COVID* STANDFORD MASK STUDY---Elsevier journal to retract widely debunked masks study whose author claimed a Stanford affiliation p345

So....riots?

[link to www.globaltimes.cn (secure)]

10:50 pm Feb 17

S.Korea's Disease Management Division stated that from Tuesday, the country will integrate novel coronavirus pneumonia COVID-19 into the "Severe Acute Respiratory Infectious Disease Supervision System". 30 cases confirmed as of 4pm local time on Monday.

10:10 pm Feb 17

The Hong Kong SAR Government announced on Monday that it will send two charter flights to pick up 350 Hong Kong residents stranded on the Princess Diamond cruise ship. They are expected to return to Hong Kong by Thursday.


10:08 pm Feb 17

COVID-19 will peak later in February in South China. Nationwide, the disease is expected to reach its peak in April, according to Zhong Nanshan, a leading expert tackling the epidemic: reports

(FYI his "peak" predictions have been off so far.)

10:00 pm Feb 17

COVID-19 has been confirmed in 519 people in Japan as of Monday. Meanwhile, the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare announced the symptom criteria for consultation at medical institutions, media reports said.

7:21 pm Feb 17

Good News! A two-month-old COVID-19 patient, the youngest patient in Guangdong, was discharged from hospital in Guangzhou Monday afternoon.

3:51 pm Feb 17

Chloroquine phosphate, a medicine that has been in the market for many years, has proven effective in treating COVID19 and shows positive clinical effects: China’s Ministry of Science and Technology.

(Chloroquine phosphate is an anti-malarial and amebicide. Chloroquine phosphate is used occasionally to decrease the symptoms of rheumatoid arthritis and to treat systemic and discoid lupus erythematosus, scleroderma, pemphigus, lichen planus, polymyositis, sarcoidosis, and porphyria cutanea tarda. )

1:09 pm Feb 17

Xinxian county in Henan Province to prolong quarantine period for people traveling to Wuhan or contacting with Wuhan residents from 14 days to 21 days, after discovering 2 unusual COVID19 cases. One of the new cases was diagnosed 34 days after returning from Wuhan, and another 94 days after coming in contact with a Wuhan resident. Both infection sources are unknown.

(I'm very skeptical of 34 and 94 days, more likely since they don't know the source, they got infected with the 14 day window.)

12:20 pm Feb 17

Taiwan adds two novel coronavirus infection cases with first death

12:11 pm Feb 17

161 people, including four children, of the 331 coronavirus patients in Shanghai have been discharged from hospital after recovery, as of Monday morning, making the city’s current COVID19 cure rate nearly 50%:

10:58 am Feb 17

Another hard-hit Chinese city in the coronavirus outbreak, Xiaogan in Central China's Hubei Province, has banned residents from stepping out of their homes and said violators would be detained for a maximum of 10 days.

Probably not there. At sometime in the US? Absolutely.

Japan

h/t crofsblog

[link to mainichi.jp (secure)]

11 infected on Tokyo tour boat, likely transmitted coronavirus to non-passengers

TOKYO -- A sudden spike in new coronavirus cases was confirmed among attendees at a New Year's party for independent taxi drivers held on a traditional "yakatabune" river tour boat in the capital.

The Tokyo Metropolitan Government says the virus may be spreading in the capital, as people not at the party -- including an office worker and a chauffeur -- were also confirmed infected, and is calling for measures to prevent transmission.

Westerdam

h/t crofsblog

[link to www.nytimes.com (secure)]

Coronavirus Infection Found After Cruise Ship Passengers Disperse

The cruise ship had been shunned at port after port for fear it might carry the coronavirus, but when the Westerdam arrived in Cambodia on Thursday, the prime minister greeted its passengers with flowers.

Amid assurances that the ship was disease free, hundreds of elated passengers disembarked. Some went sightseeing, visiting beaches and restaurants and getting massages. Others traveled on to destinations around the world.

One, however, did not make it much farther than the thermal scanners at the Kuala Lumpur airport in Malaysia. The passenger, an American, was stopped on Saturday, and later tested positive for the coronavirus.

On Sunday, with passengers already headed for destinations on at least three continents, health officials were scrambling to determine how a big a problem they now have — and how to stop it from getting bigger.

“We anticipated glitches, but I have to tell you I didn’t anticipate one of this magnitude,” said Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt University Medical Center.

With more than a thousand passengers from the Westerdam headed for home, Dr. Schaffner said, it may be harder than ever to keep the coronavirus outbreak contained to China.

Steve Lookner Retweeted
James Palmer
@BeijingPalmer
so on those cases continually dropping outside Hubei, I've heard (unconfirmed) that the shortage of test kits means they're not testing folk who didn't come from Hubei direct, and (confirmed, multiple sources) that in ind. hospital there are dozens quarantined w/out tests

[link to twitter.com (secure)]


twitter rumors that make sense (TRTMS)

Global Times
@globaltimesnews
Epicenter #Wuhan plans to build another 10 Fang Cang makeshift hospitals, offering about 11,465 beds for milder patients infected with #COVID19.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

China-WHO

h/t shiloh

[link to www.globaltimes.cn (secure)]

WHO expert team visits China for COVID-19 control

A World Health Organization (WHO) expert team, including American experts, has arrived in Beijing and will visit South China's Guangdong Province and Southwest China's Sichuan Province to research China's prevention and control work on the novel coronavirus.

