Hurricane Humberto: Humberto is now a MAJOR HURRICANE, a Category 3 with 120mph sustained winds. Hurricane warning for Bermuda NOW!!!p14

THERE HAVE BEEN DECEMBER STORMS..AND A RARE JAN I TINK..UH.

Big Dome of High Pressure over SE states with air high temps could build a ridge north of 95L causing it to sit and churn off the east coast of Florida, rather than making a quick sea exit.

yup

Wow thanks for that Luisport

It just hangs down in the Carolinas for a bit then moves up and hits NJ.

And what is that following it? Almost follows the same path! Yikes!

Alabama is threatened......

sure is hot here today East Coast

Something like almost 8 million currently under extreme weather warnings - mainly upper midwest and same places as yesterday, plus the NE

COCOA BEACH!

...A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 74.8W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the following islands in the northwestern Bahamas the Abacos,
Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New
Providence.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests along the east coast of Florida should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
23.7 North, longitude 74.8 West. The system is expected to move
toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is
forecast to continue during the next 2 days. On this track, the
system is anticipated to move across the northwestern Bahamas on
Friday, and along or over the east coast of central Florida on
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The disturbance is forecast to become tropical depression or a
tropical storm during the next day or so.

Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression or
tropical storm to form within the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area in the northwest Bahamas by late Friday.

RAINFALL: The system is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches through Sunday over the Bahamas and along
the east coast of Florida north of West Palm Beach. Isolated maximum
amounts of 7 inches are possible in the northwest and central
Bahamas.

STORM SURGE: This system is not expected to product significant
storm surge in the northwest Bahamas.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
2100 UTC THU SEP 12 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS THE
ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 74.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 74.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 74.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N 77.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 26.5N 78.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.5N 80.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 30.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 31.5N 80.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 74.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 13/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

NNNN

Wow! Not good.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Hope your rested , thanks for info and prayers this one is just rain

@WeatherNation
BREAKING: @NHC_Atlantic
will begin issuing advisories for Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine at 5 p.m. ET. When they do, we'll share that info. Right now hurricane hunters are in this system, currently over the Bahamas.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

atlantic is going to be shifting into overdrive

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

wrong AL banned hurricanes. err or was it they banned MSM?