Hurricane Humberto: Humberto is now a MAJOR HURRICANE, a Category 3 with 120mph sustained winds. Hurricane warning for Bermuda NOW!!!p14

ILL TAKE ALABAMA!..ONE MODEL GOES INTO THE HEART OF IT...AND EVERY OTHER ONE MISSES IT ENTIRELY!..UH.

MY BAD...MISSISSIPPI...PUT 50 ON MISSISSIPPI FOR ME..JOEY!..UH.

Just say NOOOOOO.

This is very frightening.

@NWSLittleRock
The disturbance over the central and southeastern Bahamas is becoming more organized. @NHC_Atlantic
is now forecasting an 80% chance of cyclone formation over the next 5 days. Another disturbance, west of the Cabo Verde Islands, has a 40% chance of cyclone formation.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

ILL TAKE THE OVER..JOEY..STILL SUMMER FOR 8 TO 10 DAYS!.UH!

11 DAYS...RIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT ON THE 23RD! WOO HOO!

@53rdWRS
We’re getting ready for our latest mission, Invest 95L, located in the Caribbean.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

ERIN...MEANING PEACE...WE'LL SEE...IRISH FEMALE POETIC REFERENCES TOO ..

...BAHAMAS NEED A BATH AFTER THAT LAST ONE BY DORIEN...MAY KEEP THE DISEASES DOWN TOO!..UH.

The next Dorian ?

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

Not regarding intensity, but as far as i saw it will be a big rain maker!

NHC playing conservative today
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121729
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 12 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite derived winds and surface observations indicate that the
disturbance in the Bahamas has not yet developed a closed
circulation, and that the winds are not strong at this time.
However, surface pressures remain low and environmental conditions
are favorable for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form
within the next day or two as the system moves toward the northwest
at 5 to 10 mph through the northwestern Bahamas and toward the
Florida Peninsula. Potential Tropical Cyclone advisories could be
needed later today or Friday, and interests in the central and
northwestern Bahamas as well as Florida should monitor the progress
of this disturbance. Regardless of development, this disturbance
will bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Bahamas
through Friday, including areas of the northwestern Bahamas affected
by Hurricane Dorian. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
still scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located several hundred miles west of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while the system moves
westward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila

Sandy 2.0?

Hurricane season ends November 30th.

New Euro goes for Humberto the east coast menace again...

Bear in mind Euro was most accurate model with regard to Dorian...

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

possibly, but too early to say with confidence

Wow! So two models now showing a potential NJ (Northeast) impact?

I have lived all my life in Pennsylvania and the only hurricane we really had was Sandy and we didnt have power for one and a half weeks. But we did have a generator.