[snip]

The epidemic-stricken Hubei is not included in the international expert team's destinations, which, according to experts, is because the province is at a vital time combating the epidemic, and cannot spare time and people to receive the experts.




Yeah, why go to Hubei and actually see what's going on, and learn the true extent of the carnage. Fuck the WHO.

[link to www.dailymail.co.uk (secure)]

BREAKING: Head of Wuhan hospital dies of coronavirus, says Chinese media

The head of a hospital in Wuhan today died of the novel coronavirus, according to Chinese media.

Dr Liu Zhiming, the director of Wuchang Hospital, is the first hospital leader to have 'sacrificed' in the fight against coronavirus, reported Red Star News.

The news comes after a 59-year-old nurse in the same hospital was killed by the virus last Friday.

Sheesh, the whole prison system could be infected now.


:fuckit1:

[link to www.ntd.com (secure)]

Couple Diagnosed With Coronavirus Flew on Delta and Hawaiian Airlines Planes, Companies Say

A couple who was diagnosed with coronavirus, also known as COVID-19, flew on two airliners earlier this month around Hawaii, according to statements from Hawaiian Airlines and Delta Airlines.

A husband and wife from Japan departed from Oahu later tested positive for the virus, KHON2 reported. Delta told the station that Flight 611 left from Honolulu to Nagoya on Feb. 6.

[snip]

The couple also took Hawaiian Airlines flight HA265 from the Hawaiian city of Kahului to Honolulu on Feb. 3, the airline confirmed.

FluTrackers.com
@FluTrackers
China - CDC report: more than 3,000 medical staff infected with #COVID19 - 5 deaths

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Why so many in Britain and so few positive in USA?

just wait til they all drop dead in the streets,
and then issue another Advisory.

Well not totally true...... You do have positives...

However.... You guys seem to be PRO-active.... Sadly we are RE-active. Makes a difference.

[link to www.sciencesetavenir.fr (secure)]



Carried out on a sample of 1099 patients in whom the presence of the virus has been confirmed by DNA analysis, they allow a better understanding of the profile of the patients treated. Those in critical condition present several factors which seem to worsen their pathology, such as hypertension in 23.7% of cases, then diabetes, which concerns 16.2% of the most serious cases.

Other factors could come into play, such as smoking. Of course, 85.6% of infected patients are non-smokers. But there are more severe cases among smokers (16.9%), while smokers are slightly less (11.8%) with a less severe form of the disease. Earlier this year, a team of Chinese researchers published a study on the profile of infected people in the specialized journal The Lancet. The study involved only 99 patients, but in about half of the cases (50 patients), coronavirus infection occurred in people who already had an underlying pathology, such as cardiovascular disease (40) and diabetes (12).

Median age of coronavirus patients set at 47

The median age of patients in this study is 47 years, compared to 55.5 years mentioned in the previous study published in the Lancet. The proportion of women and men is also slightly different. Women represent 41.8% of patients, while the study published by The Lancet included around 23%. Very different figures which can be explained by the fact that the previous study published in the Lancet only concerned a sample of 99 people, compared to 1099 for the study published in Medrxiv. The latter fixes the median incubation period is 3 days. It is established in a time ranging from 2 to 14 days.

The new study published in Medrxiv also confirms the symptoms that had already been described in previous official publications. This new work describes three major symptoms of COVID-19 coronavirus: body temperature above 38 degrees (87.9% of patients), coughing fits (67.7%), and severe fatigue (38.1%) . However, "this study shows that fever was only present in 43.8% of patients with the coronavirus at the time of their management, while it rose to 87.9% during hospitalization."

760 Million quarantined.

That's 10% of the worlds population. 10%. Let that sink in.

h/t commonground

[link to www.xinhuanet.com]

China has issued more than 1,600 force majeure certificates to shield companies from legal damages arising from the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak.

The China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT) has issued 1,615 certificates by last Friday for companies involving over 30 sectors, covering a total contract value of 109.9 billion yuan (about 15.7 billion U.S. dollars), said the CCPIT.

The certificate exonerates companies from not performing or partially performing contractual duties by proving they are suffering from circumstances beyond their control.

Retweeted
Nicholas G. Reich
@reichlab
We (@cmyeaton
, Evan Ray, and I) updated our analysis about ILI and #COVID19.

Bottom line: we are not seeing much evidence current that trends in influenza-like illness in the US are being driven by #COVID19.

We will keep looking and updating weekly.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]



Chart at twitter link.



The study:
[link to github.com (secure)]

It's a PDF so I can't cut and paste easily. It's a very short read, but essentially, as the tweet above states, they are not seeing much evidence of underlying COVID infections in the US.

