Hurricane Humberto: Humberto is now a MAJOR HURRICANE, a Category 3 with 120mph sustained winds. Hurricane warning for Bermuda NOW!!!p14

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS HUMBERTO STRENGTHENING... ...HUMBERTO HAS BARELY MOVED THIS MORNING...
11:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 14
Location: 26.6°N 76.7°W
Moving: Stationary
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph

202
WTNT44 KNHC 141449
TCDAT4

Tropical Storm Humberto Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019
1100 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

The center of Humberto is better defined today, but due to shear, it
is still located south of the main area of deep convection.
Satellite images indicate that a cyclonically-curved convective band
is also developing southeast of the center. Recent reports from an
Air Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the winds have
increased, and the maximum intensity has been adjusted upward to 45
kt. These strong winds are confined to the north and east of the
center of the cyclone.

The current unfavorable shear over Humberto is forecast to weaken,
and since the cyclone is expected to move over warm waters, the NHC
forecast calls for strengthening. Humberto is anticipated to become
a hurricane in about 36 hours over the western Atlantic well east of
the Florida east coast and well away from the Bahamas. The intensity
forecast is consistent with the solutions of the consensus model and
the corrected consensus HCCA. In addition, all global models
intensify Humberto and show an increase in the size of the storm.

Satellite and reconnaissance fixes indicate that Humberto has barely
moved during the past few hours. Humberto is being trapped by a
ridge to the north, but this feature is forecast to weaken. The
expected flow pattern should steer the cyclone very slowly toward
the northwest and north during the next 24 to 36 hours. After
that time, the cyclone will encounter the mid-latitude westerlies,
and most likely, Humberto will sharply recurve northeastward away
from the United States with no significant increase in forward
speed. Only by the end of the forecast period, Humberto should begin
to accelerate. The NHC forecast is very consistent with the track
guidance which clearly depict the slow motion of the system and
the sharp turn to the right in 2 or 3 days.

Key Messages:

1. Humberto will likely bring tropical-storm-force winds and heavy
rainfall to portions of the northwestern Bahamas today. Significant
storm surge is not expected in the northwestern Bahamas from this
system. Residents there should follow any advice given by local
officials.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/1500Z 26.6N 76.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 15/0000Z 27.6N 77.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 15/1200Z 28.7N 78.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 16/0000Z 29.5N 78.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 16/1200Z 30.0N 77.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 17/1200Z 30.5N 74.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 18/1200Z 31.5N 70.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 19/1200Z 34.5N 63.0W 90 KT 105 MPH

$$
Forecaster Avila

Stationary? Seems to be another storm that keeps defying what the models say

Name means Bear Warrior

Any more hurricanes headed for the Bahamas?? Last thing they really NEED!!!

Yep. Been getting some intense winds in cent FL here this morning. Coming from the NE.
We've also got something out in GOM that is pushing up. About to get rain and wind now. Nothing is supposed to happen to FL according to local overlords.

I am in central Florida, as well. We have had no more than tye most delightful breeze and some very occasional fine rain. Looking a bit cloudy now to the east. I hope we get a little stormy, I love it.

Wow! Looks as if it could be a triple whammy!5 Stars OP!

ahhhhhh well, more doom for me! Cant wait

Been raining an hour now. Breeze is gone. Humidity has returned. Not as pleasant.

American Earthquakes
@earthquakevt
Tropical Storm #Humberto: Located at 70 mi (115 KM) N of #GreatAbaco island, #Bahamas. With maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 KM/h).
It is expected to become a #hurricane between tomorrow night or Monday morning.
Source: @NHC_Atlantic and @NASAEarthData

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There is no place for the people there to take shelter.

Here is the 5 PM NHC track for Humberto: [link to imgur.com (secure)]


However... Euro spaghetti still highlights the uncertainty there is on Humberto's track. It is not a foregone conclusion that this will be a fish storm. Stay tuned.

[link to www.weathernerds.org (secure)]

@StormOfCorn
Tropical Storm #Humberto has been kind to the Bahamas, as the bulk of the convection (most of the strong, gusty storms) stayed east and now northeast of the areas reeling from #Dorian. Humberto will stay comfortably east of the US, but may threaten Bermuda.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

here we go again.....

WHEN IS THE NEW CONE FOR THIS BEENER?

STATIONARY IS TH EONLY THING THAT IT HAS GOIN...

@starsandstripes
Parts of the northwestern Bahamas that were recently pummeled by Hurricane Dorian are expected to experience tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rain over the weekend, but not significant storm surge.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

IT IS THE TIME OF THE SEASON WHERE IT SHIFTS TO THE WESTERN CARIB. AND THE GULF TURNS ON FULLY..AND THE SOUTHERN CARIB..!

MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS NOW!

NEW CONES AND DATA FOR ALL STORM SYSTEMS IN 10 MINS OR LESS!!

Gosh, I hope this isn't bad again for the Bahamas

big picture looks like some enhancement of systems is occurring

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Humberto

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