 ft up. Could potentially support a TS if the system is classified. Rain the main threat.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:27 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:31 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Area of surface low pressure has formed just off the upper TX coast between Palacios and Freeport. Offshore observations show a defined surface low has formed and radar data from Houston indicates that winds 1500-2000 ft off the surface east of this low are ranging from 40-50mph. NHC is closely monitoring the situation and indicates that a tropical depression could form in the next few hours.

Per Jeff Lindner
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:32 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Hunkering down in west Houston...
 Quoting: Big Daddy D


Please be ready Harvey might have been easy
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:34 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
Maddrummerboy

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09/17/2019 12:37 PM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Hunkering down in west Houston...
 Quoting: Big Daddy D


North Galveston County checking in...Ready for our flood party



5a dasbier
Lex Talionis

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09/17/2019 12:40 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


They can't there are none.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77932171


I believe you are right. OP needs to "correct" the title of his thread.
"Tolerance is the lube that helps slip the dildo of dysfunction into the ass of a civilized society." Plato
DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne SmithModerator
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09/17/2019 12:40 PM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Hey y'all. Just north of Houston here. Will keep everyone posted on how things unfold in my yard. Overcast today, temps no longer in the triple digits, quite humid.
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ-A

Killer Bunny
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:40 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Hey y'all. Just north of Houston here. Will keep everyone posted on how things unfold in my yard. Overcast today, temps no longer in the triple digits, quite humid.
 Quoting: DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne Smith


Take care!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:42 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


They can't there are none.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77932171


I believe you are right. OP needs to "correct" the title of his thread.
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


This was the Euro model yesterday: [link to imgur.com (secure)]

It will be at least +20 inches...

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:44 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
This bouy is further away from the coast, in the S winds quad of 98L, but clocking very high winds at the surface:

Federal Aviation Administration
Location: 27.819N 94.323W
Date: Tue, 17 Sep 2019 16:15:00 UTC
Winds: S (190°) at 38.1 kt gusting to 47.0 kt
Air Temperature: 80.6 F
Dew Point: 75.2 F
JustBobTX

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09/17/2019 12:46 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
I'm south of Houston, on the Harris / Galveston county line. Keenly watching this.
My friends call me Bob.
Maddrummerboy

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09/17/2019 12:47 PM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
I'm south of Houston, on the Harris / Galveston county line. Keenly watching this.
 Quoting: JustBobTX


Clear lake?
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:49 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


In general, 3 to 5 inches of rain is a good bet over southeastern Texas, including the Houston metro area, through late this week. Some areas could pick up 8 to 12 inches of rain where rainbands stall.

Despite initially dry ground, rainfall amounts this high could lead to flash flooding, particularly in urban areas.

[link to weather.com (secure)]

pigchef
JustBobTX

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09/17/2019 12:51 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
I'm south of Houston, on the Harris / Galveston county line. Keenly watching this.
 Quoting: JustBobTX


Clear lake?
 Quoting: Maddrummerboy


League City.
My friends call me Bob.
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2019 12:51 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0858
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
557 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019

Areas affected...Southeast TX & Southwest LA
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

The expectation is for curved rain bands to develop over the next few hours which could yield hourly rain totals to 3" within this environment where they train, with some gradual outward expansion of the banding expected through the morning. The system as a whole should move/propagate northward around a low- to mid-level high pressure system over the central Gulf of Mexico. Rain moving ashore should cause the instability gradient to retreat back
towards the coast, making it an effective front/convergence zone. The mesoscale guidance shows reasonable consistency, with a strong signal for local amounts of 5-6". Parts of these region are dry or have descended into drought, so flash flood guidance values are quite high and soils are generally desiccated.

 Quoting: Luisport

 Quoting: Luisport


It will be another nothing burger.
darth

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09/17/2019 12:51 PM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Hunkering down in west Houston...
 Quoting: Big Daddy D


North Brazoria County here, preparing for flooding.

Gotta get my tractor and equipment out of the pasture. After Hurricane Harvey hit, you could jet ski over the entire back pasture.
Maddrummerboy

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09/17/2019 12:52 PM

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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
I'm south of Houston, on the Harris / Galveston county line. Keenly watching this.
 Quoting: JustBobTX


Clear lake?
 Quoting: Maddrummerboy


League City.
 Quoting: JustBobTX


Howdy neighbor

Santa fe Here..

yessir
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/17/2019 12:53 PM
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Re: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17
Will the OP or someone please point to a reliable source claiming 40 inches of potential rainfall from Thursday to Friday?
 Quoting: Lex Talionis


In general, 3 to 5 inches of rain is a good bet over southeastern Texas, including the Houston metro area, through late this week. Some areas could pick up 8 to 12 inches of rain where rainbands stall.

Despite initially dry ground, rainfall amounts this high could lead to flash flooding, particularly in urban areas.

[link to weather.com (secure)]

pigchef
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78011486


I see +20 inches in a big area... [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]





GLP