Holy freaking hell

[link to monotreme1000.wordpress.com (secure)]

Another Monotreme blog

[link to twitter.com (secure)]


Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
1. #COVID19: China CDC has published a fascinating paper describing the outbreak, based on ~72K cases (confirmed, suspected, clinically diagnosed & asymptomatic). 44,672 of them are lab confirmed, making this the biggest data set seen from this outbreak.
Interesting stuff.

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
31m
Replying to
@HelenBranswell
2. #COVID19: They report that there have been no superspreaders, or superspreading events recorded in health care facilities to date. That suggests the earlier reports of 1 patient infecting 14 health workers may have been misunderstood?

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
32m
3. #COVID19: Despite the good news on the lack of superspreading, 1716 HCWs had been infected with the virus by Feb. 11, & 5 had died. They include an epi curve of those infections. While confirmed HCW cases have dwindled, clinically diagnosed & suspected ones continue.

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
32m
4. #COVID19: the authors suggest the outbreak may have been declining at the end of the period studied (till Feb. 11). But they warn that some of the movement restrictions are coming off & transmission may rebound. @WHO
warned today to be cautious in reading this.

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
32m
5. #COVID19: The paper includes the most detailed breakdown I've seen of ages of cases & deaths by age group. 1 teenager has died. But deaths really tick up from 50 yo and older. The fatality rate among confirmed cases 80 & older is unsettling.

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
33m
6. #COVID19: The gender breakdown is interesting. Early on it seemed like men were more likely to be infected, but that isn't true. However, men do make up about 2/3s of the fatal cases. There is no indication of whether there are age differences in the male vs. female cases.

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
33m
7. #COVID19: The authors say the case data suggest multiple jumps from an animal source to people in the beginning of the outbreak, with the virus taking off human-2-human after. The genetic sequences don't support this, do they, @trvrb
? @arambaut
? Am I reading this wrong?

Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
·
33m
8: #COVID19: The paper can be read here. Thanks to @cmyeaton
for posting it.

[link to github.com (secure)]

Last Edited by NawtyBits on 02/17/2020 04:57 PM

24/7 Crisis News LIVE
☢
@livecrisisnews
Video of suspected coronavirus victims being transported in Omaha, NE.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

[link to www.cnn.com (secure)]

Delta is reaching out to Hawaii-Japan passengers after coronavirus scare

Delta Air Lines said today it is “proactively reaching out” to its passengers who recently traveled on one of its flights between Honolulu and Nagoya, Japan, after it became aware that two passengers on that flight are being reportedly treated for the novel coronavirus.

Here's the statement from Delta:

“We are communicating with the appropriate public health officials, including U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and local Japanese authorities. The health and safety of our customers and crews is our top priority, and in cooperation with Japanese health officials, we are proactively reaching out to customers who were onboard that flight as well as taking the necessary steps to ensure the safety of our customers and crew."




I wonder how many people have been on that plane, subsequently.

The levees have broken in Japan and Hawaii. Nothing can stop the flood now.

Last Edited by Woodenboat on 02/17/2020 05:28 PM

Hubei Daily NUmbers

[link to wjw.hubei.gov.cn]

1807 new cases

93 new deaths

1,223 new hospital discharges



Hubei Cumulative Numbers


59,989 confirmed

7,862 patients were discharged

1789 fatalities

41,957 cases are still being treated in the hospital

9117 are critically ill and 1853 are critically ill

4194 suspected cases

69,270 people were still under medical observation


That works out to a 19% CFR (which is still high)

And a 2.9% mortality rate.

That's just for Hubei.

Wisconsin Today

1 new pending test.

[link to www.dhs.wisconsin.gov (secure)]

Last Edited by NawtyBits on 02/17/2020 06:18 PM

[link to www.japantimes.co.jp (secure)]

Doctors studying a 50-year-old man who died in China last month from the new coronavirus found that the disease caused lung damage reminiscent of two prior coronavirus-related outbreaks, SARS and MERS.

The patient died on Jan. 27 after a two-week illness that left him increasingly breathless. His heart stopped following damage to his alveoli, tiny grape-like sacs in the lungs that help bring oxygen into the blood and expel carbon dioxide. Blood tests showed an over-activation of a type of infection-fighting cell that accounted for part of the severe immune injury he sustained, doctors at the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital in Beijing said in a study released Sunday.




So cytokine storm and lung damage. ("ground glass opacity" on a chest x-ray indicates this alveoli damage.)

to catch up later

China Daily Update

[link to news.workercn.cn]


At 04:00 on February 17, 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 1886 new confirmed cases, 1097 new severe cases, and 98 new deaths (93 in Hubei, 3 in Henan Cases, one in Hebei and one in Hunan), with 1432 new suspected cases.

1701 new cases were cured



1,868 deaths

72,436 confirmed cases

6,242 suspected

141,552 close contacts were still in medical observation


A total of 92 confirmed cases were reported from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan: 60 cases in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (2 cases discharged, 1 death), 10 cases in Macau Special Administrative Region (5 cases discharged), 22 cases in Taiwan (2 cases discharged, 1 case died) )